Your Personal Bank with Ferenc Toth

Your Personal Bank with Ferenc Toth

If you want to live like the wealthy, you need to think like the wealthy. Join Ferenc Toth each week for the Your Personal Bank™ Show, Saturdays at 10:00AM. Your Personal Bank™ is a powerful financial tool typically only shared with the ultra-wealthy by the financial industry. Learn how to gain control of your money . . . create tax-favored income . . . and access more funds over your lifetime. It’s the Your Personal Bank™ Show . . . the show that can change your financial life. Call 866-268-4422 for more information.

Episodes

October 4, 2025 54 mins

Ferenc Toth discusses the impact of the recent federal government shutdown, noting that 75% of employees are essential and 25% are non-essential, with the latter potentially facing termination. He criticizes the federal government's excessive spending, which has increased by 54% since pre-COVID times, despite a 2% population growth. Toth also addresses the AI bubble, citing a Deutsche Bank study predicting a severe correction when ...

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Ferenc discussed the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts on mortgage rates, which unexpectedly rose due to high federal debt levels. He highlighted the current AI bubble, comparing it to historical bubbles like the dot-com era and tulip mania. Ferenc noted that the top 10% of income earners account for half of consumer spending, a concerning sign. He emphasized the importance of reducing market risk by investing...

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Ferenc discussed the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut despite high asset prices, debt, and inflation. He highlighted the dual mandate's counteractive nature and the political influence on rates. Ferenc noted the AI euphoria, with the S&P 500's top seven tech companies accounting for 35% of its market cap. He emphasized the fragility of CPI data, with about a third of the calculations based on estimates. Ferenc shared that...

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Charlie Kirk was assassinated. He is a martyr. He was murdered in cold blood because someone disagreed with his ideas.    Charlie was killed because he was effective. This proves the enemy was scared of him. Charlie threatened the left's power.   Our country is at a turning point. We either encourage debate or we go in a really dark direction.   Charlie Kirk stated the reason he debated those who disagreed with him is when people s...

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Ferenc shares the short and long term risks to the current stock market and the overall economy.   Short-term:     - AI Bubble    - Extreme valuations (all-time highs)    - Extreme concentration in a few tech stocks    - Nvidia: about half of sales from only 3 companies   Long-term:     - Higher bond yields caused by government debt and stubborn inflation    - Increased borrowing costs    - Generally bad for stock and real estate v...

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September 2, 2025 46 mins
Ferenc discusses the parallels between the current tech stock market bubble and the dot-com era, emphasizing the risks of overvaluation and potential corrections. He recounts a listener's 100% return on tech stocks and warns of the dangers of not locking in gains. Ferenc highlights the MIT study showing 95% of companies saw no return on AI investments, and the potential for a severe market correction. He also addresses the Federal ...
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    August 26, 2025 45 mins
    A recent MIT study found that 95% of companies have received no benefit from generative Artificial Intelligence (AI).   Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, recently warned of an AI bubble. Altman compared the current AI frenzy and the 1990's dotcom bubble when company valuations spike dramatically before crashing.   The poster child of the dotcom craze was Pets.com. It was backed by Amazon. Pets.com reached a valuation of $410 million befor...

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    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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    The Buffett Indicator is a measure of the total market capitalization of publicly traded companies to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).   Warren Buffett called it "probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment".   The Buffett Indicator has hit 2 times standard deviation for the 3rd time since 1950.   Two times standard deviation is double the average value. This means the overall stock market is dou...

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    Trump has Announced Several Astounding Trade Deals   The terms on the recent trade deals are very favorable for the United States.  

    -     Japan: 15% tariff, no tariff for US products, $550 billion joint-venture investment, 90% profit to US.

     

    -     South Korea: 15% tariff, no tariff for US products, open market to US, $350 billion investment in US.

     

    -     European Union: 15% tariff, no tariff for US products, $750 billion US ener...

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    Ferenc cuts through the noise and politics and continues to share significant tax opportunities for many people due to the Big, Beautiful Bill that is now passed as law.     The US government's lack of financial responsibility creates an opportunity.   This is the "Golden Era" of fixed assets. The best rates in 40+ years! Insured with guarantees.

     

       - Your Personal Bank policies are insured, with guarantees, income tax-free, high...

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    Some leading economists and mathematicians built a computer model of the US economy to run various scenarios. Because this was such a big math problem, they used thousands of NASA and Amazon computers.   The computers were unable to create a working model because of the rising debt. Us Government Debt is currently over $36 Trillion. The increasing interest on the debt is unsustainable. The computers projected interest on the debt w...

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    There is a lot of confusing info regarding the Big Beautiful Bill.    Forget the noise or the politics. What are the facts on some of the key aspects?   No Tax on Tips: up to $25,000 of tip income is tax-free plus your standard deduction of $15,750 for singles, $31,500 for married filing jointly.    Social Security Tax: Social Security Administration estimates 88% of seniors will no longer pay taxes on Social Security benefits.    ...

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    Brigham Blackham empowers top leaders through the art of storytelling. With a background in teaching Mandarin and theater, he combines his expertise in communication and leadership to help entrepreneurs elevate their stories and drive impact through personal & professional development. As host of the Levelin' Up Podcast, Brigham focuses on building relationships that foster collaborative capitalism—unlocking growth through meaningf...

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    Many people are confused. If houses are not selling, why are not prices not falling? There are several reasons.   Cause: Housing prices increased an average of 50% from 2019 -2024 in the US. Some areas increased up to 100%.   Strong purchasing demand plus limited inventory was the primary reason for prices increasing.   Housing affordability is at historical lows due to significantly higher mortgage interest rates and higher purcha...

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    Excessive government debt has contributed to inflation and is pushing interest rates higher.   The government continues to add to the debt by spending more than it receives. The US government receives about $5T in revenues annually. They spend about $7T per year.   Higher interest rates and increasing debt is increasing interest payments on the debt at unsustainable levels.    Many are concerned the debt will lead to a financial cr...

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    Pimco released a report recently and stated stocks haven’t looked this expensive relative to bonds in nearly 25 years.

    Bonds look better than they have for a long time. 

    Pimco states "The traditional world order — in which economics shaped politics — has been turned on its head,” according to a new five-year Pimco outlook co-written by Richard Clarida, now a global economic adviser at Pimco and formerly a Federal Reserve vice chair...

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    Although I do not like Trump and Elon attacking each other, the conversation is very valuable and could lead to good results. Elon is bringing attention to the fact our government is taxing us too much and spending much of it on waste and fraud. The spending cuts are pathetic. The $1.5T in spending cuts is over 10 years. $150 billion per year in spending cuts is only about 2% of the approximately $7T annual spending. Our government...

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    Bill Bengan published a study in the Journal of Financial Planning in 1994 that introduced the 4% withdrawal rule. His study recommended initially withdrawing 4% from your portfolio to ensure you will not run out of money in retirement.    The financial industry ran with this recommendation ever since.    JP Morgan projects the following on a typical portfolio:  Withdrawal Rate       Likelihood of not running out of Money     3%   ...

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    Moody's downgraded the US credit rating for the first time in history. This is the last of the 3 major credit agencies to downgrade the US credit rating. The primary concern is the increasing level of government debt.   As a result, the 30-year treasury bond yields rose to 5%. This is the highest level since 2007. Bond buyers will demand higher interest (yield) to purchase government bands due to the increased risk. Bond yields and...

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