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March 28, 2025 6 mins
In this podcast, the discussion centers on whether tax cuts can rescue the sluggish U.S. economy, with an expectation of an eventual, though delayed, improvement. The analysis highlights several headwinds such as elevated policy uncertainty, tariff implementation, tighter border policies reducing labor supply, and fiscal drag from budget cuts. Additionally, the episode outlines a tactical portfolio strategy—maintaining exposure to risk assets in the short term while preparing to de-risk later in the year once growth expectations adjust to these structural challenges. Quantitative signals including changes in border policy and fiscal contraction are discussed as early indicators of these shifts. The conversation also covers potential market regime transitions and the associated risks and opportunities, emphasizing the role of innovative positioning models and institutional-grade risk management frameworks in navigating these uncertain economic times.
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