Bedell Frazier Investment Counselling
Weekly market insights and commentary on some of today’s most pressing topics from Bedell Frazier Investment Counselling - a Bay Area Registered Investment Advisor specializing in investment management and financial planning.
Episodes
So much for a sleepy Friday. Those don’t seem to happen anymore. This week was eventful in many respects. I say this often, there’s plenty of material for me to cover on a weekly basis. Today was a particularly unique and eventful day. It moved Markets. It moved expectations. It moved moods. It went down like this:
A major milestone was reached on Wall Street; The Dow hit 50K. It didn’t stick. That’s not much of a surprise. The Market often back and fills after reaching new highs at big round numbers. 50K is definitely that. The achievement is significant in many ways. Stocks have rallied to start the year. And it’s been led by a new cast of characters. Tech is not one of them...
The Bulls got tested this week. The Bears were out for blood. It was like the Super Bowl for stocks on Wall Street. Heading into Friday, the Tech-heavy NAS was on track for its worst week since Obliteration Day back in April of ‘25. Silver lost over 1/3 of its value in the week. Bitcoin has been for sale all year, falling to levels last seen in 2024...
The price of Gold went parabolic. In fact, it’s been the case for pretty much all precious metals. The drivers are many: Ever-increasing geopolitical activity, sticky inflation, a weak Dollar and global institutions seeking alternatives to safe American assets. Gold went from $4k to $5K to $5500 seemingly in an instant...
Threats of more tariffs and taking Greenland knocked stocks downward to start the week. In fact, the 2% decliner on Tuesday was the worst day since October. Those losses reversed with word about a semblance of a deal. It’s still not clear what that means. Wall Street rejoiced, for a bit. Perhaps more accurately, it breathed a sigh of relief. Stocks slipped into the weekend mixed. Those all-time highs are not far from here. But ther...
What a week. It was quite eventful. That’s not new for the 2020s. It’s become the norm. But it was Market-moving. There’s plenty of innovation around. Robots took the stage. Controversy is always around. Geopolitical activity is grabbing headlines, all the while economic activity continues. Q4 Earnings Season has begun. All this and much more in another rapid rundown...
Happy New Year! The first half of the 2020s is complete. We have officially entered the second quarter of this 21st century. Can you believe it? Time sure flies...
'Twas the Night before Christmas
And all throughout the block,
Not a creature was stirring
Not even on TikTok...
Price increases have slowed. Inflationary pressures are subsiding. The November Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported prices rose at a 2.7% rate compared to a year ago. That was cooler than the September report, which is the most recent. That came in at 3%. There was no October report due to the government shutdown. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, was up just 2.6%. That gave a serious jolt to stocks. The rally is back on....
It wasn’t Nvidia that saved the rally in November. It was the Fed. What was looking like a remote chance of a December rate cut, with a mere 30% probability 4 weeks ago, the central bank switched gears and lowered borrowing costs again this week. There has been much debate about this within the Fed’s Open Market Committee. They’re the ones who vote. There are twelve of them. The Fed Chair has been cautious and reluctant to cut more...
There was a mega deal announced Friday which will have a profound impact on the future of business, far beyond the media and entertainment space. As a former Turner guy, having worked at both CNN and Turner Sports, I couldn’t pass up digging into this deal this week. Netflix is trying to buy Warner Bros...
America is on the go again. The FAA expects air travel this Thanksgiving week to be the busiest in 15 years. There was a flood of last-minute bookings this past week, as it was previously projected to have a 3% decline compared to last year. The government re-opening likely played a big role. In total, 82 Million Americans are expected to travel 50 miles or more this Thanksgiving. The Holiday Season is upon us...
Back in February of 2024, just 22 eventful months ago, the Stock Market was teetering. The 14-month rally was maturing and being tested. The AI-Trade was being questioned. Investor sentiment was sour. Things were looking bleak. The Market was in need of a spark. Earnings Season was coming to a close. However, there was one big hitter left. It was Nvidia’s turn at the plate. The company knocked it out of the park. Investors celebrat...
Market volatility was definitely the theme this week. After reaching fresh all-time highs for months, the Bull Market hit the brakes. The AI-trade stalled. Friday was a wild one. Stocks gapped down at the open, building off Thursday’s decline. The Volatility Index spiked, reflecting newfound fear. Weak hands were dumping stocks. Those are the ones generally late to the party. Strong handed investors were tight gripped and dip buyer...
I was in Denver this week for Schwab’s annual Impact conference. Meredith joined me. Firms from across the country converged on the Rockies to study trends, collaborate on common challenges and try to map out the future. No surprise, the advancement of Artificial Intelligence was a dominant theme...
October concluded with one of the most Market-moving weeks in memory. Between the Tech Titans earnings, a Fed rate cut and a Presidential summit between China and the U.S., there was a tidal wave of news for investors to ride. And the AI Bull kept charging ahead. The S&P just banked its 6th consecutive monthly gain as it continues to run in the face of any issue in its way. Here’s another rapid rundown...
The rally just keeps on keeping on. Wall Street keeps putting up big numbers. The S&P 500 reached 6800 Friday for the first time ever. The Dow cleared 47K. America’s Stock Market, as measured by the S&P, is now worth $57 Trillion. Friday’s trigger to new highs: Inflation is cooler than expected. This, according to the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. That was music for the Bulls. 2-Year Treasury yields immediate...
Forget Football and Baseball for a minute. It is Earnings Season that kicked off this week. It’s that time again when Corporate America submits its report cards. Nearly 75% of the S&P 500 companies, measured by market cap, are scheduled to report in October. The Street expects earnings to increase +8.0% in Q3, compared to a year ago. That would be a solid clip should the estimates become fact. What’s more, revenue is expected t...
The final stretch is near. It’s been quite a year for investors. Everywhere you look, up and down Wall Street, you simply can’t escape the AI hype. Artificial Intelligence is expected to revolutionize our way of life, much like the Industrial Revolution in the 19th century and the advancement of the internet towards the end of the 20th. Those were pretty big. Of course that’s a complete understatement. They both changed the game fo...
We are nearing the end of September; Historically the worst for stocks. This year has certainly bucked that trend. The month started out with a bang as the S&P 500 extended the rally, going farther and faster. For months, stocks climbed that wall of worry. The dips kept getting bought. The trend is your friend, as they say. However, the trend has changed a bit. This week the rally stalled...
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