We aggregate predictions from multiple sources and then curate the results.
As the world is becoming increasingly complex, at Foresight Bureau we attempt to find ways to make better predictions in areas such as finance, technology, business, geopolitics, and more. Our approach involves aggregating predictions from multiple sources so that we can all gain strategic foresight that will lead to superior decision making.
Episodes
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The robot revolution is here, and it's set to transform the world of blue-collar work. This video explores the shocking impact of AI and robotics, examining why robots are becoming cheaper and more capable than humans. We'll identify the blue-collar jobs most likely to be automated and the sectors where change will happ...
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In the latest episode from Foresight Bureau, we delve deep into the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) and automation, highlighting its profound impact on the job market across both white and blue-collar industries. From the healthcare sector, where AI-powered agents are outperforming nurses, to the...
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In this eye-opening video from Foresight Bureau, we dive into the transformative and somewhat alarming trend of AI and robotics reshaping the job market. The video explains that no job, whether it be prestigious positions held by Ivy League graduates, or skilled blue-collar work, n...
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Exploring the dynamic between the United States and India, this episode delves into the potential of forming a superpower alliance that could redefine global economic and military landscapes. As two of the world's largest democracies, the U.S. and India share a commitment to democratic values and the rule of law, despite thei...
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In this thrilling new Foresight Bureau video, we dive into the chilling world of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and its potential to reshape society. Following Sam Altman's dramatic firing and reinstatement at OpenAI, we explore the likelihood of AGI's realization. With insights from John Carmack, we consider the profound changes AGI could bring. Delving into a hypothetical...
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This episode explores the hottest debate in AI - when will machines achieve human-level general intelligence or AGI? Leading experts have proposed wildly different timelines, but we combine the power of prediction markets, artificial intelligence, and our own insights to produce our aggregated average forecast date for when AGI is most lik...
Delve into the complex world of geopolitics with our comprehensive analysis of the unexpected Hamas assault on Israeli soil on the morning of October 7th, 2023.
This particular confrontation between Israel and Hamas is unparalleled in its intensity and potential ramifications, signaling a pivotal moment in their longstanding conflict. Drawing from a rich tapestry of historical events and leveraging prediction markets, our insights ...
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler may face a Congressional subpoena by 2024 following a heated hearing on crypto regulation. Accusations include overreach and ignoring Congress. The episode explores an alleged anti-crypto campaign, "Operation Choke Point 2.0", and potential links between Gensler and FTX's collapse. Stricter crypto regulations, like bans on self-hosted wallets, are discussed. The episode anticipates Gensler's subpoena amids...
This episode explores the potential of military conflict between Russia and China over essential natural resources that Russia possesses and China lacks. In particular it examines China's worsening water shortage, which is most acute in its northern regions. Predictions are provided that offer possible timelines for when China might occupy a region of Russian territory to gain access to Lake Baikal and how likely this is to happen ...
In this episode we predict the likelihood that a spot Ethereum ETF will be approved by the SEC in 2023. We analyze the probability of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving a spot Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2023 by gathering predictions from platforms like Metaculus, Manifold, and Polymarket as well as AI systems like ChatGPT, Bard, and Claude. Our aggregated average prediction will be revealed at the en...
This episode explores if and when a retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) could launch for public use in the US before January 2031, providing background on how CBDCs differ from cryptocurrencies and stablecoins. It analyzes the potential benefits of faster payments but also highlights the risks around privacy violations, government overreach, and financial control. Predictions are gathered from various sources to calculate a...
Foresight Bureau explores the chances that the SEC's lawsuit against Coinbase will be successful. If the SEC wins it could shape the future of crypto regulation. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong argues the SEC is abusing its power to intimidate crypto firms like an "Operation Choke Point" redux. If the SEC wins, it may spur a regulatory crackdown on crypto exchanges, forcing them to delist tokens and implement strict investor safeguard...
Foresight Bureau explores the chances of the SEC approving a Bitcoin spot ETF before January 2025. We analyze predictions from experts, platforms like Polymarket and Metaculus, and AI assistants like ChatGPT, Bard, and Claude. By aggregating multiple forecasts, we aim to determine the most likely outcome to help viewers make informed decisions.
We provide weekly prediction roundups from experts, AI, and prediction markets to help viewers make better decisions. Learn about forecasting, future trends, and more without the academic jargon. We believe prediction data should be accessible, mainstream, and entertaining. By aggregating forecasts, we aim to challenge assumptions, avoid biases, and evaluate information objectively.
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