Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:03):
Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. The Prime Minister of
Israel is in the United States, Benjamin Netanyah, who arrived
in Washington this week. The purpose of his trip to
address a joint meeting of Congress, and that happened on
Wednesday on.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
Behalf of the people of Israel I came here today
to say thank you America, thank you for your support
and solidarity, thank you for standing in Israel with Israel
in our hour of need.
Speaker 1 (00:34):
But a lot has happened since early June, when US
lawmakers announced this week's speech. There was an attempt on
former President Trump's life. President Biden got COVID, and after
weeks of pressure, he ended his bid for reelection and
endorsed Vice President Harris. All that complicated Netanyaho's itinerary. By midweek,
he had three critical meetings on his calendar, one with Trump,
(00:57):
another with Biden, and a third sit down with Harris.
Speaker 3 (01:01):
It's really an extraordinary moment. I mean, you almost couldn't
make it up, or if you put it into a
movie script, it would be seen as almost unbelievable.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
Nick Wadhams oversees Bloomberg's national security coverage from Washington.
Speaker 3 (01:13):
Do you have a suddenly anointed presidential candidate who has
very little foreign policy experience from her time prior to
being vice president, and now the first foreign leader she's
going to be meeting is Prime Minister Benjamin NETANYAHUO. And
this is not an alliance like you know, a meeting
with the NATO Secretary General or President of France. This
(01:36):
is a very very tricky situation.
Speaker 1 (01:42):
Today on the show, a visit from Prime Minister net
and Yahoo falls in the middle of an unprecedented moment
in American political history, with implications for Israel's war with
Hamas and for US foreign policy. As President Biden passes
the baton to his vice president. This is the Big
Take DC podcast from Bloomberg News. I'm David Gera. It
(02:07):
was the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, who led
a campaign to invite Israel's Prime minister to Washington to
address both houses of Congress. There was backlash from some Democrats,
but in the end that invitation received bipartisan support. Once
the visit was set, it was more or less assumed
Netanyaho would seek meetings with both President Biden and former
(02:27):
President Trump. I sat down with Nick Wadhams and Ethan Bronner,
who is Bloomberg's Israel bureau chief. And Ethan told me
Netanyaho had two goals going into this visit.
Speaker 4 (02:38):
The first is to be seen at home as a statesman,
as someone who is invited by both Republicans and Democrats. Then,
of course, there is no greater more important ally for
Israel than the United States. And Israel feels besieged on
many fronts right now, from the north, from the south,
from the east, from very far south, and all of
(03:00):
which is paid for and trained by Iran. Israel would
like to urge the American government and people to embrace
the campaign against Iran as a fight against terrorism and
a fight against forces that wish ill on the West
and on the US. And therefore it's time to get
behind Israel.
Speaker 1 (03:20):
Ethan, it's been more than nine months since October seventh.
Can you just describe the pressure that Prime Minister is
under back home.
Speaker 4 (03:27):
The main pressure that the Prime Minister's under back home
has to do with the remaining hostages in Gaza, some
one hundred and twenty, probably fifty of them alive, and
the growing sense that the people who are there are
going to die of very sad death if Israel doesn't
do everything it can to bring them home. For many months,
(03:48):
there was a sense that fighting against Hamas and bringing
the hostages home were two legitimate and equally important goals.
But polls show that when people are asked about what's
really important to them, bringing in the hostel home comes
out first. So that's the broad public pressure. Then within
his coalition, he has a very right wing religious coalition.
Those to his far right do not want him to
(04:10):
make a deal, do not want anything to be granted
to Hamas in a return deal or freeing of Palestinian prisoners.
So he's trying to thread the needle of accepting the
importance of bringing hostages home without threatening his own coalition.
Speaker 1 (04:26):
On top of that, Netanyahu is under increasing international pressure
to protect Palestinian civilians and address the humanitarian crisis on
the ground in Gaza. So all that complexity was there,
but the prospect of NETANYAHUO meeting with both Biden and
Trump made the visit even thornier. Can you describe just
how complicated the dynamics of this visit are. He was
(04:49):
invited by Congress, It was not an invitation from President Biden.
Speaker 3 (04:52):
It's very complicated for the president. I mean, this is
a president who, deep in his bones, believes that the
US should be a steadfast and unwavering ally of Israel.
After the October seventh attack, he went to Israel and
gave Prime Minister Netanyaho a literal bear hug to underscore
just how closely he believes that alliance should remain. But
(05:15):
at the same time, Biden has been repeatedly undermined by
the Israeli government in his effort to get this ceasefire,
to get it done, he came out at one point
and said, we have a deal that is essentially on
the table, and framed it as something that had the
support of Israel and just it was a matter of details.
The Prime Minister made clear he did not see eye
(05:36):
to eye with Biden, and there's been a lot of
frustration within the administration they don't see the Israeli government
and Prime Minister Netanyah, who as the reliable partner that
President Biden wants him to be.
Speaker 1 (05:49):
Ethan, what explains the undermining that Nick's describing, Why the
deterioration of that relationship between these two leaders.
Speaker 4 (05:55):
You know, they've always gotten along personally, Biden to tanyagn
and each other for four decades, but they've actually never
particularly agreed on policy. I mean, Biden is far more
liberal than Ntonia, who briefly embraced the idea of a
Palestinian state between maybe two thousand and nine and twenty
and eleven, but he never really bought into it, and
(06:17):
he's now a firm opponent of it. From Biden's perspective,
there is no way Israel can be at peace and
secure without a Palestinian state. So there's a very big
difference right there. You also have this dichotomy between how
most Israelis see what happened on October seventh and subsequently
and how much or most of the world does so.
For Israel, there was a sense that they had built
(06:40):
this state in order to be secure in their own
Jewish state, and now people on their border were coming
over and slaughtering them, and they came to the conclusion
that those around them really want them dead, and they
continue to feel that every day. It's October seventh, pretty
much every day in Israel and the rest of the world.
See nearly forty thousand Palestinians killed in the Gaza strip
(07:03):
and says it's really time to stop this. There's a
lot of suffering going on there. And while President Biden
did embrace Israel and come to its aid, as Nick
said very powerfully the beginning of the war, he has
waned on that, partly, I think from his own beliefs,
but also partly there are political problems in the United States.
(07:23):
He's got young Democrats and Arab Americans and Muslim Americans
who are horrified by what's been happening in Gaza, and
that's causing a serious electoral challenge to the Democratic Party.
Speaker 1 (07:36):
How about the relationship between Netanyahu and former President Trump?
What do we know of the dynamics of that relationship.
Speaker 4 (07:42):
When Trump was president, there was a lot of contact
and it was widely felt that President Trump took his
cues about the region trump Prime Minister Natanyahu. It's also
true you know that President Trump's son in law, Jared Kushner,
is very active Zionist, close to the right in Israel
as well. And then, of course, while Trump is president,
(08:04):
he did several things that made Israeli is certainly conservative.
Israeli is very happy. He recognized Jerusalem as its capital,
He recognized the annexation of the goal on heights from
Syria by Israel, and he declared that settlements in the
West Bank Jewish settlements are not illegal from an American perspective.
So in many ways, Trump was a great hero there.
(08:24):
But then what happened is that when Joe Biden won
the election in twenty twenty, and of course Trump denied
the legitimacy of this victory. So it was difficult for
Natania who he waited a little bit before acknowledging and
congratulating President Biden his victory, and that really angered President Trump.
We all know that Trump is a guy who quickly
(08:46):
makes enemies and then can agree to overlook what's happened.
I mean, look at his relationship with JD. Vans. So
the assumption is that they're now going to meet and
that all will be more or less forgiven.
Speaker 1 (08:59):
So those were the dynamic going into this week initially,
but then last Sunday, President Biden ended his run for
a second term. He endorsed Vice President Harris, and all
of a sudden she was in the spotlight in a
way she hadn't been, and Netanyahoo added a meeting with
Harris to his itinerary. Now the Vice President's positions on
Israel are under fresh scrutiny, But what are those positions exactly?
(09:23):
That's after the break, you know, when the Prime Minister
sits down with Vice President Harris, presumptive nominee for the
Democratic Party for president. The substance, of course, is important,
but so is the presentation the whole thing. Talk about
the importance of this meeting from a purely political standpoint.
Speaker 3 (09:46):
She has been Vice president for almost four years now,
but she was more a foot soldier in the foreign
policy that was set by the president. And now the
first foreign leader she's going to be meeting as she
introduces her herself to the United States as the Democrats
candidate for the presidency is Prime Minister Benjamin Netta, who
(10:07):
I mean already Secretary of State Anthony Blinkin held this
frankly somewhat bizarre press gaggle where he vouched for her
foreign policy bona fide said he had no doubt about
her ability to do the job.
Speaker 5 (10:20):
I've seen her command of the room full of world leaders.
Speaker 3 (10:23):
It's almost like, well, if he didn't feel the need
to try to convince people of that, he wouldn't have
said it. It was just sort of a strange moment
that suggests they're really trying to build her up in
a place that they know is an obvious weakness. If
this were a poker game, I guess that would have
been a pretty big tell.
Speaker 2 (10:41):
Ethan.
Speaker 1 (10:42):
I was able to find a photograph of then Senator
Kamala Harris standing next to Prime Minister NETANYAHUO I think
back in twenty seventeen, any insight you can give us
into what kind of relationship if any of these two
leaders have.
Speaker 4 (10:54):
I'm unaware are there any deeper lizes, but they've met
on a half a dozen occasions. I mean, I do
believe that the president was on the line for the
twenty or so conversations that President Biden has had with
Natanyahu over these months.
Speaker 5 (11:08):
Of the war.
Speaker 4 (11:09):
I think that Kamala Harris has a deep belief in
the legitimacy of Israel. There is no disagreement about that.
But she's more worried about the Palestinians who are undergoing
bombing and difficult conditions, including hunger, than it's sort of
this geostrategic question, or at least that's where she has
placed her attention. I think the question is if she
were to be elected and she then faced the bigger
(11:32):
strategic question of what do you do about Iran? And
whether she would agree that Iran is the big problem
that Israel says, than what to do about that.
Speaker 1 (11:42):
This is something she addressed in broad strokes during a
major foreign policy speech she delivered in February at the
Munich Security Conference.
Speaker 5 (11:49):
Israel then had a right to defend itself. Would we
would and and how it does so matters. We have
also been clear that far too many innocent Palestineans have
(12:11):
been killed, that Israel must do better ethan.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
How are you watching this play out? Prime Minister Netio
having to really balance two outcomes. Of course, Vice President
Harris should she be the nominee, she could be the
next president. Former President Trump could go to the White
House once again. How is he navigating those two potential outcomes?
Speaker 4 (12:29):
Historically, I mean, at least for many decades, there has
been a bipartisan, relatively bipartisan consensus about Israel that it
was an important ally. Now, as Israel moved to the
right and the American electorate has moved to the left,
that has been strained, particularly in the Democratic Party. But
I think that we see what's the Biden administration, how
(12:50):
it's basically embraced Israel's desire to defend itself and to
destroy Hamas with caveats of course and disagreements.
Speaker 1 (12:58):
In Congress on Wednesday, Netanyahu spoke for nearly an hour,
condemning protesters and urging America to side with Israel in
its fight against Iran.
Speaker 2 (13:07):
America and Israel today can forge a security alliance in
the Middle East to counter the growing Iranian threat.
Speaker 4 (13:14):
We are your agent in this region. We may have
minor disagreements about things Palestinian state, this and that, but
let us look at the big picture. We have a
lot in common and a long history of shared values.
Speaker 1 (13:27):
As for President Biden, when he addressed the nation on
Wednesday night about his decision to drop out of the race,
he said he wants to make the most of his
remaining time in office, and I'm.
Speaker 3 (13:37):
Going to keep working in the war in Gaza, bring
home all the hostages, and bring peace and security to
the Middle East.
Speaker 2 (13:44):
And end this war.
Speaker 3 (13:45):
The question is what his lame duck status means for
Israel and its willingness to commit to a deal. Would
they gamble on the idea of waiting for President Trump,
knowing that Donald Trump is much more sympathetic to Israel.
JD Vance said that Israel should be allowed to essentially
finish the job. So there may be some benefit to waiting,
(14:07):
but there may also be some disadvantage if Kamala Harris
wins the presidency. So there's a calculation there that Israel
will have to make, and there's also a calculation that
the US will have to make. We are getting some
hints right now from the administration that President Biden, like
presidents before him, has the desire to take a big
(14:28):
swing at one of the most intractable foreign policy problems
in the world with the remaining time he has left
to cement his legacy and do something that he believes
would make a profound impact and that has bring peace
or a ceasefire at least between Israel and Hamas. A
ceasefire is something very much that the administration wants to achieve,
(14:49):
not only because they believe in it on the merits,
but because as college gets back underway in the fall,
if you see a return of those protests on college
campuses propelsy protesters, there are folks in the administration who
believe that puts Kamala Harris in serious political jeopardy. You
can bet that whatever happens, the administration will seek to
(15:12):
show that Kamala Harris is in the thick of this thing.
So one of the goals that President Biden will have
will be to use some sort of deal, whatever deal
they can get, as something that they can show the
Biden Harris administration achieved, and that will be something that
would argue for voters to turn out in her favor
(15:34):
in November.
Speaker 4 (15:35):
And I think for President Biden, who considers himself really
a foreign policy expert his whole life, if he can
actually drive a deal and there is movement toward a
normalization agreement between Israel and the Saudis, I think that
would be for him one of the most important ways
to end his career.
Speaker 1 (15:57):
Ethan and Nick, thank you very much, Thank you, Thanks
thanks for listening to the Big Take DC podcast from
Bloomberg News. I'm David Gura. This episode was produced by
Julia Press. It was mixed by Blake Maples. It was
fact checked by Thomas lew and RFT Jalasho Perry. It
was edited by Aaron Edwards, Naomi Shaven and Kim Gittleson
are our senior producers. We get editorial direction from Wendy
(16:20):
Benjaminson and Elizabeth Ponso. Nicole Beemster Bor is our executive producer.
Sage Bauman is Bloomberg's head of podcasts. Please follow and
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