April 24, 2025 • 42 mins
Human Events on Real America's Voice
Segment A: Trump to hold rally in Michigan to celebrate the first 100 days of his Presidency
Segment B: Should the people trust the pollsters on the Trump Admin’s favorability?
Segment C: Fake Data is driving the narrative that the people don’t approve of Trump’s policy and admin.
Segment D: The Similarities between Trump and Reagan’s favorability during their presidencies
Segment E: Has President Trump shifted the perception on immigration?
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:05):
This is what happens when the fourth Turning meets fifth
generation warfare.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
A commentator, international social media sensation and former Navy intelligence veteran, This.
Speaker 3 (00:20):
Is Human Events with your host Jack Posovic.
Speaker 4 (00:23):
Christ is King breaking a news from overnight. Kiev hit
by a massive Russian drone and missile attack, the deadliest
since the summer of twenty twenty four. Nine people were killed,
more than seventy were injured. Two residential apartment buildings were hit,
while other buildings in the capitol were also targeted. First
responders are still looking for anyone that could be trapped
in the rubble. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski cut his trip
(00:46):
in South Africa early in order to go.
Speaker 3 (00:48):
Back to keep This morning, trade war confusion China pushing
back after President Trump indicated that the US is negotiating
with the world's other biggest economy. Overnight, multiple Chinese officials
denying that the talks, one saying quote, there are no
trade negotiations between China and the US, and he claims
about progress are unfounded.
Speaker 5 (01:07):
Yesterday, the President signed executive orders targeting universities he views
as liberal adversaries to his political agenda. It's part of
his campaign and what he calls wokeness and diversity efforts
in education.
Speaker 6 (01:21):
The Supreme corn appears to favor an opt out option
for LGBTQ plus readings in school. A majority of the
justices signaling support for the religious rights of parents in
Maryland who want to remove their kids from classes using
the story books.
Speaker 7 (01:37):
Donald Trump's net approvating on immigration is actually positive, which
is very much unlike his firstterm. If you ask, are
we on the right track or the wrong track when
it comes to immigration policy, the pluralities say that we're
on the right track, which is very different from where
we were just a few months ago under Joei joh And.
Speaker 1 (01:53):
Welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily here live Washington,
d C. Today is April twenty fourth, twenty twenty five.
Anno domini one hundred days. That's right, We are less
than one week away from the one hundredth day of
President Trump's second term, his second administration. Many are calling it,
(02:16):
and in fact I'm pleased to announce and to have heard.
The President and his team announced last night that they
have decided they will in fact be holding a massive
public rally to celebrate one hundred days up in Michigan.
I think this is great. I think the fact that
the inauguration was itself canceled for President Trump, he wasn't
(02:39):
able to have the parade, he wasn't able to celebrate
the victory. I think it's big and I think it's important.
I hope that there is in fact a lot of
pump and circumstance at this rally. I hope that they
add some more of those elements so that it's not
just a traditional political rally for President Trump, but also
a moment for the country and everyone to understand that
(03:00):
this country has been changed, has been shaped, and has
been shifted because of the events of twenty twenty four
but even at large, the events of the last one
hundred days. And so what are we talking about the
things that have been done? Look, my top three have
always been and I've been talking about this for years, trade, immigration,
and foreign policy. If we're able to change the trade, immigration,
(03:23):
and foreign policy, we can change the entire trajectory of
this country. And how do we do that? Well? In trade,
of course, we know he's fighting the terrified On immigration.
Look what's happening the mass deportations. Yes, I know there's
fights in the courts, but the administration has completely changed
the entire tenor of what's going on. Now, if you
(03:45):
get caught in one of these gangs, where do you
get sent l Salvador, You get sent to Bukel A
and Bukel will put you away. And then finally, of course,
foreign policy working to wind down the wars, particularly the
war between Russia and Ukraine that, as we learned recently,
has been run by the United States militarily on the
(04:07):
tactical and operational level out of an intelligence command and
control suite in Germany. This is what we elected President
Trump to do. And so I sit there day and
day out and say, you know what, We've got to
actually make sure that we get all that across in
the swamp, because it is the swamp running these information
(04:29):
warfare and four GW attacks and operations on President Trump,
on the administration, Pete Hegseth and others about what they're doing.
But let's talk about where the American people are and
how they think about this coming up next.
Speaker 8 (05:05):
Nothing will stand in our way, and our golden age
has just begun.
Speaker 3 (05:10):
This is human events with Jack Psovic.
Speaker 1 (05:12):
Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First
truly means.
Speaker 3 (05:16):
Welcome to the Second American.
Speaker 1 (05:20):
Revolution, all right, Jack Pasobic Here, folks want to bring
in Charlie Kirk's third hour audience on the Salem Radio
Network for today's edition of Human Events Daily. Folks, President
Trump has always put America first, strengthening our border, strengthening
our economy, and standing up to global elites who'd rather
(05:41):
see us fall. And just like Trump is fighting to
protect America's future, you should be fighting to protect your
financial future too. While others are distracted, gold is quietly
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is everything that you've worked or all right, folks, coming
(06:45):
up on the one hundred days of President Trump's administration,
the first one hundred days of his second administration, we
should say, and I wanted to break down not only
where the president is, but also where the country is.
And who better to understand that in public opinion then
the people's pundit himself. Rich Barris joins us here on
(07:05):
the program, What's up Bridge? Live in the dream?
Speaker 8 (07:08):
Jack?
Speaker 9 (07:09):
How you doing? Brother? Oh?
Speaker 1 (07:11):
We loved the dream and we're living the dream every
single day. And so look, I got to tell you.
I'm looking at some of the things across the board,
and I'll just say, you know, people say, oh, it's
you know, it's it's you know, there's this thing, there's
that there. I say, guys, guys, it's a fight. We
always knew it was going to be a fight. We
told you it was going to be a fight. Yeah,
we won in November. But just because we won the
(07:34):
battle didn't mean the war was over. No. It meant
that the war was moving to the next phase, as
people say, what about the courts, what about this the
old guys, guys, guys, did you really think that they
were just going to give you your country back? Hand
you your country back? Never ever so rich. That being said,
let's talk about where President Trump is now in terms
(07:56):
of these approval ratings, which by the way, are pretty
high when it comes to President Trump.
Speaker 9 (08:02):
To begin with, yeah, I just want to I just
want to preface that answer with something. But yeah, I mean,
they were never gonna roll over Jack. Let me just
say that. But I want to preface this what I'm
about to say with something which is and it's stunning
to me that we have to go through this every
year after every cycle after cycle. I cannot beat this
(08:24):
like anymore, like a dead horse. Not all polls are
created equal, And it is stunning to me that here
we are now a couple of months after the election
in April, and we're still looking at the same polsters
who got stuff wrong and giving them the same level
of credibility as those who got it right. And if
you look at real clear politics right now, what you're
(08:45):
going to see is that Trump's approval is underwater by
about the average that these posters have understated. His support
and approval isn't support, it's not, you know, completely equal
to vote chair, of course, but it is one of
our best gauges for whether or not obviously the country
supports the president. So what I mean by this is
(09:05):
it's a little bit frustrating, you know, from my side
of the fence here, it's a little bit frustrating that
every election we go through this and where you know,
people who will support Donald Trump are panicked over the
media polls, and then we get to the election, they're wrong.
They're wrong dramatically, and there's like maybe three of us
in the entire country, the entire world who got the
(09:26):
election correct. Jack, And yet when the election is over,
we give them the same weight that we give to
the others who got it correct. And we have to
stop doing that. Emerging media should stop lending these people
that much credibility, because you are the new credible source
of news for the generation that's sixty and under. You
(09:47):
are that source of news. So when I turn on
you know, and I don't have to name drop anybody,
you know, the people I'm talking about when I turn
on these shows, and I see them obsessing over reuters
or ipsos s, this poll or that pole. I'll be
honest with you, it's a little bit disappointing. You know.
You spend hour after hour, day after day breaking this
stuff down and explaining to people that this industry is
(10:10):
filled with incompetence and it's filled with corruption. All right,
there's no other way to put it. And whatever is
fueling that is irrelevant and discussion for another day. But
it's proven. That is demonstrably true, demonstrably true, and every
election it continues to prove it. Especially in the Trump era,
it's gotten worse. So just remember that, you know, there
(10:30):
are a couple of us who know how to do
this correctly, and there are reasons for that we can
get into, but they're not many anymore. And that's sad,
but it's true. And I'll also say this, I was
concerned about this. I came on your show. We talked
about this a lot, the know and low prop voters
who supported Donald Trump. First time in my lifetime that
the adult or voter eligible population, the VP, the voting
(10:51):
eligible population was more Republican or more trumpy in this
case specifically, then the likely voter population altogether. It was
being driven by these people, those low and no prop voters,
and they don't take surveys, and they just appeared out
of nowhere. The response rates began to decline. Leading up
into the election. We were still all right, we still
did okay. But after the election, since his honeymoon ended,
(11:13):
these people have begun to phase out of the sample.
They go back to their normal life. They're not your
sixty five year old neighbor who's obsessing over Fox News
or obsessing over CNN is ready to pick up the
poll in the minute I call, or one of my
employees called. That's just not how it works. You know,
these guys are gone, and it's a challenge for us.
And you know, if you read the media headlines, you
(11:34):
would think that it's gospel brother Easter Sunday Gospel. It's not.
Speaker 1 (11:40):
Wait, people need I gotta tell you, man, I got
a neighbor that's like this, My neighbor, he's he's just
he's like, he's just under sixty. So he's right in
the aing range that you're talking about. But I mean,
I don't even need to watch CNN and MSNBC because
all I go do is I to my neighbor, or
(12:00):
I'll be out and I'm walking around and here, you know,
here he comes, and it's gonna be Oh Jack, I'm
at COVID was gonna kill everyone, and then and then
it was Russia. It was Putin, and Putin was gonna
kid the well we were all done for, and but
then also Putin was done for at the same time,
it was like an interesting thing where where Russia was
about to collapse and also Russia was about to take
(12:24):
over all of Europe. I remembered these conversations vividly, and
and it was always this weird like like I know
more than everybody else. And it's like, dude, you just
sit and watch TV all day. You're not like some
special savant or anything. All you're doing is repeating whatever
they said on Morning Joe, whatever Jake Tapper said. But
it's like it's like, oh, these people, they don't they
(12:45):
don't know what's coming. They don't know what's coming. They
need to watch CNN and they would know. And it's like,
do you ever And I wanted this ritch it This
is more of I guess, like a you know, epistemological question,
but it's like do they ever actually wonder about the
things that they hold. We're told we're true that never
actually came true.
Speaker 9 (13:03):
I don't know, I was that definitely is that type
of question, because it's like, what what do you think
you know? And do you ever look back and review
something that you may have thought you did know or
you had a good grasp on and now it is,
you know, proven, you know, it never came to fruition
and it's proven to be incorrect. These are the people,
honestly who somehow sympathize with the Palestinians and Israel is
(13:27):
the great, big Bad. Yet they love Vladimir's Lynsky. I mean,
Vladimir's lynk It's it doesn't make any It's not intellectually
consistent because they're following along with a social belief system,
a social.
Speaker 1 (13:44):
Jack.
Speaker 9 (13:45):
You're not going to find that among like people who
are forty five and below. Right, Also, they're just dying
to tell you everything they think they know. Meanwhile, the
next time you land in Vegas or even DC, ask
your Palestinian taxi drive, all right, ask your Hispanic uber
driver or whatever. The next time you guys, you know,
run around and go to these we all travel we
(14:07):
all travel a lot and ask them the last time
they even bother taking a pole or speaking to a polster.
I mean, I know it's anecdotal, but the fact of
the matter is these people have different behavioral They're in
different behavioral categories.
Speaker 1 (14:19):
We actually this is this is so this is so
important because you're right, those are the people who hang
up when the polster calls. They don't don't pick up,
are not interested, versus the people who, like my neighbor,
want to absolutely talk your ear off. This is Jack
pasobiclo with Rich Barris, the People's Pundit. We right back
(14:40):
you and Events Daily.
Speaker 10 (15:16):
Today.
Speaker 8 (15:16):
You know that you talk about influences. These are influences.
Speaker 9 (15:20):
And they're friends of mine.
Speaker 11 (15:22):
Jack, Jack got a breakdown, All right, Jack Pasobic and
we are back.
Speaker 1 (15:31):
This is today's edition of Human Events. Were on with
Rich Barris, the People's Pundit, someone who was and Rich,
let's be fair man, you were literally, if not the best,
within the top five polsters nationwide on this election. How
many people said we would go seven for seven in
the Swing States? Well, Rich Barris did. And it's funny
(15:53):
how nobody wants to give that level of credit. Was
it number one.
Speaker 9 (15:59):
Yeah, that's one. There were even the others who did
a good job. They may have had Harris winning Michigan,
or they may have had Harris winning North Carolina. We
are the only ones who had him sweeping every seriously
competitive state, you know, and then Minnesota was close, but
it wasn't you know, it was closer than it has
been in recent elections outside of sixteen, but it still was.
(16:22):
It's still lean to Harris. But everyone outside of myself
consistently had that. There was one polster who flip flopped
like crazy at the end, and I don't even consider
it credible. I mean, they announced they were doing final polling. Jack.
Then we came out with our final polling and they went, oops,
let me actually we were just kidding, just kidding, here's
(16:44):
our final polls. There's a joke. They took a bite
at the apple, the same damn apple, and it was
the same data set. Everyone knows it, everyone could see it.
So there's one. There was one person who did that
in this country. But these others did a good job.
So you know, when you have other firms out there
that did have Harris winning by one point in Michigan,
(17:04):
that's within the sample error, and they give an accurate
depiction of how close they that race was. But that's
not the industry's standard. And here's what. There's two things
I'm worried about. The people who don't know how to
do this job day in and day out. And I
know it sounds like I'm taking it personally, but I
kind of do. I have completely bought in, and I
(17:25):
always have. It's why I do this job. I've completely
bought in at George Gallup's belief in the role of
public polling in a self governing society. And it's dangerous
and it undermines democracy. Whether it doesn't matter whether or
not they're doing it in purpose or not, it doesn't matter.
It's so's distrust in the process. To have a polling
(17:46):
that constantly is inaccurate in one direction, which isn't probable,
it's not even possible. It's them that that's a systemic,
deep problem with the industry, And whether it's ethical or methodological,
it doesn't matter. It's happening, and the effect is the same.
And yet the people who are wrong year in and
year out not only get elevated, but and I think
(18:08):
maybe this is the part that drives me nuts the
most one side should should expect this. CNN is not
going to suddenly change because they're embarrassed and humiliated that
they were wrong. That's not going to happen. They're going
to change when they go out of business because you
don't watch or care about the CNN poll anymore, all right,
when they.
Speaker 1 (18:28):
Don't have the money to really feel, Tell me how
you really feel?
Speaker 9 (18:32):
Right, I mean, you're let me tell the audience this.
You're doing this, You're fueling this. You're you're popping a
blood vessel. Every time you GOV, who hasn't gotten an
election corrected fifteen years, every time you GOV puts out
a poll that you pop a blood vessel over you're
doing it. Just ignore them. They're not credible. Don't read
(18:54):
the papers that fund them. They're not credible.
Speaker 1 (18:57):
So Rich, what guys, what Rich is talking about? Just
to zoom out a little bit, is the issue is
that this generates headlines for so many news outlets, which
then generates the clicks and shares to say, oh my gosh,
all of a sudden, Trump is underwater on the on war,
(19:17):
he's underwater on election, the stock market, Oh my gosh,
look he's he's totally lost this segment of the population
on this issue immigration. It's it's you know, people are
totally the tariff. I remember Rich, they I believe it
was Yugov. Actually when that when Trump announced the tariffs,
all of a sudden, Yugov snappole comes out like twelve
(19:37):
hours later, and they're suddenly telling us that America hates
the tariffs. And then what do they do. They get
to go on CNN, and then they get to go
on MSNBC, and then it feels like, and I understand why,
but it even it's almost like the White House Press
team feels like we need to respond to the narrative
that's being put out by these organizations. And what Rich
(20:00):
is saying is the initial data that's coming in is bad,
So garbage in, garbage out. You're responding to a narrative
that is knowingly false. It's based on faulty assumptions, it's
based on bad data. So the people that you then
think you're responding to, they don't exist. And I'll just
(20:23):
you know, we're coming up on the break, but I'll
just put it this way. Go up to somebody who
voted for President Trump into twenty twenty four, election, and
ask you, do you regret your vote? Do you wish
you had voted for Kamala Harris? Do you wish Joe
Biden could still have been president? And see if you
can find anyone, anyone who will say that they wish
(20:45):
we had kept things going the way that they were going.
I guarantee you those people don't exist. This is a
false perception. It is false data. That's what's driving it.
And the White House I love them, and it's guys,
don't worry about this stuff. It's fake. It's fraudulent. And look,
that's why we call them the fake news. Jack Psovic
(21:06):
will be right back.
Speaker 8 (21:31):
And Jack, where's Jack? Where's Jack? Where is he? Jack?
I want to see you. Great job, Jack, Thank you,
what a job you do. You know, we have an
incredible thing. We're always talking about the fake news and.
Speaker 1 (21:48):
The bad, but we have guys, and these are the
guys shore be getting publics. All right, Jack Pasovic, here
we are back. It's today's edition of Human Events Daily. Look, folks,
I think it's no one's surprise that I've been at
the White House recently, numerous times that I've been traveling
with administration officials. The media, of course loves to report
(22:10):
this every so often as much as they can. But
you know, when you're in these various environments or when
you're traveling to Ukraine with Secretary of Treasury, you know,
communications security is paramount who is getting into your devices. Also,
you know when it comes to the Secretary, when it
comes to their security, and of course they have Secret
(22:31):
Service for the physical security, but they also have to
make sure that his communication security is protected and incredibly
of course because of all of the documents and sensitive
information that he is privy to in a real time basis,
and of course whenever you're around the President, it only
ratchets up further and further. So what does this make
(22:55):
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those cell phones in ours and around us, and the
laptops and everything else, we need to start thinking about
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We're on with Rich Barris, the People's pundit. Rich, You've
(24:05):
been going through and walking us really down this line
about how the media runs these fake push pulls to
generate their narratives, to generate false perceptions of reality, you know,
and I love it because then then Saturday rolls around
and here's Trump and Elon and they're walking into the
UFC and everybody's cheering and everybody's like on their feet
(24:25):
for him, and mel Gibson saluting from the front row,
and you're like, wait a minute, the people still like
the guy. This is not a situation where there's this
like massive outcry against Trump the way that the media
would have you believe. But that being said, Rich, we
do need to understand and tell the truth about what's
(24:46):
going on. And we know, of course that President Trump,
when it comes down to it, has been making some
very big changes and talking about even bigger changes. We
know this is spook the market the way that this
always hap and particularly on the economy. And that's why
on this issue, I did want to drill in, Rich,
what are you seeing in those numbers when it comes
(25:09):
down to it, because look these for for better or worse.
You know, personally, I think that America has has invested
too much in the stock market. I think this is
something that ultimately perhaps has gotten too much exposure to
the average American. Uh. This is a this is a
you know, like this is like a casino culture, and
yet suddenly we're told this is the best way to
(25:32):
uh to expand our money, and because of course this
is the way we've set ourselves up financially. I don't
usually pop off on this, but I guess I just am.
So that being said, though, that is where a lot
of people have their money so rich. What are you
seeing on the economic run?
Speaker 12 (25:47):
Yeah, I mean it's it's funny to majac in uh
the period of let's call it globalization, when they change
the economy from a goods producing economy to a primarily
service sector in market based.
Speaker 9 (26:02):
And I mean I don't mean markets the way people do.
I mean stock market obsessed based economy. They've collapsed it
no less than two times in order to change the
economy into a cheap goods, no manufacturing, no living wage economy.
It was going to take disruption to be able to
change it back, which is the agenda that people did
(26:23):
vote for. And so I just want people to understand
I'm not saying here that there's not economic concern and
for those who watch my show, everyone knows. For weeks,
I've been very critical of the White House's messaging because
I think they're reactive instead of being proactive, and they're
not speaking in the terms that I think they should
be speaking in or think would be effective. All right,
(26:44):
So I'm not absent criticism, But the truth is, it
is your narrative you're hearing right now that we live
in about the economy and living reality.
Speaker 1 (26:55):
We're not the left, that's right.
Speaker 9 (26:57):
I mean, it's being pushed by people who were never
honest to begin with, right, And what I really see
is a similar situation of what happened with Reagan when
he was elected in of course, the nineteen eighty election.
He was hammered from the day he took office in
eighty one, after those tax cuts and in the reforms
that he pushed, he was hammered all the way up
(27:18):
until eighty three when the economy started to turn around.
He needed to implement a little bit of pain in
order to fix what the Carter mistake. Carter and others.
It wasn't just Jimmy Carter, but in order to get
the country back in the right direction, he needed to
implement some pretty big changes. And it wasn't The benefits
were not immediate. It hurt, and people were concerned. I
(27:40):
just think that everything needs to be put in its
proper context. Most of the concern right now is not
being driven by reality of higher prices. It's being driven
by the perception that there will be higher prices, and
it's being driven by a certain group's perception. All right,
it is not a bad thing you just mentioned the USA.
It is not a thing to be the party of younger,
(28:03):
less white people. Okay, it is not a bad thing
to be the party of people maybe who now vote
at lower rates, but in the future are the growing
demographics of this country. You're reacting to negative sentiment that
is being put out and being exacerbated because these people
take polls, but particularly older voters who don't really care
(28:27):
about what the economy will look like ten years from now, Jack,
They care about what they had saved up for their
golden years right now, and they care about whether or
not social security will be enough. I cannot tell you
when we poll how many times I hear from you know,
let's just call it sixteen above, how many times we
will hear in a single polling session Elon Musk is
(28:47):
gonna take my social security? Okay, I mean, I cannot
tell you how many times we hear something like that.
Speaker 1 (28:52):
That is what ending. So much of that, by the way,
comes from what you hear. You hear democrats say this,
and yeah, broadcast media and cable media, they just regurgitate it.
They just gret elons never said anything about that. If
you're not actually spoken out against it. So many times
President Trump has been against it, but they know that's
the button to press for those voters. It doesn't matter
(29:13):
how many times President Trump has said it's a lie.
They will just lie.
Speaker 9 (29:18):
That's right, and you need to expect that. Look at
what I'm what I'm saying is here, you know, don't
don't miss the forest through the tree step and step
back and look at the bigger picture, all right. I mean,
if you course correct now, if you're the Trump administration
and you think you're course correcting, and you change course
now and try to go back to business as usual,
you're gonna forsake all of the little all right. And
(29:40):
it's time. And I really don't know how to say this.
President's a bigger thinker guy. You have to look past
your own presidency and agenda right now. And if you
want your legacy to survive, you're going to need these
voters to keep voting for people that have the same
letter after your name on the ballot in subsequent elections
in the present short term all right, let's say present
(30:02):
to like short term future. It is going to be
a little bit tough at the ballot box during special elections,
et cetera, et cetera. But the younger generation is basically
the most conservative generation we've seen in fifty years. I
don't know what.
Speaker 1 (30:17):
I don't know rich we've been talking about.
Speaker 11 (30:18):
You know what we've been talking about this week, to
have a rose for thirty years, that is it is
the you have. You now have this situation where millennials
and Gen y are the most right wing generation in
America by almost ten points according to Real Clear Politics,
(30:40):
almost ten points. So yes, we've seen the seventy plus
have like a negative fourteen deficit.
Speaker 1 (30:47):
But it's it's blowing. And by the way, you're not
gonna see this headline anywhere. I want to say, like
outside of me and you at like Charlie Kirk, no
one is talking about this. That it's millennials. Remember the millennials,
the stupid, lazy millennials, can't do anything, can't do anything right,
who are ruined America. Guess what they are? The ones
who realize that the system doesn't work for them, and
(31:10):
they love that Trump is fighting the system. That's what
peoplected Trump to do. These are the ones. And I'm
not going to relitigate the whole thing, but they like
the change versus what you're talking about the people at
the other end of the age spectrum, and it is economic.
A lot of this is economic driven, folks. Uh yeah, correction,
all of this is economic driven. That they're the ones
(31:33):
this system has worked for, and that's why they don't
like the changes. So what President Trump is doing is saying, look,
we're going to do the best to take care of everybody,
but the generation that's coming up right now, they need change,
and that's what they voted for.
Speaker 9 (31:48):
And I would say this too. Even that number that
you just flashed on the screen is exaggerated because I mean,
I don't want to go through this. But we've talked
about this a lot going in. I told you he
was not going to perform as poor with seniors as
the poll suggested going to the election. There are myriad
reasons for this that we've discussed. Polls are very bad there.
The younger people are underrepresented by the way in those
(32:11):
and the in those surveys, and the older people are
overrepresented and not even polled correctly. All right, let me
just the sample sizes alone. I can tell I already
know the answer to this question. But you do any
post gratification, you do any multi level regression, you did not.
Your sample is not big enough. We when we do,
and this is why people should go to the Public
Polling Project. Support the Public Polling Project. Yes, that is
(32:34):
a pitch, go to big data poll and do it.
This is why we break down age details the way
we do, and why we stress then in this day
and age, bigger is better, all right? Bottom line, you
need much larger samples and the reason they all Look
at what Ann Seltzer did in Iowas. She was a
perfect example of this. She completely mispolled the senior vote.
(32:56):
They're not Their samples are not big enough to even
do that level of analysis or that level of that
granular level of waiting because they're not breaking up the
fifty to sixty fours, the sixty five to seventy fours,
the seventy five pluses. Laura hates it when I get
into detail like this on shows because she thinks I'm
telling other posters who are bad at their job secrets
that they should figure out on their own. And she's
(33:16):
probably right, but it's true they're not. They do not
have representative or large enough samples for each of these
subgroups to do the level of waiting that is necessary
to see whether or not you are accurately polling these
age groups. And they were a bus going into the election.
So now why again, how many states did Reuter's pull correctly?
(33:36):
How many states did the New York Times poll correctly?
How many states did Maris poll correctly?
Speaker 1 (33:41):
How many is?
Speaker 9 (33:41):
And I could just keep going because none of them did.
There were like three of us who did a good job.
And I'm telling you it's because they're not doing any
of this. They get it all wrong. They basically gave
Harris a massive advantage with seniors that she never had
by the way they did it for Biden too. Then
this has been a trend that's been happening in.
Speaker 10 (34:00):
It, you know what, and now here we are what
it was reflected at the box or excuse me, a
box office at the whole this wasn't what he was
reflected at the ballot box.
Speaker 1 (34:12):
Be right back, Jack mesobic Rich Barris, Human Events Daily.
Speaker 3 (34:46):
Yeah.
Speaker 9 (34:50):
Jack is a great guy.
Speaker 1 (34:51):
He's written at fantastic book.
Speaker 9 (34:53):
Everybody's talking about it.
Speaker 12 (34:54):
Go get it.
Speaker 2 (34:55):
And he's been my friend right.
Speaker 10 (34:56):
From the beginning of this whole.
Speaker 9 (34:58):
Beautiful event and turn out and make our affecting to
get you.
Speaker 7 (35:02):
Then you pull the public, and it turns out the
public can hold conflicting views even within themselves. Part of
my job to figure out, okay, where do they actually
feel on the overall immigration picture.
Speaker 1 (35:14):
And I think it's important to.
Speaker 7 (35:15):
Note, as we have mentioned, is that Donald Trump's net
approval rating on immigration is actually positive, which is very
much like unlike his first trum. If you ask are
we on the right track or the wrong track when
it comes to immigration policy, the plurality say that we're
on the right track, which is very different from where
we were just a few months ago under Joe Biden.
So yeah, you see those pulling and you see it's conflicting.
(35:36):
It kind of actually reminds me a little bit of
the gun control debate, right where you see, oh my god,
ninety percent back background checks, and then of course you
look at ballot measures in places like Nevada and Maine,
and then when it's actually on the ballot, it's basically
fifty to fifty. In my opinion on this particular topic,
what we're really talking about in the metric we should
be looking to is do people like when they ask
do you like what Donald Trump's doing on immigration? And
(35:58):
plurality says yes, which is what's going on. Then that's
the number that I think is most representative of the public.
Speaker 3 (36:04):
At Lark, when I'm working long hours, I'm always listening
to human events with Jack par Jeck Paciovic.
Speaker 1 (36:11):
We're here for a final segment with Rich Barris. And
you know, as we come to President Trump's first one
hundred days, his second hundred days in a sense because
of the second administration, let's take a look back because
we're almost coming up and this will be here very
soon on the ten year anniversary of President Trump coming
down that golden escalator. And remember what the world was
(36:34):
like in twenty fifteen. If you were a Republican and
you mentioned the word deportations, you were pushed to the side,
You were shunned, you were publicly attacked by the media.
You were far right because you wanted illegal aliens out
of the country or god forbid. You wanted to maintain
(36:56):
the current standard of the country that we live in now.
Wanted peace. You didn't want congestion in your cities. You
didn't want this creaking education system, healthcare system, housing situation.
All of these problems that are exacerbated because there are
too many people in this country, or the fact that
you don't like the cheap foreign labor being imported that's
(37:18):
literally pushing people out of their own jobs in places
like Disney where they we're having to train their own
foreign replacements. You were considered a psycho, and now you
look what's going on. They turn around and say, you
know what, on this question, even even CNN has to
admit it that Trump is ascendant on this issue. That
(37:39):
Trump won on this issue. His entire political career is
because he got this right. And in addition all of
the incredible talents and everything else that he's accomplished, but
he was right on the money when it came to
this issue where the American people are rich. Barris want
to bring you in here, and I really do think
(38:01):
that it's incredible that look at where you know, just
as we talk about, you know, the trajectory of things,
look at where the Republican Party has come since the
autopsy of twenty twelve to today on this issue. It
is night and day and these people have absolutely fallen.
They have absolutely fallen. And I got to just say
(38:24):
one more thing before we get out, is that to
the Republicans in DC, if you think, oh, well, we'll
just slow roll Trump and then we'll go back to
the Mitt Romney Jeb Bush. No, No, those type of
candidates are never going to win again. If you do
try to go back to that kind of party, not
only will you destroy the coalition Maha as well, what
(38:47):
you're going to end up with is a world where
the far left, like the Luigi's actually take over.
Speaker 9 (38:53):
Rich Barris, Yeah, that's c an end clip. That was
actually interesting. What he's essentially referred is the wording of surveys.
That is what he is being critical. I am like
forced to say that Harry is right here. He's not
right often, but when he is, he is. What he's
saying is the survey wording is not getting to the
(39:13):
core of public opinion. And it's a great example is
background check and gun control. Oh my god, ninety percent
support you know, these databases and doing background checks right,
But then when these measures get thrown on ballads, initiatives
and competitive states, they get thrashed or at best, like
you said, it's fifty to fifty. We see this with
a lot of a lot of issues, Jack. The bottom
(39:35):
line is tariffs, do you or would you do you
support what Trump is doing with tariffs, and do you
support the end gold are you willing to take a
little bit of pain in order to get to like
this better future? I mean, they're not really wording these
questions like that. They're like, you know, do you support
the tariffs that are going to increase the cost of prices?
So that's what he's referring to. And the funny thing
(39:57):
about the autopsy is this, Donald Trump's public Party is
exactly what the so called autopsy of twenty twelve called
for the party to become. And yet the very people
who commissioned, the very you know, politicals who commissioned it,
the very donors who paid for it, they're the ones
who are making the biggest they pose the biggest threat
(40:20):
to Donald Trump's White House, his coalition, and the ultimate
success of the policy agenda. And I find that to
be very ironic, whatever you want to call it, and
I have for many years. This is the party the
autopsy said they wanted. This is the party the autopsy
claimed they needed to get in order to survive as
(40:41):
a national political force. They got younger people, they got
more black voters, they got more Hispanic voters. They are
the party of the rising demographics. And that is amazing
since you know, once upon a time we were all
obsessing over a book called The Emerging Democratic Majority, which
argued that demographics for destiny and that Democrats would be
(41:04):
the ascendant party and there was nothing Republicans could do
about it. And of course I always thought it was faulty,
because this is something Republicans need to remember right now.
Demographics are destiny is a flawed theory because consistent political coalitions,
the only thing they're consistent with, Jack, is that they
consistently evolve, and the policy that parties support. I believe
(41:25):
in rational policy choice. The policies that parties support, they
back and they advance.
Speaker 13 (41:31):
Absolutely that the key people the coalition together rich bearers,
that if people pundit, please go follow him people's pundit,
dot locals, dot com, the big data poll.
Speaker 1 (41:41):
I am Jack Bosobic, Ladies and gentlemen. As always you
have you have my permission to lay assured
This is what happens when the fourth Turning meets fifth
generation warfare.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
A commentator, international social media sensation and former Navy intelligence veteran, This.
Speaker 3 (00:20):
Is Human Events with your host Jack Posovic.
Speaker 4 (00:23):
Christ is King breaking a news from overnight. Kiev hit
by a massive Russian drone and missile attack, the deadliest
since the summer of twenty twenty four. Nine people were killed,
more than seventy were injured. Two residential apartment buildings were hit,
while other buildings in the capitol were also targeted. First
responders are still looking for anyone that could be trapped
in the rubble. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski cut his trip
(00:46):
in South Africa early in order to go.
Speaker 3 (00:48):
Back to keep This morning, trade war confusion China pushing
back after President Trump indicated that the US is negotiating
with the world's other biggest economy. Overnight, multiple Chinese officials
denying that the talks, one saying quote, there are no
trade negotiations between China and the US, and he claims
about progress are unfounded.
Speaker 5 (01:07):
Yesterday, the President signed executive orders targeting universities he views
as liberal adversaries to his political agenda. It's part of
his campaign and what he calls wokeness and diversity efforts
in education.
Speaker 6 (01:21):
The Supreme corn appears to favor an opt out option
for LGBTQ plus readings in school. A majority of the
justices signaling support for the religious rights of parents in
Maryland who want to remove their kids from classes using
the story books.
Speaker 7 (01:37):
Donald Trump's net approvating on immigration is actually positive, which
is very much unlike his firstterm. If you ask, are
we on the right track or the wrong track when
it comes to immigration policy, the pluralities say that we're
on the right track, which is very different from where
we were just a few months ago under Joei joh And.
Speaker 1 (01:53):
Welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily here live Washington,
d C. Today is April twenty fourth, twenty twenty five.
Anno domini one hundred days. That's right, We are less
than one week away from the one hundredth day of
President Trump's second term, his second administration. Many are calling it,
(02:16):
and in fact I'm pleased to announce and to have heard.
The President and his team announced last night that they
have decided they will in fact be holding a massive
public rally to celebrate one hundred days up in Michigan.
I think this is great. I think the fact that
the inauguration was itself canceled for President Trump, he wasn't
(02:39):
able to have the parade, he wasn't able to celebrate
the victory. I think it's big and I think it's important.
I hope that there is in fact a lot of
pump and circumstance at this rally. I hope that they
add some more of those elements so that it's not
just a traditional political rally for President Trump, but also
a moment for the country and everyone to understand that
(03:00):
this country has been changed, has been shaped, and has
been shifted because of the events of twenty twenty four
but even at large, the events of the last one
hundred days. And so what are we talking about the
things that have been done? Look, my top three have
always been and I've been talking about this for years, trade, immigration,
and foreign policy. If we're able to change the trade, immigration,
(03:23):
and foreign policy, we can change the entire trajectory of
this country. And how do we do that? Well? In trade,
of course, we know he's fighting the terrified On immigration.
Look what's happening the mass deportations. Yes, I know there's
fights in the courts, but the administration has completely changed
the entire tenor of what's going on. Now, if you
(03:45):
get caught in one of these gangs, where do you
get sent l Salvador, You get sent to Bukel A
and Bukel will put you away. And then finally, of course,
foreign policy working to wind down the wars, particularly the
war between Russia and Ukraine that, as we learned recently,
has been run by the United States militarily on the
(04:07):
tactical and operational level out of an intelligence command and
control suite in Germany. This is what we elected President
Trump to do. And so I sit there day and
day out and say, you know what, We've got to
actually make sure that we get all that across in
the swamp, because it is the swamp running these information
(04:29):
warfare and four GW attacks and operations on President Trump,
on the administration, Pete Hegseth and others about what they're doing.
But let's talk about where the American people are and
how they think about this coming up next.
Speaker 8 (05:05):
Nothing will stand in our way, and our golden age
has just begun.
Speaker 3 (05:10):
This is human events with Jack Psovic.
Speaker 1 (05:12):
Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First
truly means.
Speaker 3 (05:16):
Welcome to the Second American.
Speaker 1 (05:20):
Revolution, all right, Jack Pasobic Here, folks want to bring
in Charlie Kirk's third hour audience on the Salem Radio
Network for today's edition of Human Events Daily. Folks, President
Trump has always put America first, strengthening our border, strengthening
our economy, and standing up to global elites who'd rather
(05:41):
see us fall. And just like Trump is fighting to
protect America's future, you should be fighting to protect your
financial future too. While others are distracted, gold is quietly
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is everything that you've worked or all right, folks, coming
(06:45):
up on the one hundred days of President Trump's administration,
the first one hundred days of his second administration, we
should say, and I wanted to break down not only
where the president is, but also where the country is.
And who better to understand that in public opinion then
the people's pundit himself. Rich Barris joins us here on
(07:05):
the program, What's up Bridge? Live in the dream?
Speaker 8 (07:08):
Jack?
Speaker 9 (07:09):
How you doing? Brother? Oh?
Speaker 1 (07:11):
We loved the dream and we're living the dream every
single day. And so look, I got to tell you.
I'm looking at some of the things across the board,
and I'll just say, you know, people say, oh, it's
you know, it's it's you know, there's this thing, there's
that there. I say, guys, guys, it's a fight. We
always knew it was going to be a fight. We
told you it was going to be a fight. Yeah,
we won in November. But just because we won the
(07:34):
battle didn't mean the war was over. No. It meant
that the war was moving to the next phase, as
people say, what about the courts, what about this the
old guys, guys, guys, did you really think that they
were just going to give you your country back? Hand
you your country back? Never ever so rich. That being said,
let's talk about where President Trump is now in terms
(07:56):
of these approval ratings, which by the way, are pretty
high when it comes to President Trump.
Speaker 9 (08:02):
To begin with, yeah, I just want to I just
want to preface that answer with something. But yeah, I mean,
they were never gonna roll over Jack. Let me just
say that. But I want to preface this what I'm
about to say with something which is and it's stunning
to me that we have to go through this every
year after every cycle after cycle. I cannot beat this
(08:24):
like anymore, like a dead horse. Not all polls are
created equal, And it is stunning to me that here
we are now a couple of months after the election
in April, and we're still looking at the same polsters
who got stuff wrong and giving them the same level
of credibility as those who got it right. And if
you look at real clear politics right now, what you're
(08:45):
going to see is that Trump's approval is underwater by
about the average that these posters have understated. His support
and approval isn't support, it's not, you know, completely equal
to vote chair, of course, but it is one of
our best gauges for whether or not obviously the country
supports the president. So what I mean by this is
(09:05):
it's a little bit frustrating, you know, from my side
of the fence here, it's a little bit frustrating that
every election we go through this and where you know,
people who will support Donald Trump are panicked over the
media polls, and then we get to the election, they're wrong.
They're wrong dramatically, and there's like maybe three of us
in the entire country, the entire world who got the
(09:26):
election correct. Jack, And yet when the election is over,
we give them the same weight that we give to
the others who got it correct. And we have to
stop doing that. Emerging media should stop lending these people
that much credibility, because you are the new credible source
of news for the generation that's sixty and under. You
(09:47):
are that source of news. So when I turn on
you know, and I don't have to name drop anybody,
you know, the people I'm talking about when I turn
on these shows, and I see them obsessing over reuters
or ipsos s, this poll or that pole. I'll be
honest with you, it's a little bit disappointing. You know.
You spend hour after hour, day after day breaking this
stuff down and explaining to people that this industry is
(10:10):
filled with incompetence and it's filled with corruption. All right,
there's no other way to put it. And whatever is
fueling that is irrelevant and discussion for another day. But
it's proven. That is demonstrably true, demonstrably true, and every
election it continues to prove it. Especially in the Trump era,
it's gotten worse. So just remember that, you know, there
(10:30):
are a couple of us who know how to do
this correctly, and there are reasons for that we can
get into, but they're not many anymore. And that's sad,
but it's true. And I'll also say this, I was
concerned about this. I came on your show. We talked
about this a lot, the know and low prop voters
who supported Donald Trump. First time in my lifetime that
the adult or voter eligible population, the VP, the voting
(10:51):
eligible population was more Republican or more trumpy in this
case specifically, then the likely voter population altogether. It was
being driven by these people, those low and no prop voters,
and they don't take surveys, and they just appeared out
of nowhere. The response rates began to decline. Leading up
into the election. We were still all right, we still
did okay. But after the election, since his honeymoon ended,
(11:13):
these people have begun to phase out of the sample.
They go back to their normal life. They're not your
sixty five year old neighbor who's obsessing over Fox News
or obsessing over CNN is ready to pick up the
poll in the minute I call, or one of my
employees called. That's just not how it works. You know,
these guys are gone, and it's a challenge for us.
And you know, if you read the media headlines, you
(11:34):
would think that it's gospel brother Easter Sunday Gospel. It's not.
Speaker 1 (11:40):
Wait, people need I gotta tell you, man, I got
a neighbor that's like this, My neighbor, he's he's just
he's like, he's just under sixty. So he's right in
the aing range that you're talking about. But I mean,
I don't even need to watch CNN and MSNBC because
all I go do is I to my neighbor, or
(12:00):
I'll be out and I'm walking around and here, you know,
here he comes, and it's gonna be Oh Jack, I'm
at COVID was gonna kill everyone, and then and then
it was Russia. It was Putin, and Putin was gonna
kid the well we were all done for, and but
then also Putin was done for at the same time,
it was like an interesting thing where where Russia was
about to collapse and also Russia was about to take
(12:24):
over all of Europe. I remembered these conversations vividly, and
and it was always this weird like like I know
more than everybody else. And it's like, dude, you just
sit and watch TV all day. You're not like some
special savant or anything. All you're doing is repeating whatever
they said on Morning Joe, whatever Jake Tapper said. But
it's like it's like, oh, these people, they don't they
(12:45):
don't know what's coming. They don't know what's coming. They
need to watch CNN and they would know. And it's like,
do you ever And I wanted this ritch it This
is more of I guess, like a you know, epistemological question,
but it's like do they ever actually wonder about the
things that they hold. We're told we're true that never
actually came true.
Speaker 9 (13:03):
I don't know, I was that definitely is that type
of question, because it's like, what what do you think
you know? And do you ever look back and review
something that you may have thought you did know or
you had a good grasp on and now it is,
you know, proven, you know, it never came to fruition
and it's proven to be incorrect. These are the people,
honestly who somehow sympathize with the Palestinians and Israel is
(13:27):
the great, big Bad. Yet they love Vladimir's Lynsky. I mean,
Vladimir's lynk It's it doesn't make any It's not intellectually
consistent because they're following along with a social belief system,
a social.
Speaker 1 (13:44):
Jack.
Speaker 9 (13:45):
You're not going to find that among like people who
are forty five and below. Right, Also, they're just dying
to tell you everything they think they know. Meanwhile, the
next time you land in Vegas or even DC, ask
your Palestinian taxi drive, all right, ask your Hispanic uber
driver or whatever. The next time you guys, you know,
run around and go to these we all travel we
(14:07):
all travel a lot and ask them the last time
they even bother taking a pole or speaking to a polster.
I mean, I know it's anecdotal, but the fact of
the matter is these people have different behavioral They're in
different behavioral categories.
Speaker 1 (14:19):
We actually this is this is so this is so
important because you're right, those are the people who hang
up when the polster calls. They don't don't pick up,
are not interested, versus the people who, like my neighbor,
want to absolutely talk your ear off. This is Jack
pasobiclo with Rich Barris, the People's Pundit. We right back
(14:40):
you and Events Daily.
Speaker 10 (15:16):
Today.
Speaker 8 (15:16):
You know that you talk about influences. These are influences.
Speaker 9 (15:20):
And they're friends of mine.
Speaker 11 (15:22):
Jack, Jack got a breakdown, All right, Jack Pasobic and
we are back.
Speaker 1 (15:31):
This is today's edition of Human Events. Were on with
Rich Barris, the People's Pundit, someone who was and Rich,
let's be fair man, you were literally, if not the best,
within the top five polsters nationwide on this election. How
many people said we would go seven for seven in
the Swing States? Well, Rich Barris did. And it's funny
(15:53):
how nobody wants to give that level of credit. Was
it number one.
Speaker 9 (15:59):
Yeah, that's one. There were even the others who did
a good job. They may have had Harris winning Michigan,
or they may have had Harris winning North Carolina. We
are the only ones who had him sweeping every seriously
competitive state, you know, and then Minnesota was close, but
it wasn't you know, it was closer than it has
been in recent elections outside of sixteen, but it still was.
(16:22):
It's still lean to Harris. But everyone outside of myself
consistently had that. There was one polster who flip flopped
like crazy at the end, and I don't even consider
it credible. I mean, they announced they were doing final polling. Jack.
Then we came out with our final polling and they went, oops,
let me actually we were just kidding, just kidding, here's
(16:44):
our final polls. There's a joke. They took a bite
at the apple, the same damn apple, and it was
the same data set. Everyone knows it, everyone could see it.
So there's one. There was one person who did that
in this country. But these others did a good job.
So you know, when you have other firms out there
that did have Harris winning by one point in Michigan,
(17:04):
that's within the sample error, and they give an accurate
depiction of how close they that race was. But that's
not the industry's standard. And here's what. There's two things
I'm worried about. The people who don't know how to
do this job day in and day out. And I
know it sounds like I'm taking it personally, but I
kind of do. I have completely bought in, and I
(17:25):
always have. It's why I do this job. I've completely
bought in at George Gallup's belief in the role of
public polling in a self governing society. And it's dangerous
and it undermines democracy. Whether it doesn't matter whether or
not they're doing it in purpose or not, it doesn't matter.
It's so's distrust in the process. To have a polling
(17:46):
that constantly is inaccurate in one direction, which isn't probable,
it's not even possible. It's them that that's a systemic,
deep problem with the industry, And whether it's ethical or methodological,
it doesn't matter. It's happening, and the effect is the same.
And yet the people who are wrong year in and
year out not only get elevated, but and I think
(18:08):
maybe this is the part that drives me nuts the
most one side should should expect this. CNN is not
going to suddenly change because they're embarrassed and humiliated that
they were wrong. That's not going to happen. They're going
to change when they go out of business because you
don't watch or care about the CNN poll anymore, all right,
when they.
Speaker 1 (18:28):
Don't have the money to really feel, Tell me how
you really feel?
Speaker 9 (18:32):
Right, I mean, you're let me tell the audience this.
You're doing this, You're fueling this. You're you're popping a
blood vessel. Every time you GOV, who hasn't gotten an
election corrected fifteen years, every time you GOV puts out
a poll that you pop a blood vessel over you're
doing it. Just ignore them. They're not credible. Don't read
(18:54):
the papers that fund them. They're not credible.
Speaker 1 (18:57):
So Rich, what guys, what Rich is talking about? Just
to zoom out a little bit, is the issue is
that this generates headlines for so many news outlets, which
then generates the clicks and shares to say, oh my gosh,
all of a sudden, Trump is underwater on the on war,
(19:17):
he's underwater on election, the stock market, Oh my gosh,
look he's he's totally lost this segment of the population
on this issue immigration. It's it's you know, people are
totally the tariff. I remember Rich, they I believe it
was Yugov. Actually when that when Trump announced the tariffs,
all of a sudden, Yugov snappole comes out like twelve
(19:37):
hours later, and they're suddenly telling us that America hates
the tariffs. And then what do they do. They get
to go on CNN, and then they get to go
on MSNBC, and then it feels like, and I understand why,
but it even it's almost like the White House Press
team feels like we need to respond to the narrative
that's being put out by these organizations. And what Rich
(20:00):
is saying is the initial data that's coming in is bad,
So garbage in, garbage out. You're responding to a narrative
that is knowingly false. It's based on faulty assumptions, it's
based on bad data. So the people that you then
think you're responding to, they don't exist. And I'll just
(20:23):
you know, we're coming up on the break, but I'll
just put it this way. Go up to somebody who
voted for President Trump into twenty twenty four, election, and
ask you, do you regret your vote? Do you wish
you had voted for Kamala Harris? Do you wish Joe
Biden could still have been president? And see if you
can find anyone, anyone who will say that they wish
(20:45):
we had kept things going the way that they were going.
I guarantee you those people don't exist. This is a
false perception. It is false data. That's what's driving it.
And the White House I love them, and it's guys,
don't worry about this stuff. It's fake. It's fraudulent. And look,
that's why we call them the fake news. Jack Psovic
(21:06):
will be right back.
Speaker 8 (21:31):
And Jack, where's Jack? Where's Jack? Where is he? Jack?
I want to see you. Great job, Jack, Thank you,
what a job you do. You know, we have an
incredible thing. We're always talking about the fake news and.
Speaker 1 (21:48):
The bad, but we have guys, and these are the
guys shore be getting publics. All right, Jack Pasovic, here
we are back. It's today's edition of Human Events Daily. Look, folks,
I think it's no one's surprise that I've been at
the White House recently, numerous times that I've been traveling
with administration officials. The media, of course loves to report
(22:10):
this every so often as much as they can. But
you know, when you're in these various environments or when
you're traveling to Ukraine with Secretary of Treasury, you know,
communications security is paramount who is getting into your devices. Also,
you know when it comes to the Secretary, when it
comes to their security, and of course they have Secret
(22:31):
Service for the physical security, but they also have to
make sure that his communication security is protected and incredibly
of course because of all of the documents and sensitive
information that he is privy to in a real time basis,
and of course whenever you're around the President, it only
ratchets up further and further. So what does this make
(22:55):
us think? Well, as consumers, as people who all have
those cell phones in ours and around us, and the
laptops and everything else, we need to start thinking about
our own communications security. And that's where Silent comes in.
Silent provides faraday products that block all incoming and outgoing
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(23:17):
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(23:41):
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for fifteen percent off and free shipping. This is Jack Pisobic.
We're on with Rich Barris, the People's pundit. Rich, You've
(24:05):
been going through and walking us really down this line
about how the media runs these fake push pulls to
generate their narratives, to generate false perceptions of reality, you know,
and I love it because then then Saturday rolls around
and here's Trump and Elon and they're walking into the
UFC and everybody's cheering and everybody's like on their feet
(24:25):
for him, and mel Gibson saluting from the front row,
and you're like, wait a minute, the people still like
the guy. This is not a situation where there's this
like massive outcry against Trump the way that the media
would have you believe. But that being said, Rich, we
do need to understand and tell the truth about what's
(24:46):
going on. And we know, of course that President Trump,
when it comes down to it, has been making some
very big changes and talking about even bigger changes. We
know this is spook the market the way that this
always hap and particularly on the economy. And that's why
on this issue, I did want to drill in, Rich,
what are you seeing in those numbers when it comes
(25:09):
down to it, because look these for for better or worse.
You know, personally, I think that America has has invested
too much in the stock market. I think this is
something that ultimately perhaps has gotten too much exposure to
the average American. Uh. This is a this is a
you know, like this is like a casino culture, and
yet suddenly we're told this is the best way to
(25:32):
uh to expand our money, and because of course this
is the way we've set ourselves up financially. I don't
usually pop off on this, but I guess I just am.
So that being said, though, that is where a lot
of people have their money so rich. What are you
seeing on the economic run?
Speaker 12 (25:47):
Yeah, I mean it's it's funny to majac in uh
the period of let's call it globalization, when they change
the economy from a goods producing economy to a primarily
service sector in market based.
Speaker 9 (26:02):
And I mean I don't mean markets the way people do.
I mean stock market obsessed based economy. They've collapsed it
no less than two times in order to change the
economy into a cheap goods, no manufacturing, no living wage economy.
It was going to take disruption to be able to
change it back, which is the agenda that people did
(26:23):
vote for. And so I just want people to understand
I'm not saying here that there's not economic concern and
for those who watch my show, everyone knows. For weeks,
I've been very critical of the White House's messaging because
I think they're reactive instead of being proactive, and they're
not speaking in the terms that I think they should
be speaking in or think would be effective. All right,
(26:44):
So I'm not absent criticism, But the truth is, it
is your narrative you're hearing right now that we live
in about the economy and living reality.
Speaker 1 (26:55):
We're not the left, that's right.
Speaker 9 (26:57):
I mean, it's being pushed by people who were never
honest to begin with, right, And what I really see
is a similar situation of what happened with Reagan when
he was elected in of course, the nineteen eighty election.
He was hammered from the day he took office in
eighty one, after those tax cuts and in the reforms
that he pushed, he was hammered all the way up
(27:18):
until eighty three when the economy started to turn around.
He needed to implement a little bit of pain in
order to fix what the Carter mistake. Carter and others.
It wasn't just Jimmy Carter, but in order to get
the country back in the right direction, he needed to
implement some pretty big changes. And it wasn't The benefits
were not immediate. It hurt, and people were concerned. I
(27:40):
just think that everything needs to be put in its
proper context. Most of the concern right now is not
being driven by reality of higher prices. It's being driven
by the perception that there will be higher prices, and
it's being driven by a certain group's perception. All right,
it is not a bad thing you just mentioned the USA.
It is not a thing to be the party of younger,
(28:03):
less white people. Okay, it is not a bad thing
to be the party of people maybe who now vote
at lower rates, but in the future are the growing
demographics of this country. You're reacting to negative sentiment that
is being put out and being exacerbated because these people
take polls, but particularly older voters who don't really care
(28:27):
about what the economy will look like ten years from now, Jack,
They care about what they had saved up for their
golden years right now, and they care about whether or
not social security will be enough. I cannot tell you
when we poll how many times I hear from you know,
let's just call it sixteen above, how many times we
will hear in a single polling session Elon Musk is
(28:47):
gonna take my social security? Okay, I mean, I cannot
tell you how many times we hear something like that.
Speaker 1 (28:52):
That is what ending. So much of that, by the way,
comes from what you hear. You hear democrats say this,
and yeah, broadcast media and cable media, they just regurgitate it.
They just gret elons never said anything about that. If
you're not actually spoken out against it. So many times
President Trump has been against it, but they know that's
the button to press for those voters. It doesn't matter
(29:13):
how many times President Trump has said it's a lie.
They will just lie.
Speaker 9 (29:18):
That's right, and you need to expect that. Look at
what I'm what I'm saying is here, you know, don't
don't miss the forest through the tree step and step
back and look at the bigger picture, all right. I mean,
if you course correct now, if you're the Trump administration
and you think you're course correcting, and you change course
now and try to go back to business as usual,
you're gonna forsake all of the little all right. And
(29:40):
it's time. And I really don't know how to say this.
President's a bigger thinker guy. You have to look past
your own presidency and agenda right now. And if you
want your legacy to survive, you're going to need these
voters to keep voting for people that have the same
letter after your name on the ballot in subsequent elections
in the present short term all right, let's say present
(30:02):
to like short term future. It is going to be
a little bit tough at the ballot box during special elections,
et cetera, et cetera. But the younger generation is basically
the most conservative generation we've seen in fifty years. I
don't know what.
Speaker 1 (30:17):
I don't know rich we've been talking about.
Speaker 11 (30:18):
You know what we've been talking about this week, to
have a rose for thirty years, that is it is
the you have. You now have this situation where millennials
and Gen y are the most right wing generation in
America by almost ten points according to Real Clear Politics,
(30:40):
almost ten points. So yes, we've seen the seventy plus
have like a negative fourteen deficit.
Speaker 1 (30:47):
But it's it's blowing. And by the way, you're not
gonna see this headline anywhere. I want to say, like
outside of me and you at like Charlie Kirk, no
one is talking about this. That it's millennials. Remember the millennials,
the stupid, lazy millennials, can't do anything, can't do anything right,
who are ruined America. Guess what they are? The ones
who realize that the system doesn't work for them, and
(31:10):
they love that Trump is fighting the system. That's what
peoplected Trump to do. These are the ones. And I'm
not going to relitigate the whole thing, but they like
the change versus what you're talking about the people at
the other end of the age spectrum, and it is economic.
A lot of this is economic driven, folks. Uh yeah, correction,
all of this is economic driven. That they're the ones
(31:33):
this system has worked for, and that's why they don't
like the changes. So what President Trump is doing is saying, look,
we're going to do the best to take care of everybody,
but the generation that's coming up right now, they need change,
and that's what they voted for.
Speaker 9 (31:48):
And I would say this too. Even that number that
you just flashed on the screen is exaggerated because I mean,
I don't want to go through this. But we've talked
about this a lot going in. I told you he
was not going to perform as poor with seniors as
the poll suggested going to the election. There are myriad
reasons for this that we've discussed. Polls are very bad there.
The younger people are underrepresented by the way in those
(32:11):
and the in those surveys, and the older people are
overrepresented and not even polled correctly. All right, let me
just the sample sizes alone. I can tell I already
know the answer to this question. But you do any
post gratification, you do any multi level regression, you did not.
Your sample is not big enough. We when we do,
and this is why people should go to the Public
Polling Project. Support the Public Polling Project. Yes, that is
(32:34):
a pitch, go to big data poll and do it.
This is why we break down age details the way
we do, and why we stress then in this day
and age, bigger is better, all right? Bottom line, you
need much larger samples and the reason they all Look
at what Ann Seltzer did in Iowas. She was a
perfect example of this. She completely mispolled the senior vote.
(32:56):
They're not Their samples are not big enough to even
do that level of analysis or that level of that
granular level of waiting because they're not breaking up the
fifty to sixty fours, the sixty five to seventy fours,
the seventy five pluses. Laura hates it when I get
into detail like this on shows because she thinks I'm
telling other posters who are bad at their job secrets
that they should figure out on their own. And she's
(33:16):
probably right, but it's true they're not. They do not
have representative or large enough samples for each of these
subgroups to do the level of waiting that is necessary
to see whether or not you are accurately polling these
age groups. And they were a bus going into the election.
So now why again, how many states did Reuter's pull correctly?
(33:36):
How many states did the New York Times poll correctly?
How many states did Maris poll correctly?
Speaker 1 (33:41):
How many is?
Speaker 9 (33:41):
And I could just keep going because none of them did.
There were like three of us who did a good job.
And I'm telling you it's because they're not doing any
of this. They get it all wrong. They basically gave
Harris a massive advantage with seniors that she never had
by the way they did it for Biden too. Then
this has been a trend that's been happening in.
Speaker 10 (34:00):
It, you know what, and now here we are what
it was reflected at the box or excuse me, a
box office at the whole this wasn't what he was
reflected at the ballot box.
Speaker 1 (34:12):
Be right back, Jack mesobic Rich Barris, Human Events Daily.
Speaker 3 (34:46):
Yeah.
Speaker 9 (34:50):
Jack is a great guy.
Speaker 1 (34:51):
He's written at fantastic book.
Speaker 9 (34:53):
Everybody's talking about it.
Speaker 12 (34:54):
Go get it.
Speaker 2 (34:55):
And he's been my friend right.
Speaker 10 (34:56):
From the beginning of this whole.
Speaker 9 (34:58):
Beautiful event and turn out and make our affecting to
get you.
Speaker 7 (35:02):
Then you pull the public, and it turns out the
public can hold conflicting views even within themselves. Part of
my job to figure out, okay, where do they actually
feel on the overall immigration picture.
Speaker 1 (35:14):
And I think it's important to.
Speaker 7 (35:15):
Note, as we have mentioned, is that Donald Trump's net
approval rating on immigration is actually positive, which is very
much like unlike his first trum. If you ask are
we on the right track or the wrong track when
it comes to immigration policy, the plurality say that we're
on the right track, which is very different from where
we were just a few months ago under Joe Biden.
So yeah, you see those pulling and you see it's conflicting.
(35:36):
It kind of actually reminds me a little bit of
the gun control debate, right where you see, oh my god,
ninety percent back background checks, and then of course you
look at ballot measures in places like Nevada and Maine,
and then when it's actually on the ballot, it's basically
fifty to fifty. In my opinion on this particular topic,
what we're really talking about in the metric we should
be looking to is do people like when they ask
do you like what Donald Trump's doing on immigration? And
(35:58):
plurality says yes, which is what's going on. Then that's
the number that I think is most representative of the public.
Speaker 3 (36:04):
At Lark, when I'm working long hours, I'm always listening
to human events with Jack par Jeck Paciovic.
Speaker 1 (36:11):
We're here for a final segment with Rich Barris. And
you know, as we come to President Trump's first one
hundred days, his second hundred days in a sense because
of the second administration, let's take a look back because
we're almost coming up and this will be here very
soon on the ten year anniversary of President Trump coming
down that golden escalator. And remember what the world was
(36:34):
like in twenty fifteen. If you were a Republican and
you mentioned the word deportations, you were pushed to the side,
You were shunned, you were publicly attacked by the media.
You were far right because you wanted illegal aliens out
of the country or god forbid. You wanted to maintain
(36:56):
the current standard of the country that we live in now.
Wanted peace. You didn't want congestion in your cities. You
didn't want this creaking education system, healthcare system, housing situation.
All of these problems that are exacerbated because there are
too many people in this country, or the fact that
you don't like the cheap foreign labor being imported that's
(37:18):
literally pushing people out of their own jobs in places
like Disney where they we're having to train their own
foreign replacements. You were considered a psycho, and now you
look what's going on. They turn around and say, you
know what, on this question, even even CNN has to
admit it that Trump is ascendant on this issue. That
(37:39):
Trump won on this issue. His entire political career is
because he got this right. And in addition all of
the incredible talents and everything else that he's accomplished, but
he was right on the money when it came to
this issue where the American people are rich. Barris want
to bring you in here, and I really do think
(38:01):
that it's incredible that look at where you know, just
as we talk about, you know, the trajectory of things,
look at where the Republican Party has come since the
autopsy of twenty twelve to today on this issue. It
is night and day and these people have absolutely fallen.
They have absolutely fallen. And I got to just say
(38:24):
one more thing before we get out, is that to
the Republicans in DC, if you think, oh, well, we'll
just slow roll Trump and then we'll go back to
the Mitt Romney Jeb Bush. No, No, those type of
candidates are never going to win again. If you do
try to go back to that kind of party, not
only will you destroy the coalition Maha as well, what
(38:47):
you're going to end up with is a world where
the far left, like the Luigi's actually take over.
Speaker 9 (38:53):
Rich Barris, Yeah, that's c an end clip. That was
actually interesting. What he's essentially referred is the wording of surveys.
That is what he is being critical. I am like
forced to say that Harry is right here. He's not
right often, but when he is, he is. What he's
saying is the survey wording is not getting to the
(39:13):
core of public opinion. And it's a great example is
background check and gun control. Oh my god, ninety percent
support you know, these databases and doing background checks right,
But then when these measures get thrown on ballads, initiatives
and competitive states, they get thrashed or at best, like
you said, it's fifty to fifty. We see this with
a lot of a lot of issues, Jack. The bottom
(39:35):
line is tariffs, do you or would you do you
support what Trump is doing with tariffs, and do you
support the end gold are you willing to take a
little bit of pain in order to get to like
this better future? I mean, they're not really wording these
questions like that. They're like, you know, do you support
the tariffs that are going to increase the cost of prices?
So that's what he's referring to. And the funny thing
(39:57):
about the autopsy is this, Donald Trump's public Party is
exactly what the so called autopsy of twenty twelve called
for the party to become. And yet the very people
who commissioned, the very you know, politicals who commissioned it,
the very donors who paid for it, they're the ones
who are making the biggest they pose the biggest threat
(40:20):
to Donald Trump's White House, his coalition, and the ultimate
success of the policy agenda. And I find that to
be very ironic, whatever you want to call it, and
I have for many years. This is the party the
autopsy said they wanted. This is the party the autopsy
claimed they needed to get in order to survive as
(40:41):
a national political force. They got younger people, they got
more black voters, they got more Hispanic voters. They are
the party of the rising demographics. And that is amazing
since you know, once upon a time we were all
obsessing over a book called The Emerging Democratic Majority, which
argued that demographics for destiny and that Democrats would be
(41:04):
the ascendant party and there was nothing Republicans could do
about it. And of course I always thought it was faulty,
because this is something Republicans need to remember right now.
Demographics are destiny is a flawed theory because consistent political coalitions,
the only thing they're consistent with, Jack, is that they
consistently evolve, and the policy that parties support. I believe
(41:25):
in rational policy choice. The policies that parties support, they
back and they advance.
Speaker 13 (41:31):
Absolutely that the key people the coalition together rich bearers,
that if people pundit, please go follow him people's pundit,
dot locals, dot com, the big data poll.
Speaker 1 (41:41):
I am Jack Bosobic, Ladies and gentlemen. As always you
have you have my permission to lay assured
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