August 28, 2024 • 49 mins
Matt and Dale react to Russell Wilson "shockingly" being named QB1 and share their takes on season over/under totals for key players on each side of the ball.
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Speaker 1 (00:03):
This is the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson
on your twenty four to seven home of the Black
and Gold Steelers Nation Radio.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
And welcome to the Drive. I am Dale Lowly, he
is the Matt Williamson and well, the worst kept secret
in Pittsburgh is no longer startling news, utterly shocking. Mike Tomlin,
who aid coming naming Russell Wilson the team's starting quarterback.
He did say that the team will use justin Fields
(00:40):
maybe in some packages.
Speaker 3 (00:42):
Okay, I would be shocked if there'd have been any
other answer, Frankly, I mean, I think Fields has earned
consideration to be on the field. I mean that doesn't
mean he's gonna be out there every game or I'm not.
They're obviously not going to tell us how they plan
on using them. But I think you need the opponent,
specifically Atlanta this suation to at least prepare for that,
(01:02):
and I would put him out there in some capacity
so teams in the future have to compare, you know,
prepare for it. That this takes up a lot of
practice time, and we've said this eight thousand times and
it's probably worth harping on that. Wilson was treated as
a starter. And I forget who was saying it, but like,
they're very well could have been a competition. That doesn't
mean that there was a fifty to fifty competition, you
(01:24):
know what I mean, Like the Olympic team when Jordan
was on, it was a competition. That doesn't mean they
were going to lose, you know, right, Yeah, And here's
the thing, Matt.
Speaker 2 (01:38):
You know, I continue to hear people talk about Russell
Wilson's twenty twenty three season like he was somehow a
failure right in Denver. Oh, he had a horrible year
in Denver. Here is passing touchdowns by two in the opener,
three the next week, another touchdown against Miami, three touchdowns
(01:59):
against Cargo to the following week against the Jets, Like, yeah,
these were not bad weeks. Beat the Chiefs, beat Green Bay,
beat Buffalo, Like, this was not a beat anything close
to bad quarterback play?
Speaker 3 (02:15):
Did denveranda put in eight games? There's more than you think. Yeah,
I nine, they were eight and nine and one of
the worst rosters in the league. Frankly, this after the
and oh and three start. Yeah, and there were some ugliness.
I mean they lost to Miami by a million and he.
Speaker 2 (02:31):
Gave up one hundred and five points and back to
you know, in two weeks to Washington and Miami or to.
Speaker 3 (02:36):
Win that way. Yeah, one hundred and five points.
Speaker 2 (02:39):
The two weeks they scored thirty three against Washington and lost.
So Wilson had three touchdowns in three hundred passing yards
in that game.
Speaker 3 (02:46):
So my thoughts on it are you make a trade
like that. Expectations are really high that he's going to
be an elite player, which he wasn't there. Of course,
the first year was a debacle by the organization top
to bottom, and is poor of a coaching job as
you'll see, or as short of a coaching tenure has
ever happened in the NFL history. I mean, he lasted
(03:07):
not even half the season, I don't think, and his
rookie year of coaching and yeah, I'm pretty sure. Yeah,
and now is Aaron Rodgers buddy in you know, New York.
So that was a disaster season for the whole organization.
And as we've said many times, I just don't think
him and Peyton Wilson and Peyton want to play quarterback
the same way.
Speaker 2 (03:27):
Not Peyton Wilson or Wilson Peyton.
Speaker 3 (03:31):
I just don't think that they are fits for one another.
I mean, they hire Peyton and he's gonna go get
his guys and he wants to bow Knicks types, which fine.
I mean he has that right. He's in charge of
the team, So there you have it. I mean, I
don't think Wilson's the player he was when he was
going to Pro Bowl after Pro Bowl, but I don't
think all of a sudden he's forgot how to play quarterback.
Speaker 2 (03:50):
No, you know, you look at it.
Speaker 3 (03:53):
Again.
Speaker 2 (03:55):
Over sixty six percent of his passes three thousand yards,
twenty six touchdowns, eight interceptions. The passer rating was ninety eight.
I know his career pass rating is one hundred, which
is fourth best all time.
Speaker 3 (04:08):
Yeah, I know, I know.
Speaker 2 (04:11):
You're looking for a quarterback efficiency here.
Speaker 3 (04:13):
I haven't double checked this in a while, but it's
very close. If I'm off, I think Sam Howe was
the only quarterback that was hit more than Wilson last
year too, and he didn't play the last two games,
so I mean he was beat up. I mean they
I mean, he does hold the ball a little bit
and he'll take some sacks, so some of that's on him,
but a lot of it was just bad protection too.
Speaker 2 (04:33):
Yeah, and you know you get down. For example, that
game against Washington he got sacked seven times. The game
against Kansas City that they won, he got sacked six times.
Speaker 3 (04:47):
Got it, But.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
You know those were really the big ones. The final
one was against New England. He got sacked five times.
Every other game in there is like two sacks one sack,
So it's just a lot of hits though it comes
in some pocket.
Speaker 3 (05:00):
Yeah, I go, I get it. Yeah, I mean I
don't think he's going to be the run around guy
that he was early in his career either. The improv
fields as much more that got him to be that. No, exactly,
I don't want him to be that guy either. I
need I want an efficient pocket passer with some improvability
and ability to you know, understand what the speed of
(05:23):
the game entails.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
Yeah, and I think he will be that. I think,
you know this, this team wants to play a certain way,
and I don't think it. I don't think Mike Tomlin
wants to stray too far outside of what has worked
the last few years. Has play good defense, run the football,
have your quarterback make three or four big time throws. Yeah,
(05:48):
to get you in and out of the stadium. One
gives you have a better opportunity to do that.
Speaker 3 (05:52):
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah than anybody since been. I mean,
without question, one of the things that's really hurt Wilson's
career is as he's aged, the league has changed too
in that way more than five years ago. You're seeing
two high shells. Just don't allow the explosives. And not
only is Wilson a really good deep passer, he's one
(06:12):
of the best deep passers ever. So that's been sort
of taken away from him, and he hasn't run or
improved as much as he's aged to take advantage of that.
You know, lighter boxes pick up eight yards with your
with your your legs.
Speaker 2 (06:28):
That being said, so last year, last year he did
he did do more of it.
Speaker 3 (06:32):
Right again, you're seeing a lot more too high shell
You're seeing a lot of z own that being said,
if you're not gonna if you're gonna play too high
against the Steeler running game, we gotta kind of pick
your poison. That yeah, you know what I mean, that's
that's the the You know, if you're running the ball
really well, you can get them out of the too
high stuff and take your deep shots.
Speaker 2 (06:50):
Yeah, he had some games last year. Eight nine rushing attempts,
eight against in a win over Kansas City. Nine the
following week to win over Buffalo.
Speaker 3 (07:01):
Okay, they got under pressure a lot too, Yeah.
Speaker 2 (07:03):
Eleven and a win over the Browns. Eleven for thirty four,
ten for forty four in a loss to Houston. But
ten rushing attempts.
Speaker 3 (07:10):
Yeah, he doesn't have a ton of yards. He's not
gonna have rushes of twenty thirty yards anymore, like fields
take at the house for seventy yards or whatever. But
I wonder, maybe i'll look it up tonight what percentage
of his rushing attempts resulted in positive plays? And by
that I mean like success rate or first downs, you know,
third and three, you get four on a scramble slide
(07:32):
pop up like Aaron Rodgers was a master of that.
Like you turn your turn your back to him, he
gets one more yard than needed, breaks your back, you know,
and he's a smart runner out.
Speaker 2 (07:41):
Yeah, well we'll see, you know, maybe teams try to
defend him a little bit differently now thinking that he
can't do those things.
Speaker 3 (07:49):
And I'm curious, Yeah, I'm real curious on that stuff
because if you're gonna play a lot of single high,
he's gonna take shots. Yeah, if you played a lot
of two high, you're gonna have lighter boxes and you
would hope you have success on the ground. And unlike
some recent quarterbacks, he's going to recognize that stuff and
check the run. I mean, he's going to change everything
to get you in the best plays too. That's something
none of us ever know is does this quarterback consistently
(08:13):
before the ball's even snapped get you in the best
plays to succeed versus what the defense is showing. Yeah?
Speaker 2 (08:19):
Will I think he. I think he's certainly capable of
doing those kind of things. And you know that's why
he's going to be the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Speaker 3 (08:27):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (08:28):
Likewise, you know, again, they'll have some packages for justin fields.
I just don't know that there'll be quote, you know,
the goal line packages.
Speaker 3 (08:38):
I know. I hear that a lot.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
Short yardage maybe, but not goal line.
Speaker 3 (08:41):
Yeah, I hear that a lot. And I understand it
because he's really hard to stop in seven shots or
near the goal line just because of the rushing skills.
But Wilson's such a better rud zone passer. I mean,
he's it's one of his strengths, and that worries me
about fields. He's not a precise, you know, tight window
thrower yet, so I don't know if that's when I
(09:03):
would use the fields package or whatever. Yeah, may maybe
fourth and one on the fifty. Yeah, so like it's
hardy saw.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Too, right, absolutely, So we'll see how they incorporate that
what they do. And obviously, you know, if you're the
Atlanta Falcons in Week one, you're gonna be looking at
some of those design runs that the Steelers head for,
justin fields into preseason going, we could see something like this.
Speaker 3 (09:25):
Oh yeah, like I think you're gonna see quarterback power.
You're gonna see pure design, not even option stuff. You know,
I'm gonna hold it into the d N crashes or whatever.
I think you might just see him run the football
and don't even hide it, especially because their backs will block.
I wonder if they'll ever be a package where he's
the only potential runner in the game, you know, like
(09:46):
you're trying to get dime or nickel with you know,
two tight ends out there and three receivers, no backs
at all. There's a lot of different possibilities of how
you could use them. And that doesn't mean he's just
a runner either like unlike or less so than like
Asom Hill. If he's in the game, there's still a
very legit passer at Oh yeah, yeah, you know, I
mean the NFL quarterback.
Speaker 2 (10:07):
You know, he's a sixty percent complete some percentage in
his career.
Speaker 3 (10:10):
Yeah, it's Ronnie Brown and the Wildcat's.
Speaker 2 (10:12):
He's a better passer of the football than Anthony Richardson.
Richardson is going to start this year for the.
Speaker 3 (10:17):
Les, right, right right, and so no, I think that's
something to definitely explore. I'm sure there'll be days where
Wilson's not playing well and the field's package is working
great and the fans will lose their mind, but so
be it.
Speaker 2 (10:29):
You know, Yeah, I mean the ideas as Wilson said today,
he said, the idea is to win games with the
ball in the end zone and win games, and I'm
good with whatever we need to do.
Speaker 3 (10:38):
The ball on the end zone would be a good start.
That's a good place passing touchdowns. I've said that eight
thousand times this year.
Speaker 2 (10:44):
Steelers did have some bad news at today's practice. Guard
Isaac Samaluh left early with the pictorial injury. Oh no,
it doesn't look like it's serious, but we'll see what
his status is for the opener. He can't go, Spencer
Anderson would be the.
Speaker 3 (10:58):
That makes perfect sense. I mean he's ready. Of course,
it'd be a downgrade. That's not a guy you want
to lose at all. And there have been a couple
of O line injuries already. Hopefully it's not serious. Serious, No,
it's not good. Good good, But okay, first I heard that.
But good. I mean I'm sure they'll be very precautionary
between now and opening day.
Speaker 2 (11:15):
Yeah, and not a guy that needs a lot of practice.
Speaker 3 (11:17):
Now now, he's one of the guys that gets regular
rest anyways, you know he's earned it.
Speaker 2 (11:21):
But yeah, they've seen some speculation outs. Oh they can have,
you know, two rookies on the interior the line. No,
Spencer Anderson.
Speaker 3 (11:28):
Would be the guy. Oh yeah, he's the swing guy.
Speaker 2 (11:31):
I mean every time Sayamalu is sat out at training camp,
Spencer Anderson has been the guy who's been in there.
Speaker 3 (11:35):
He didn't running with the ones and playing well.
Speaker 2 (11:37):
Yeah, so I mean it's not like you're throwing somebody
on your row hasn't worked in between Dan Moore and
Zach Fraser.
Speaker 3 (11:44):
And there's been a lot of days. I mean, the
fair amount that Siamalu didn't dress for practice or whatever,
and Anderson ran with the ones and offense worked just fine. Yeah,
so Anderson's a valuable piece, he really is, and especially
with cookonaught on the roster at the moment, he could
be your emergency right tackle too. Well.
Speaker 2 (12:01):
Fatan who said today, it's Troy Fatan who said that
the expectation is for him to resume practicing on Monday. Okay,
so there's there's a chance he's at the very least
a swing tackle when they line up against the.
Speaker 3 (12:12):
Wo'd be great if he could even dress it for
Atlanta game. Yeah, that's ahead of the curve I had
originally heard. You know, So that's great. That whole tackle
situation needs to work itself out, but I'm sure it
will sooner than later. You know, who knows if he
would be the starter in week one or what.
Speaker 2 (12:27):
I mean the fact that he's only going to start
practicing on Monday. He tells me he's not starting.
Speaker 3 (12:32):
It's not like if Cam Hayward were You're not going.
Speaker 2 (12:34):
To go out there and play sixty snaps in a
game when you haven't practiced in almost four weeks.
Speaker 3 (12:38):
I mean that's a problem for alignment in general. Is
that's the first time he plays sixty seventy snaps or
whatever all year.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
It's just not realistic to expect a rookie making his
first career start to do that. Now, maybe you work
him in a little bit, maybe yeah, extra blocker or
whatever it may be. But to ask him to go
to go out there and play sixty or sixty five
plays and it's.
Speaker 3 (12:58):
Not even that is do you trust right? I mean,
he really hasn't played much game football for you.
Speaker 2 (13:04):
Yeah, it's at some point. Yeah, you have to take
the training wheels off.
Speaker 3 (13:08):
Yeah. Well, and he's very talented, impressive.
Speaker 2 (13:11):
People want to keep throwing Dan Moore out with the bathwater.
And he didn't have a bad preseason or I thought
he played well.
Speaker 3 (13:17):
I thought he looked better. Yeah, one hundred percent. They're
gonna run the ball a lot. He's a good run blocker.
I don't think he's a long term answer. You don't,
of course, don't draft those guys that high. But I
think that's gonna be one of the storylines now is well,
how the tackle situation going to break up?
Speaker 2 (13:31):
It's a long season. I'm sure we'll figure it out
pretty soon. Yeah, absolutely, we're gonna get to a break.
He is the Matt Williamson. I'm Dale Lollie. You're listening
to the Drive here on the Steelers Audio Network. We'll
be back with more right after this.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
This is the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson
on your twenty four to seven home of the Black
and Gold Steelers Nation Radio.
Speaker 2 (14:00):
And we are back. I'm Dale Lolli. He is the
Matt Williamson and Matt ESPN and Mike Play put out
their fantasy or they're actually their projections just for the season. Yeah, yeah,
some of it ties in with fantasy play. Being a
fantasy type.
Speaker 3 (14:15):
Guy, yes he is.
Speaker 2 (14:18):
And they got their projections for stats for the Steelers here,
and I want to take a look at these and okay,
we play a little game. You're over or under sounds
good on some of this stuff.
Speaker 3 (14:28):
These guys that do projections, there's not many of them.
MIC's is like as good as anyone. They really take
it to a different level, like they don't just assume
everyone's going to play seventeen games either, you know, like
there's some some of that, like the chances of this
running back last of seventeen games is less than a
quarterback or things like that.
Speaker 2 (14:46):
So we're gonna go overall with the offense and then
we'll go individually and see where we're where we're at
with some of this stuff. So Steelers passing totals this year, Uh,
he has them for three thoy seven hundred and fifty
five passing yards.
Speaker 3 (15:06):
I'm dividing that by seventeen. That's two hundred and twenty
one per game.
Speaker 2 (15:10):
You need to go over or under that number.
Speaker 3 (15:15):
Under it's a good number. I just think it's'ld be
a lot of running, yeah, and a lot of ball control.
I don't know that they'll snap the ball a ton,
because I think they're gonna want to eat clock. I
don't think you're gonna play a fast pace. I also
don't think they're going to be losing by double digits
late in games either all that often where you get
(15:38):
those garbage time numbers and get the yeah, three hundred
and fifty day, you know what I mean. So I'm
gonna go under, but I think that's a pretty good line.
I think most of these lines are pretty good.
Speaker 2 (15:47):
Passing touchdowns nineteen over.
Speaker 3 (15:52):
I mean it's been twelve and thirteen the last two years, right,
I mean, which is insanity.
Speaker 2 (15:57):
Nineteen would be a huge game.
Speaker 3 (15:59):
Nineteen I wouldn't. I would still go fish. Okay, I'm
expecting more than that. I'm expecting more long balls end
up in the end zone when it's all said and
done against heavier boxes. And I'm definitely expecting way, way, way,
way way better red zone passing. And that means the
quarterback and play design. I mean, like Pickens only has
(16:21):
a handful of end zone targets in his career. Yeah,
I mean he's going to double his career stuff, right right?
Speaker 2 (16:28):
U interceptions thirteen over over thirteen. I'm gonna go, why
were they at last so under thirteen? Wilson threw eight
last year in fifteen games. He's not a high interception guy.
Speaker 3 (16:44):
I'm just saying I kind of was programming myself to
go over because I think they'll throw more interceptions this
year than in previous years. I don't know what they will,
He's good about it. I just think that they're going
to be more aggressive throwing the football and in the
ways they throw the football. But do I think they're
going to be just under one a game? Probably not thirteen, thirteen,
(17:07):
seventeenths you know what I mean.
Speaker 2 (17:10):
They threw nine as a team last year.
Speaker 3 (17:15):
Yeah, I mean they've really made a massive effort prioritize
that a lot, like we cannot turn the football over.
Speaker 2 (17:23):
I don't see thirteen because thirteen is a lot. Is
a lot in today's NFL. Teams don't throw that many interceptions.
Speaker 3 (17:29):
Yeah, do you mind checking how many times has Wilson
thrown thirteen in his career?
Speaker 2 (17:35):
I can tell you that.
Speaker 3 (17:36):
I bet it's four something like that.
Speaker 2 (17:40):
Maybe, let's see here in his career, Russell.
Speaker 3 (17:45):
Wilson is even starting as a rookie.
Speaker 2 (17:47):
And has thrown thirteen interceptions in his career once, that
being in twenty twenty. Wow, Okay, he's been under that
number every other year in his career. Okay, that's why
I think think under Yeah.
Speaker 3 (17:59):
Yeah. So if I'm Clay though, and again he does
this for thirty two teams, and so he's got kind
of a macro lens on all these things. I assume
he's when we'll get to the individuals instead of team,
I assume he's factoring in fields throwing passes this year,
that Wilson won't be the only Steeler to attempt to pass. Yeah,
(18:20):
and he throws picks.
Speaker 2 (18:24):
Rushing yards for the quarterbacks quarterback rushing all right, four
hundred and eighty five yards forty five divided by seventeen
equals twenty eight and a half per game.
Speaker 3 (18:37):
Quarterbacks only. I'm way under on Wilson, but if fields
can give me eight to ten a game, I think
I'll go over. Okay, I think Wilson's going to be
around eighteen to twenty a game.
Speaker 2 (18:54):
Sacks, okay, forty nine.
Speaker 3 (18:58):
This concerns me. I think that you're set up for
two guys that have taken a lot of sacks. But
I'm mostly focusing on Wilson, and he got hit a ton,
and he gets sacked a lot in his career, but
maybe as much of a factor with that, I just
think you're going to have a young learning line, you know,
not that they aren't talented or can't block people. I
(19:21):
just think you might have some miscommunication stuff or I
got you, I got him, you got him, I got him,
you got him. But the running backs in the in
the tight ends are very good pass blockers.
Speaker 2 (19:31):
I just don't know that you're that's like three again,
I don't know if you're gonna throw the ball enough, Yeah,
to get the fifty sacks.
Speaker 3 (19:37):
I mean that's two point nine a game. Yeah, I
mean that's on average, you can sack three a game.
It's a good number. I think that's right about.
Speaker 2 (19:47):
Okay, So his passing attempts for the Steelers is five
thirty six in the season.
Speaker 3 (19:52):
Yeah, ten sack, right, I don't see that. That seems high.
Speaker 2 (19:58):
Yeah, especially when you're back both catch the ball. Well,
you're gonna get you know, if you don't throw the ball.
Speaker 3 (20:03):
I mean, if if your pass attempts are twenty five
to thirty a game, you're probably not even get sacked three.
Speaker 2 (20:09):
I wouldn't think.
Speaker 3 (20:10):
Wilson also has a history of throwing short you're gonna
get sacked on those throws. Seems it's probably a little high.
It's probably a couple high. Yeah, it'll go under, but
it's not terrible.
Speaker 2 (20:23):
It seems high to me.
Speaker 3 (20:24):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (20:25):
Uh, the running backs he has them with uh one thousand,
six hundred and sixty nine rushing yards combined.
Speaker 3 (20:35):
I don't even have to add that one. That's low
that's really low.
Speaker 2 (20:37):
Yeah, really low.
Speaker 3 (20:38):
That's really low. I mean I think, noge, you could
get to twelve.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
They average one hundred and forty five rushing yards over
the final ten games of last season. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
with the quarterbacks giving you basically nothing.
Speaker 3 (20:50):
Right, right, So that's the only running backs though, only
running backs. Yeah, I think Warren's gonna get you more
than six hundred. Well, we'll get to that, and I
think Nausey's around twelve, so over we'll get to those
quarter Yeah.
Speaker 2 (21:08):
Ten rushing touchdowns from the running backs.
Speaker 3 (21:11):
Three for the quarterbacks. I'll take the over on the quarterbacks.
I bet Fields ends up in the end zone at
least once.
Speaker 2 (21:19):
I think ten rushing touchdowns is low for the running backs.
Speaker 3 (21:22):
Yeah, I mean I keep moving nause up my fantasy ranks,
not because the war and injury, but I just think
he's gonna score. And I'd put that number at like twelve.
Speaker 2 (21:34):
Okay, yeah, I think that's yeah, more realistic targets for
the running backs in the passing game. One hundred and
seventeen on.
Speaker 3 (21:43):
Seven divided by seventeen equals six point nine a game,
six point eight per game, and.
Speaker 2 (21:50):
That's including Patterson in that h.
Speaker 3 (21:54):
So, I wish I had it in front of me.
But one number, that is everyone talks about the tight
ends with Arthur Smith. I found something yesterday about when
he's not when when Derrick Henry's not the back because
he doesn't catch balls. The receptions by running backs with
(22:14):
Smith are very high, like at the top of the
league if non Derrick Henry stuff and I think Nausey,
Warren and Patterson are awfully good receivers. Yeah, there's a quick,
easy throws extension of the pass game. You're gonna get
seven games a lot. Though the Warren's probably gonna catch
three or four. Yeah, I mean, I bet he did
(22:34):
last year.
Speaker 2 (22:36):
I'll go over okay, ninety three receptions for the running
backs combined. Yeah, we think nause maybe gets they were
they were at that number last year.
Speaker 3 (22:48):
Yeah, I'm gonna go over.
Speaker 2 (22:51):
Uh six and twenty one receiving yards for the running.
Speaker 3 (22:54):
Twenty one divided by seventeen. That's I did something wrong there.
Six twenty one by seventeen equals thirty six and a half.
Speaker 2 (23:04):
I'm going over that.
Speaker 3 (23:07):
Probably. Yeah, Yeah, I think they're gonna be I don't
feel like a lot of people around here have talked
about the tight ends are always brought up. You know,
how are they gonna make up for lack of number two?
What's a we different with coordinators? But I think the
running backs catching the ball is gonna spike.
Speaker 2 (23:23):
Yeah, I think so too. Yeah, let's take a look
at the wide receiver totals. Targets for the wide receivers
two hundred and fifty.
Speaker 3 (23:32):
Four, two fifty fifteen to the game. I'm going over,
going over Pickens. Pickens is going to average.
Speaker 2 (23:42):
Pickens is gonna have games where he gets fifteen himself.
Speaker 3 (23:45):
Yeah, yeah, in the preseason shows, they're going to feed
him like crazy. Yeah, the non Pickens group is going
to be pretty low by NFL standards of other receivers.
Speaker 2 (23:56):
But even let's says Jefferson gets three and the other
guys I'll get one each. Well, you're still going over fifteen.
Speaker 3 (24:03):
And I bet Jefferson averages more than three games. Yeah,
even more, I think through I mean ten of games
a lot for pickings, though there'll be some there are fifteen, sixteen, seventeen,
but there'll be one third seven. You know, I think
I'm over.
Speaker 2 (24:16):
Okay, one hundred and fifty one overall receptions for their
wide receivers under under one hundred and fifty one.
Speaker 3 (24:26):
I'm not confident that Pickings gets to one hundred.
Speaker 2 (24:29):
I don't think he does either. But well, we'll get
to the individual yeas. Yeah, wait, one hundred and fifty
one is not I just don't think they'll have three
receivers on the field very often.
Speaker 3 (24:39):
They may not.
Speaker 2 (24:39):
You're right, you know what I mean?
Speaker 3 (24:40):
Right?
Speaker 2 (24:42):
Two thy one hundred and sixty five receiving yards for
the receivers.
Speaker 3 (24:46):
Well, is that number again? I'm sorry, Twenty one sixty
five by seventeen one hundred.
Speaker 2 (24:52):
And fifty one catches is less than ten per game.
I know, I know, by a lot. I mean, it's
not a massive projection. It's like nine a game.
Speaker 3 (25:00):
I'm gonna go over in the yardage though, I think
deep passing is going to be a big thing. Then.
Is Austin going to have one or two huge games
this year? Probably? Yeah, Mike Scottie Miller have a fifty
yard reception at some point during the course of the year. Possibly.
Speaker 2 (25:17):
Yeah. Ten receiving touchdowns for the receivers, not tight ends,
non tight ends, non running backs, just for the wide receivers.
Speaker 3 (25:28):
This is going to be more of an individual conversation
when we get there, because I really think Pickens is
going to get ninety percent of their receiver touchdowns.
Speaker 2 (25:36):
Jefferson was a pretty big everything when they went to
their their uh seven shots. It was a factor every week.
Speaker 3 (25:44):
Get singled a lot. Yeah, I guess over it's a
pretty low number.
Speaker 2 (25:48):
It's really it's a really number. The tight ends one
hundred and thirty seven targets. Hmmm, I'm going over that
because they had ninety three last year as a group.
Speaker 3 (26:01):
That's eighty game. That's over eighty game. They're going to
be on the field, on the field a lot. It's
always so, I mean, Vegas knows this. It's just always
so easy to take overs across the board. Everyone's optimistic.
They got four of them on the team, right, I mean,
the Brown's up two, so you have a better chances
of adding it up over the course of the year.
(26:24):
I have no clue how many Washington's gonna catch when
we get to that.
Speaker 2 (26:27):
Well, I mean he had ten ten targets last year. Yeah,
I guess over receptions ninety six real quickly.
Speaker 3 (26:38):
The thing is, thoughf like Friarmouth misses five games, then
they're not gonna they can't get, but.
Speaker 2 (26:43):
They're not going to stop throwing to the tight ends,
So just make Connor Hayward's gonna.
Speaker 3 (26:47):
Be the I just think their target numbers.
Speaker 2 (26:48):
Connor Hayward is going to be used, though.
Speaker 3 (26:50):
I bet I take the over on Connor Hayward. Whatever
that number is. Okay, Well, what was the last one?
The next one?
Speaker 2 (26:57):
That was ninety six reception for the tight ends under,
I don't have a problem with that one. Yeah, seems
pretty bulky. Uh nine hundred and seventy receiving yards for
the tight ends.
Speaker 3 (27:15):
I don't see a ton of field stretching. I'm gonna
go under, okay.
Speaker 2 (27:19):
And seven touchdowns for the tight ends over Okay.
Speaker 3 (27:26):
I could see Connor Hayward catching like a shuttle pass
or something that doesn't really count. I bet Washington finds
the end zone as the big body guy, and I
don't think friar Mouth has to do a ton to
get to that number.
Speaker 2 (27:39):
All right, let's look at some of the individual stuff
now for the offense. Russell Wilson twenty nine hundred and
five passing yards. I think he gets to three thoy
in thirteen games. Yeah, thirteen games is a really conservative number,
that's the thing. Yeah, he played fifteen and.
Speaker 3 (27:57):
Would have played seventeen likely, you know, so he doesn't
have the injury history to him. But I wouldn't want
to be Clay on this either. You can't put seventeen
for every quarterback, right, So Yeah, I like the over.
Speaker 2 (28:09):
There fifteen touchdown passes.
Speaker 3 (28:11):
I don't know if I like the over per game
if you divide it by thirteen, but that's what we're doing. Yeah,
how many touchdown passes fifteen under.
Speaker 1 (28:17):
Or over over?
Speaker 2 (28:19):
Nine interceptions?
Speaker 3 (28:24):
I forget what number was the team total.
Speaker 2 (28:27):
The team total was thirteen.
Speaker 3 (28:29):
Because I originally went over and I kind of talked
out of it, and I'm glad I did. But nine
seems low.
Speaker 2 (28:34):
I mean, yeah, eight last year on this is for
four hundred and twelve pass attempts. He had eight last
year in Denver on four hundred and forty seven pass attempts.
Speaker 3 (28:48):
It seems like a low number for a guy that
I'm guessing is going to play the whole year. I'm
gonna go over, okay, tip balls, you.
Speaker 2 (28:58):
Know, rushing yards for Russell Wilson to sixty nine.
Speaker 3 (29:04):
Slightly under over that freaking number, I get it. I
get it. I just think in some I think fields
will eat into that some and dumping into the backs
can't be over everywhere.
Speaker 2 (29:15):
For fields one hundred and twenty four pass attempts under
seventy seven completions under eight hundred and fifty passing yards under, and.
Speaker 3 (29:29):
He'd have to be a starter. Yeah, I mean which
I mean Wilson could get benched or injured. I mean
that certainly happens in the league.
Speaker 2 (29:38):
Five passing touchdowns for Justin fields under, three interceptions for
Justin fields push two hundred and seventeen rushing yards for
Justin fields over baby, Yeah.
Speaker 3 (29:55):
I mean I'm screaming that too. But I mean, you
gotta get a fair amount of carries. Well, they have
him with thirty nine. He doesn't need.
Speaker 2 (30:04):
He that's a lot of carries. How many rushing yards
was it to seventeen?
Speaker 3 (30:09):
Oh two? I thought its two seventy one. Okay, So
let me just do one thing, two seventeen divided by six.
He only needs. I mean, I'm saying, if he gets
if he averages six yards of carry, which I think
is probably safe, he only needs thirty six carries to
get there. A couple of game that don't know how many.
Speaker 2 (30:27):
Carries you get he'll break.
Speaker 3 (30:29):
He's gonna break on the wrong ones, right, Yeah, And
who knows, there could be a game or two that
the Steelers are losing bad or winning bit bad at
the end where he mops up. Yeah, and then he's
gonna go over on a lot of this stuff.
Speaker 1 (30:43):
Uh.
Speaker 2 (30:43):
Looking at the rushing yardage here, jaylem Warren, six hundred
and eighteen rushing yards, pretty good number. He had seven
hundred last year.
Speaker 3 (30:54):
I don't think he's gonna miss time, So not factor
in that, and I'm gonna I'll go. I think he's
really good.
Speaker 2 (31:03):
Fifty four receptions for three hundred and seventy yards over
Nause Harris. Rushing yards eight hundred and ninety four.
Speaker 3 (31:12):
I think he gets to one thousand, yeah.
Speaker 2 (31:15):
Six rushing touchdowns push, I think he goes over that.
Speaker 3 (31:19):
I think I took over on rushing touchdowns by running backs.
I just wonder if he's had eight last year. I
wonder how many times it gets vultured by fields or
something on the real short yard and stuff.
Speaker 2 (31:30):
Uh, twenty eight receptions for one hundred and sixty nine
yards for Najie Harris.
Speaker 3 (31:35):
Definitely over on the yards.
Speaker 2 (31:37):
He was over that number last year.
Speaker 3 (31:38):
Yeah, he had to break a couple tackles because I
think his average depth of target will be higher. Yeah,
I mean I don't think. I think he'll be used
more than just to dump off in the flat.
Speaker 2 (31:46):
Guy Corderryl Patterson one hundred and fifty six rushing yards over.
Speaker 3 (31:51):
He then really needs an injury. I mean, chances of
both backs being healthy for seventeen games. It's slim.
Speaker 2 (31:57):
Eleven receptions for Cordal Patterson.
Speaker 3 (32:00):
Over because I think he may be on the field
with Warren or Harris, there might be some of that
as a receiver, you know.
Speaker 2 (32:06):
And then eighty two receiving yards slightly over.
Speaker 3 (32:10):
I bet he gets one hundred.
Speaker 2 (32:11):
Yeah, looking at the wide receivers, George Pickens, one hundred
and eighteen targets probably over. I'm gonna go over that.
Seventy one receptions not bad. Probably Overna go over one
hundred and eighteen. You're probably gonna catch more than seventy one, I'm.
Speaker 3 (32:31):
Aware, assuming healthier a lot. Yeah, well, I mean you
kind of have to, right, Yeah.
Speaker 2 (32:36):
One thousand, ninety one receiving yards over, five touchdown catches over. Okay,
Van Jefferson fifty one targets pretty good. I'm going over that.
(32:57):
He's your starter. Yeah, fifty one target gets just like
three a game. Yeah, over the course of a season,
all right, I'll.
Speaker 3 (33:07):
Go a little over.
Speaker 2 (33:08):
Maybe sixty ish twenty eight receptions over four hundred and
two receiving yards.
Speaker 3 (33:18):
Under.
Speaker 2 (33:19):
I'm gonna go over that too. Like, I don't think
he's gonna have worse numbers than what Deontay Johnson did
last year because he's a different receiver than Deontay too.
Speaker 3 (33:27):
Yeah, I don't know how much big play stuff you'll
get out of him for the yardage part and then not.
He's slow, but he just doesn't play like a I
don't think he's had a lot of.
Speaker 2 (33:38):
Yact two touchdown catches over.
Speaker 3 (33:42):
I think he gets three or four.
Speaker 2 (33:44):
Roman Wilson forty targets under twenty five catches under three
hundred and eighteen receiving yards under two touchdowns under.
Speaker 3 (33:56):
That's when he gets on field.
Speaker 2 (33:57):
Yeah, I don't know he have. Yeah, Calvin Austin thirty
six targets under twenty one receptions under. It's sixteen last year, okay,
but there were more guys blocking him last year.
Speaker 3 (34:13):
I think somebody else might block him this year. I mean, like,
I don't know that he'll be the three for seventeen games.
Speaker 2 (34:19):
Well, they don't have another guy, now, I know, I know,
two hundred and seventy seven receiving yards because.
Speaker 3 (34:25):
Even if Wilson steps up at the second half of
the season or there's just a lot of obstacles for
him to maintain the true number three. What is the
yardage to seventy seven that I'm gonna go over though,
because I do expect two big plays. I mean, if
he has a fifty yarder and a sixty yarder, he
should get there.
Speaker 2 (34:44):
Yeah, one touchdown, I'm fine with that. I'll go push
Scotty Miller. Ten targets.
Speaker 3 (34:55):
Over that.
Speaker 2 (34:57):
Six catches over seventy five yards. I mean he really
only needs an injury, yeah, right to go over all
those things. So someone's gonna get hurt. Uh Friarmouth eighty
two targets it ninety eight two years ago. No, No,
over fifty seven receptions over five hundred and eighty nine yards.
(35:25):
It's not bad, But I think I'm gonna go over
four touchdowns. Push you said over on their seven touchdowns
for the tight ends as a whole.
Speaker 3 (35:36):
I think Darnell's gonna catch two or three. I don't
know what his numbers are.
Speaker 2 (35:40):
Connor Hayward twenty five targets over eighteen receptions over one
hundred and seventy one yards over one.
Speaker 3 (35:49):
The thing with him, too, is you know he's gonna
be active every game day because the special team stuff. Yeah,
so yeah, I'm going over.
Speaker 2 (35:55):
Across the board on him one touchdown, also over dar
Washington twenty targets over fourteen catches over one hundred and
forty three yards over one touchdown, over Michael Pruitt ten
targets under because something has to give. Seven receptions under
(36:25):
sixty seven yards.
Speaker 3 (36:26):
I mean these sounds so minuscules goofy you to say under,
but not the whole team's not going to go over
across the board. I just wonder, I mean, do we
know he'll be active all seventeen games that you're looks
like all four tight ends are going to be active
every game seems that way. Yeah, especially since they don't
have a full back. Yeah, I'm going under on him, though,
across the board in one touchdown, I'm gonna go under.
Speaker 2 (36:49):
Okay, that's the offense. We'll look take a look at
the defense. We come back. He is Matt Williamson. I
am Dale Lay. You're listening to the Drive here on
the Steelers Audio Network, taking a look at ESPN's projections
for the Steelers. We'll do more of that with the
defense when we come back right after this.
Speaker 1 (37:10):
This is the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson
on your twenty four to seven Home of the Black
and Gold Steelers Nation Radio.
Speaker 2 (37:21):
And we are back. I'm Dale LOLLI he is the
Matt Williamson, and we're taking a look here at ESPN's
projections for the Steelers here as put together here by
Mike Clay. We just did the offense. Let's take a
look at the defense. Now we'll take a look with
the overall. He has them with forty four sacks.
Speaker 3 (37:41):
Oh, I like the over there. Yeah, seventeen game schedule.
The pass rush they have, yeah, I think I think
that's a pretty easy over for me.
Speaker 2 (37:51):
Thirteen interceptions also go over.
Speaker 3 (37:54):
Yeah, they're great at tipping balls, Minka. Those linebackers cover
a lot more ground. The pass rush, you know, causes
bad decisions. Yeah, I like the over there.
Speaker 2 (38:06):
Okay, let's take a look at some of the individual
players here, Cam Hayward seven hundred and fifty one snaps,
sixty five tackles, three point one sacks.
Speaker 3 (38:17):
I like the snaps. I think they're deep enough now
that they don't have to ask him to play eight
or nine hundred sax scene.
Speaker 2 (38:24):
Low, sax scene low.
Speaker 3 (38:26):
I would put that number at like five if I was.
Speaker 2 (38:29):
Over under two last year playing on one leg.
Speaker 3 (38:31):
Yeah, yeah, I like the over on that. I still
think he's out there on third and eight.
Speaker 2 (38:38):
In fact, they have him with the same number of
sacks as Larry Ogunjobi Ogan Joby playing six seven hundred
and eight snaps, forty seven tackles, three point one sacks.
Speaker 3 (38:48):
I think I'm gonna go under probably across the board
on D line snaps. I just think they have a
deep group. I don't want Ogunjoe. I'd love to keep Ogunjoby.
It's six or seven hundred, not seven or eight hundred. Yeah,
seven to eight. I thought you said seven fifty eight. Now,
Still I'm gonna go under on that. How many sacks?
Was it three again?
Speaker 2 (39:06):
Three point one?
Speaker 3 (39:07):
I vega's the four.
Speaker 2 (39:09):
Keanu Benton four hundred and fifty snaps.
Speaker 3 (39:12):
There's one. I just yeah, opposite of what I was thinking.
Speaker 2 (39:15):
Thirty five tackles two sacks.
Speaker 3 (39:17):
Yeah, because the last sentence I almost said was I
think kyward Ogin, Joeby, et cetera go down because Benton
goes up. I think Benton might lead the d lin
in snaps, so I'm definitely going over across the board
on him.
Speaker 2 (39:32):
Montrevis Adam four hundred and eight snaps, twenty nine tackles,
one point nine sacks.
Speaker 3 (39:40):
Does he get the two Probably yeah, because I think
he plays four hundred snaps. I think that's been a
logical number for him.
Speaker 2 (39:50):
I just think Benton's gonna blow that number out of
the one.
Speaker 3 (39:52):
Yeah, that's the best bet of all of them. Just
go over on all the Benton stuff.
Speaker 2 (39:57):
Dean Lowry ten tackles point four sacks, so he needs
a half a sack.
Speaker 3 (40:03):
I bet he does stumbles into one of those.
Speaker 2 (40:07):
Isaiah louder Milk seventy five snaps, six tackles, point two tackles.
Speaker 3 (40:11):
I'm gonna go under on him. There's I mean, there's
a lot of d linemen in that room.
Speaker 2 (40:14):
Here's where they here's where they little disconnect. Here to
Marvin leeout playing forty three snaps way over. He's gonna way.
Speaker 3 (40:21):
Over because he probably doesn't factor in any of the
edge stuff.
Speaker 2 (40:23):
Yeah. Three tackles, point two sacks.
Speaker 3 (40:26):
I mean I'd go over on the snaps if he
didn't line up ever at outside linebackers.
Speaker 2 (40:29):
Yeah, yeah, uh moving on to the outside linebackers, he's
them combining the three of them for twenty six point
six sacks this season.
Speaker 3 (40:39):
Way over.
Speaker 2 (40:40):
I'm gonna go over that.
Speaker 3 (40:42):
Well, we'll get to them individually, so that wont yeah, okay?
Speaker 2 (40:45):
Uh. TJ Watt eight hundred and thirty seven snaps, sixty
four tackles, thirteen point three sacks, point three interceptions.
Speaker 3 (40:55):
Over on sacks interceptions. Yeah, he seems always a fine
sacks or he'd have to get hurt.
Speaker 2 (41:03):
Yeah. Alex Heighsmith eight hundred and fifty eight snaps, fifty
seven tackles, nine sacks, point two interceptions.
Speaker 3 (41:12):
I bet he doesn't pick a ball off. But I'm
just like last year, I know I know they're not
all going to get him. How many sacks again, nine,
I'm gonna go under. That's a good I mean, that's
a hearty year. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (41:25):
Nick Kerbig four hundred and twenty nine snaps, thirty two tackles,
four point three sacks.
Speaker 3 (41:31):
I'm going over on the sacks. I bet he gets
five or six and rotates in a little bit more
this year. But that snap count seems about right.
Speaker 2 (41:39):
From the inside linebackers looking at five sacks, two interceptions
over over, Yeah, I agree. Patrick Queen one thousand and
nineteen defensive snaps, one hundred and twenty seven tackles, three
point one sacks, one point one interceptions.
Speaker 3 (42:01):
Pretty good. I mean, it'll be a really good year.
It'll be a really good year through the the snap
stuff's probably spot on.
Speaker 2 (42:07):
He's not gonna leave every snap. That's every you know,
I mean every defensive snap.
Speaker 3 (42:11):
He needs to stay healthy of course. To hit that,
I'll take one interception in three sacks though, Yeah, Yeah,
I mean that's about right.
Speaker 2 (42:21):
Landon Roberts five hundred and thirty six snaps, eighty five tackles,
one point one sacks and a half an interception. He
has one interception in his career.
Speaker 3 (42:29):
Yeah, I'm gonna take under under on that and I'm
gonna go over on sacks. I bet he gets the two. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (42:35):
Peyton Wilson two hundred and fifteen defensive snaps over over
twenty nine tackles over point four sacks, over point two interceptions.
Speaker 3 (42:47):
Over you can't get half an interception. Point two is
not much differ the point nine.
Speaker 2 (42:54):
Actually, just say under an interception, right right? Mark Robinson
two hundred and four snaps, twenty nine tackles. They got
him playing much as Peyton.
Speaker 3 (43:00):
Willis under under.
Speaker 2 (43:01):
Yeah, I don't see that happening now.
Speaker 3 (43:04):
I'm not sure Robinson played seventeen games in the makes.
I think there's a chance he's not even there in
the opening day roster. There's a chance. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (43:11):
And then Tyler Matacave it's yeah, twenty one, Yeah, that's under.
Joey Porter Junior one thy nineteen defensive snaps, which ties
Patrick Queen. Yeah, that's all their defensive snaps, sixty four tackles.
Speaker 3 (43:24):
That's always tough with corners under two point two interceptions over,
because I think he'll still travel with ones and get
targeted a lot.
Speaker 2 (43:37):
Dante Jackson fifty eight tackles, zero point nine interceptions.
Speaker 3 (43:42):
I'm guessing he gets one.
Speaker 2 (43:44):
Yeah. Beanie Bishop forty five tackles one interception.
Speaker 3 (43:51):
Under across the board. I don't know if he's a
big guy, Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 2 (43:56):
Corey Trice twenty one tackles less than one interception.
Speaker 3 (44:00):
I would go under.
Speaker 2 (44:02):
Darius Rush one hundred and seven snaps, eight tackles less
than an interception.
Speaker 3 (44:05):
That'd go under. There's just some uncertainty, are there with
those guys.
Speaker 2 (44:10):
From the safeties. One sack, four point nine interceptions over
Minka Fitzpatrick one hundred and eleven tackles, point nine sacks.
So does he get a sack and one point nine
interceptions which does not lead to team.
Speaker 3 (44:29):
I'm definitely on over on picks.
Speaker 2 (44:31):
Yeah, you didn't have any last year. He's not going
to go two years in a row and just have one.
Speaker 3 (44:35):
Yeah, I don't care. I'm not sure about the staffield
get sacked or not, but I like him to take
the ball away three times at least.
Speaker 2 (44:41):
To Shaun Elliott eighty three tackles, two point two interceptions
and no sacks.
Speaker 3 (44:47):
I think he gets a sack. Yeah, I think he'll
be near the line of scrimmage a little bit more.
I'll go under on the interceptions, though.
Speaker 2 (44:53):
The monte Kyz thirty five tackles less than a sack,
less than an interception.
Speaker 3 (45:01):
Sounds fair.
Speaker 2 (45:02):
I'll go under Miles Killerbrew three tackles under yeah, and
Jalen Elliott.
Speaker 3 (45:08):
Two tackles under I mean two tackles so much he
needs one injury, I'll go over. I always do is
make the team note cut and have an injury, and
he'll probably get two tackles this year.
Speaker 2 (45:22):
Would you take these numbers for Boswell twenty nine of
thirty three on field goals eighty seven percent, which is
just below his career percentage.
Speaker 3 (45:33):
I think so. And my logic is I'd have to
look at the schedule, but all those late AFC North
games are going to be weather. Yeah, you know what
I mean. So, yeah, I'll take that.
Speaker 2 (45:43):
How about this for Cameron Johnston forty six point seven
yards per punt? Would you take that? I think I
might go Fishin's pretty darn good.
Speaker 3 (45:57):
He's impressive though, but weather doesn't help him there. Yeah,
that seems like a pretty good number.
Speaker 2 (46:03):
That's a good number. Yeah, yeah, that would be the
highest I think in Steelers history. Really without looking it up,
it's pretty good.
Speaker 3 (46:08):
Just off the top of your head. Yeah, it wouldn't
shock me if it is not bad. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (46:13):
Those are the numbers though. Class Steelers, according to ESPN,
by their projections that they do with their computer.
Speaker 3 (46:20):
Models, right right. I don't know how deep, oh what
all Mike does to formulate them, but he's really good
at it, and it's a tough job.
Speaker 2 (46:26):
I think some of this factors in what the team
did last year, which is really difficult for this team,
given a new offensive system and all new quarterbacks.
Speaker 3 (46:35):
And then you texted me yesterday, twenty three of the
current Steelers were not Steelers last year. Twenty two two, okay, yeah,
and so it's massive roster change.
Speaker 2 (46:45):
They weren't on the open they weren't on the roster
last year.
Speaker 3 (46:47):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (46:48):
Ory Trice counts in.
Speaker 3 (46:49):
That of course, of course, right, I mean they weren't
active Steeler. Yeah, I guess is the way I put it,
whole new quarterbacks over forty percent. Yeah, a whole new
quarterback room and an offense coordinator. So I mean it's
a lot of difference. O line's noticeably.
Speaker 2 (47:01):
Different, you know, So factoring him where they were at
last year and trying to extrapolate that into this year
makes this a hard team to judge.
Speaker 3 (47:08):
Right, I mean that's like doing the Falcons. Yeah, I
mean they're totally different.
Speaker 2 (47:12):
On the other side side though, the defense, But that's stable.
That's pretty stable, it's unchanged. You've added to it. And
you're telling me that TJ was gonna get thirteen sacks.
Speaker 3 (47:23):
I mean, yes, get hurt. I mean that's thing, right
to really nerd out would be like how many interceptions
per game? How many sacks per game? You know, and
maybe that's how they do it, And they say, well,
he's maybe maybe going to miss five. I don't know.
Speaker 2 (47:39):
I don't average over like a sack per game in
his career though, and that includes his rookie year when
he didn't average a sack per game.
Speaker 3 (47:47):
Yeah, I think twenty is more likely than twelve. I
think that's yeah, you know what I mean, if he's
at thirteen and a half. I mean it's not like
obviously twenty is more likely than seven.
Speaker 2 (47:58):
I mean he's led the league three to the last
four years. Yeah, and the one year he didn't was
the year that he was hurt.
Speaker 3 (48:03):
And fourteen doesn't even lead the league. That's a down
year for him. Ye'll still hit the.
Speaker 2 (48:07):
Over That's what NFL defensive player theyar Miles Garrett had
last year.
Speaker 3 (48:11):
He had fourteen fourteen, So I think you'd I'm not
picking on Clay, but I would think, like the Steelers defense,
Kansas City's offense would be a lot easier because they
don't have crazy change, right. I mean, there's some things
you can bank on several years. Yeah. I don't know.
Speaker 2 (48:33):
I just I look at the defense. I think it's
going to be really good. I think the offense can
be maybe not middle of the pack, but around twenty Yeah.
Speaker 3 (48:44):
Yeah, I think that's fair.
Speaker 2 (48:46):
And then I think you win a lot of ball
games that you know.
Speaker 3 (48:49):
Special teams should be vastly improved. They weren't bad. No,
kicking games should be real good. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (48:55):
Absolutely, let's get to a break. He is the Matt Williamson.
I'm Dale Lallire listening to the drive here on the
Steelers Audio Network. That's going to do it for our
number one. We'll be back with our number two right
after this.
This is the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson
on your twenty four to seven home of the Black
and Gold Steelers Nation Radio.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
And welcome to the Drive. I am Dale Lowly, he
is the Matt Williamson and well, the worst kept secret
in Pittsburgh is no longer startling news, utterly shocking. Mike Tomlin,
who aid coming naming Russell Wilson the team's starting quarterback.
He did say that the team will use justin Fields
(00:40):
maybe in some packages.
Speaker 3 (00:42):
Okay, I would be shocked if there'd have been any
other answer, Frankly, I mean, I think Fields has earned
consideration to be on the field. I mean that doesn't
mean he's gonna be out there every game or I'm not.
They're obviously not going to tell us how they plan
on using them. But I think you need the opponent,
specifically Atlanta this suation to at least prepare for that,
(01:02):
and I would put him out there in some capacity
so teams in the future have to compare, you know,
prepare for it. That this takes up a lot of
practice time, and we've said this eight thousand times and
it's probably worth harping on that. Wilson was treated as
a starter. And I forget who was saying it, but like,
they're very well could have been a competition. That doesn't
mean that there was a fifty to fifty competition, you
(01:24):
know what I mean, Like the Olympic team when Jordan
was on, it was a competition. That doesn't mean they
were going to lose, you know, right, Yeah, And here's
the thing, Matt.
Speaker 2 (01:38):
You know, I continue to hear people talk about Russell
Wilson's twenty twenty three season like he was somehow a
failure right in Denver. Oh, he had a horrible year
in Denver. Here is passing touchdowns by two in the opener,
three the next week, another touchdown against Miami, three touchdowns
(01:59):
against Cargo to the following week against the Jets, Like, yeah,
these were not bad weeks. Beat the Chiefs, beat Green Bay,
beat Buffalo, Like, this was not a beat anything close
to bad quarterback play?
Speaker 3 (02:15):
Did denveranda put in eight games? There's more than you think. Yeah,
I nine, they were eight and nine and one of
the worst rosters in the league. Frankly, this after the
and oh and three start. Yeah, and there were some ugliness.
I mean they lost to Miami by a million and he.
Speaker 2 (02:31):
Gave up one hundred and five points and back to
you know, in two weeks to Washington and Miami or to.
Speaker 3 (02:36):
Win that way. Yeah, one hundred and five points.
Speaker 2 (02:39):
The two weeks they scored thirty three against Washington and lost.
So Wilson had three touchdowns in three hundred passing yards
in that game.
Speaker 3 (02:46):
So my thoughts on it are you make a trade
like that. Expectations are really high that he's going to
be an elite player, which he wasn't there. Of course,
the first year was a debacle by the organization top
to bottom, and is poor of a coaching job as
you'll see, or as short of a coaching tenure has
ever happened in the NFL history. I mean, he lasted
(03:07):
not even half the season, I don't think, and his
rookie year of coaching and yeah, I'm pretty sure. Yeah,
and now is Aaron Rodgers buddy in you know, New York.
So that was a disaster season for the whole organization.
And as we've said many times, I just don't think
him and Peyton Wilson and Peyton want to play quarterback
the same way.
Speaker 2 (03:27):
Not Peyton Wilson or Wilson Peyton.
Speaker 3 (03:31):
I just don't think that they are fits for one another.
I mean, they hire Peyton and he's gonna go get
his guys and he wants to bow Knicks types, which fine.
I mean he has that right. He's in charge of
the team, So there you have it. I mean, I
don't think Wilson's the player he was when he was
going to Pro Bowl after Pro Bowl, but I don't
think all of a sudden he's forgot how to play quarterback.
Speaker 2 (03:50):
No, you know, you look at it.
Speaker 3 (03:53):
Again.
Speaker 2 (03:55):
Over sixty six percent of his passes three thousand yards,
twenty six touchdowns, eight interceptions. The passer rating was ninety eight.
I know his career pass rating is one hundred, which
is fourth best all time.
Speaker 3 (04:08):
Yeah, I know, I know.
Speaker 2 (04:11):
You're looking for a quarterback efficiency here.
Speaker 3 (04:13):
I haven't double checked this in a while, but it's
very close. If I'm off, I think Sam Howe was
the only quarterback that was hit more than Wilson last
year too, and he didn't play the last two games,
so I mean he was beat up. I mean they
I mean, he does hold the ball a little bit
and he'll take some sacks, so some of that's on him,
but a lot of it was just bad protection too.
Speaker 2 (04:33):
Yeah, and you know you get down. For example, that
game against Washington he got sacked seven times. The game
against Kansas City that they won, he got sacked six times.
Speaker 3 (04:47):
Got it, But.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
You know those were really the big ones. The final
one was against New England. He got sacked five times.
Every other game in there is like two sacks one sack,
So it's just a lot of hits though it comes
in some pocket.
Speaker 3 (05:00):
Yeah, I go, I get it. Yeah, I mean I
don't think he's going to be the run around guy
that he was early in his career either. The improv
fields as much more that got him to be that. No, exactly,
I don't want him to be that guy either. I
need I want an efficient pocket passer with some improvability
and ability to you know, understand what the speed of
(05:23):
the game entails.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
Yeah, and I think he will be that. I think,
you know this, this team wants to play a certain way,
and I don't think it. I don't think Mike Tomlin
wants to stray too far outside of what has worked
the last few years. Has play good defense, run the football,
have your quarterback make three or four big time throws. Yeah,
(05:48):
to get you in and out of the stadium. One
gives you have a better opportunity to do that.
Speaker 3 (05:52):
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah than anybody since been. I mean,
without question, one of the things that's really hurt Wilson's
career is as he's aged, the league has changed too
in that way more than five years ago. You're seeing
two high shells. Just don't allow the explosives. And not
only is Wilson a really good deep passer, he's one
(06:12):
of the best deep passers ever. So that's been sort
of taken away from him, and he hasn't run or
improved as much as he's aged to take advantage of that.
You know, lighter boxes pick up eight yards with your
with your your legs.
Speaker 2 (06:28):
That being said, so last year, last year he did
he did do more of it.
Speaker 3 (06:32):
Right again, you're seeing a lot more too high shell
You're seeing a lot of z own that being said,
if you're not gonna if you're gonna play too high
against the Steeler running game, we gotta kind of pick
your poison. That yeah, you know what I mean, that's
that's the the You know, if you're running the ball
really well, you can get them out of the too
high stuff and take your deep shots.
Speaker 2 (06:50):
Yeah, he had some games last year. Eight nine rushing attempts,
eight against in a win over Kansas City. Nine the
following week to win over Buffalo.
Speaker 3 (07:01):
Okay, they got under pressure a lot too, Yeah.
Speaker 2 (07:03):
Eleven and a win over the Browns. Eleven for thirty four,
ten for forty four in a loss to Houston. But
ten rushing attempts.
Speaker 3 (07:10):
Yeah, he doesn't have a ton of yards. He's not
gonna have rushes of twenty thirty yards anymore, like fields
take at the house for seventy yards or whatever. But
I wonder, maybe i'll look it up tonight what percentage
of his rushing attempts resulted in positive plays? And by
that I mean like success rate or first downs, you know,
third and three, you get four on a scramble slide
(07:32):
pop up like Aaron Rodgers was a master of that.
Like you turn your turn your back to him, he
gets one more yard than needed, breaks your back, you know,
and he's a smart runner out.
Speaker 2 (07:41):
Yeah, well we'll see, you know, maybe teams try to
defend him a little bit differently now thinking that he
can't do those things.
Speaker 3 (07:49):
And I'm curious, Yeah, I'm real curious on that stuff
because if you're gonna play a lot of single high,
he's gonna take shots. Yeah, if you played a lot
of two high, you're gonna have lighter boxes and you
would hope you have success on the ground. And unlike
some recent quarterbacks, he's going to recognize that stuff and
check the run. I mean, he's going to change everything
to get you in the best plays too. That's something
none of us ever know is does this quarterback consistently
(08:13):
before the ball's even snapped get you in the best
plays to succeed versus what the defense is showing. Yeah?
Speaker 2 (08:19):
Will I think he. I think he's certainly capable of
doing those kind of things. And you know that's why
he's going to be the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Speaker 3 (08:27):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (08:28):
Likewise, you know, again, they'll have some packages for justin fields.
I just don't know that there'll be quote, you know,
the goal line packages.
Speaker 3 (08:38):
I know. I hear that a lot.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
Short yardage maybe, but not goal line.
Speaker 3 (08:41):
Yeah, I hear that a lot. And I understand it
because he's really hard to stop in seven shots or
near the goal line just because of the rushing skills.
But Wilson's such a better rud zone passer. I mean,
he's it's one of his strengths, and that worries me
about fields. He's not a precise, you know, tight window
thrower yet, so I don't know if that's when I
(09:03):
would use the fields package or whatever. Yeah, may maybe
fourth and one on the fifty. Yeah, so like it's
hardy saw.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Too, right, absolutely, So we'll see how they incorporate that
what they do. And obviously, you know, if you're the
Atlanta Falcons in Week one, you're gonna be looking at
some of those design runs that the Steelers head for,
justin fields into preseason going, we could see something like this.
Speaker 3 (09:25):
Oh yeah, like I think you're gonna see quarterback power.
You're gonna see pure design, not even option stuff. You know,
I'm gonna hold it into the d N crashes or whatever.
I think you might just see him run the football
and don't even hide it, especially because their backs will block.
I wonder if they'll ever be a package where he's
the only potential runner in the game, you know, like
(09:46):
you're trying to get dime or nickel with you know,
two tight ends out there and three receivers, no backs
at all. There's a lot of different possibilities of how
you could use them. And that doesn't mean he's just
a runner either like unlike or less so than like
Asom Hill. If he's in the game, there's still a
very legit passer at Oh yeah, yeah, you know, I
mean the NFL quarterback.
Speaker 2 (10:07):
You know, he's a sixty percent complete some percentage in
his career.
Speaker 3 (10:10):
Yeah, it's Ronnie Brown and the Wildcat's.
Speaker 2 (10:12):
He's a better passer of the football than Anthony Richardson.
Richardson is going to start this year for the.
Speaker 3 (10:17):
Les, right, right right, and so no, I think that's
something to definitely explore. I'm sure there'll be days where
Wilson's not playing well and the field's package is working
great and the fans will lose their mind, but so
be it.
Speaker 2 (10:29):
You know, Yeah, I mean the ideas as Wilson said today,
he said, the idea is to win games with the
ball in the end zone and win games, and I'm
good with whatever we need to do.
Speaker 3 (10:38):
The ball on the end zone would be a good start.
That's a good place passing touchdowns. I've said that eight
thousand times this year.
Speaker 2 (10:44):
Steelers did have some bad news at today's practice. Guard
Isaac Samaluh left early with the pictorial injury. Oh no,
it doesn't look like it's serious, but we'll see what
his status is for the opener. He can't go, Spencer
Anderson would be the.
Speaker 3 (10:58):
That makes perfect sense. I mean he's ready. Of course,
it'd be a downgrade. That's not a guy you want
to lose at all. And there have been a couple
of O line injuries already. Hopefully it's not serious. Serious, No,
it's not good. Good good, But okay, first I heard that.
But good. I mean I'm sure they'll be very precautionary
between now and opening day.
Speaker 2 (11:15):
Yeah, and not a guy that needs a lot of practice.
Speaker 3 (11:17):
Now now, he's one of the guys that gets regular
rest anyways, you know he's earned it.
Speaker 2 (11:21):
But yeah, they've seen some speculation outs. Oh they can have,
you know, two rookies on the interior the line. No,
Spencer Anderson.
Speaker 3 (11:28):
Would be the guy. Oh yeah, he's the swing guy.
Speaker 2 (11:31):
I mean every time Sayamalu is sat out at training camp,
Spencer Anderson has been the guy who's been in there.
Speaker 3 (11:35):
He didn't running with the ones and playing well.
Speaker 2 (11:37):
Yeah, so I mean it's not like you're throwing somebody
on your row hasn't worked in between Dan Moore and
Zach Fraser.
Speaker 3 (11:44):
And there's been a lot of days. I mean, the
fair amount that Siamalu didn't dress for practice or whatever,
and Anderson ran with the ones and offense worked just fine. Yeah,
so Anderson's a valuable piece, he really is, and especially
with cookonaught on the roster at the moment, he could
be your emergency right tackle too. Well.
Speaker 2 (12:01):
Fatan who said today, it's Troy Fatan who said that
the expectation is for him to resume practicing on Monday. Okay,
so there's there's a chance he's at the very least
a swing tackle when they line up against the.
Speaker 3 (12:12):
Wo'd be great if he could even dress it for
Atlanta game. Yeah, that's ahead of the curve I had
originally heard. You know, So that's great. That whole tackle
situation needs to work itself out, but I'm sure it
will sooner than later. You know, who knows if he
would be the starter in week one or what.
Speaker 2 (12:27):
I mean the fact that he's only going to start
practicing on Monday. He tells me he's not starting.
Speaker 3 (12:32):
It's not like if Cam Hayward were You're not going.
Speaker 2 (12:34):
To go out there and play sixty snaps in a
game when you haven't practiced in almost four weeks.
Speaker 3 (12:38):
I mean that's a problem for alignment in general. Is
that's the first time he plays sixty seventy snaps or
whatever all year.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
It's just not realistic to expect a rookie making his
first career start to do that. Now, maybe you work
him in a little bit, maybe yeah, extra blocker or
whatever it may be. But to ask him to go
to go out there and play sixty or sixty five
plays and it's.
Speaker 3 (12:58):
Not even that is do you trust right? I mean,
he really hasn't played much game football for you.
Speaker 2 (13:04):
Yeah, it's at some point. Yeah, you have to take
the training wheels off.
Speaker 3 (13:08):
Yeah. Well, and he's very talented, impressive.
Speaker 2 (13:11):
People want to keep throwing Dan Moore out with the bathwater.
And he didn't have a bad preseason or I thought
he played well.
Speaker 3 (13:17):
I thought he looked better. Yeah, one hundred percent. They're
gonna run the ball a lot. He's a good run blocker.
I don't think he's a long term answer. You don't,
of course, don't draft those guys that high. But I
think that's gonna be one of the storylines now is well,
how the tackle situation going to break up?
Speaker 2 (13:31):
It's a long season. I'm sure we'll figure it out
pretty soon. Yeah, absolutely, we're gonna get to a break.
He is the Matt Williamson. I'm Dale Lollie. You're listening
to the Drive here on the Steelers Audio Network. We'll
be back with more right after this.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
This is the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson
on your twenty four to seven home of the Black
and Gold Steelers Nation Radio.
Speaker 2 (14:00):
And we are back. I'm Dale Lolli. He is the
Matt Williamson and Matt ESPN and Mike Play put out
their fantasy or they're actually their projections just for the season. Yeah, yeah,
some of it ties in with fantasy play. Being a
fantasy type.
Speaker 3 (14:15):
Guy, yes he is.
Speaker 2 (14:18):
And they got their projections for stats for the Steelers here,
and I want to take a look at these and okay,
we play a little game. You're over or under sounds
good on some of this stuff.
Speaker 3 (14:28):
These guys that do projections, there's not many of them.
MIC's is like as good as anyone. They really take
it to a different level, like they don't just assume
everyone's going to play seventeen games either, you know, like
there's some some of that, like the chances of this
running back last of seventeen games is less than a
quarterback or things like that.
Speaker 2 (14:46):
So we're gonna go overall with the offense and then
we'll go individually and see where we're where we're at
with some of this stuff. So Steelers passing totals this year, Uh,
he has them for three thoy seven hundred and fifty
five passing yards.
Speaker 3 (15:06):
I'm dividing that by seventeen. That's two hundred and twenty
one per game.
Speaker 2 (15:10):
You need to go over or under that number.
Speaker 3 (15:15):
Under it's a good number. I just think it's'ld be
a lot of running, yeah, and a lot of ball control.
I don't know that they'll snap the ball a ton,
because I think they're gonna want to eat clock. I
don't think you're gonna play a fast pace. I also
don't think they're going to be losing by double digits
late in games either all that often where you get
(15:38):
those garbage time numbers and get the yeah, three hundred
and fifty day, you know what I mean. So I'm
gonna go under, but I think that's a pretty good line.
I think most of these lines are pretty good.
Speaker 2 (15:47):
Passing touchdowns nineteen over.
Speaker 3 (15:52):
I mean it's been twelve and thirteen the last two years, right,
I mean, which is insanity.
Speaker 2 (15:57):
Nineteen would be a huge game.
Speaker 3 (15:59):
Nineteen I wouldn't. I would still go fish. Okay, I'm
expecting more than that. I'm expecting more long balls end
up in the end zone when it's all said and
done against heavier boxes. And I'm definitely expecting way, way, way,
way way better red zone passing. And that means the
quarterback and play design. I mean, like Pickens only has
(16:21):
a handful of end zone targets in his career. Yeah,
I mean he's going to double his career stuff, right right?
Speaker 2 (16:28):
U interceptions thirteen over over thirteen. I'm gonna go, why
were they at last so under thirteen? Wilson threw eight
last year in fifteen games. He's not a high interception guy.
Speaker 3 (16:44):
I'm just saying I kind of was programming myself to
go over because I think they'll throw more interceptions this
year than in previous years. I don't know what they will,
He's good about it. I just think that they're going
to be more aggressive throwing the football and in the
ways they throw the football. But do I think they're
going to be just under one a game? Probably not thirteen, thirteen,
(17:07):
seventeenths you know what I mean.
Speaker 2 (17:10):
They threw nine as a team last year.
Speaker 3 (17:15):
Yeah, I mean they've really made a massive effort prioritize
that a lot, like we cannot turn the football over.
Speaker 2 (17:23):
I don't see thirteen because thirteen is a lot. Is
a lot in today's NFL. Teams don't throw that many interceptions.
Speaker 3 (17:29):
Yeah, do you mind checking how many times has Wilson
thrown thirteen in his career?
Speaker 2 (17:35):
I can tell you that.
Speaker 3 (17:36):
I bet it's four something like that.
Speaker 2 (17:40):
Maybe, let's see here in his career, Russell.
Speaker 3 (17:45):
Wilson is even starting as a rookie.
Speaker 2 (17:47):
And has thrown thirteen interceptions in his career once, that
being in twenty twenty. Wow, Okay, he's been under that
number every other year in his career. Okay, that's why
I think think under Yeah.
Speaker 3 (17:59):
Yeah. So if I'm Clay though, and again he does
this for thirty two teams, and so he's got kind
of a macro lens on all these things. I assume
he's when we'll get to the individuals instead of team,
I assume he's factoring in fields throwing passes this year,
that Wilson won't be the only Steeler to attempt to pass. Yeah,
(18:20):
and he throws picks.
Speaker 2 (18:24):
Rushing yards for the quarterbacks quarterback rushing all right, four
hundred and eighty five yards forty five divided by seventeen
equals twenty eight and a half per game.
Speaker 3 (18:37):
Quarterbacks only. I'm way under on Wilson, but if fields
can give me eight to ten a game, I think
I'll go over. Okay, I think Wilson's going to be
around eighteen to twenty a game.
Speaker 2 (18:54):
Sacks, okay, forty nine.
Speaker 3 (18:58):
This concerns me. I think that you're set up for
two guys that have taken a lot of sacks. But
I'm mostly focusing on Wilson, and he got hit a ton,
and he gets sacked a lot in his career, but
maybe as much of a factor with that, I just
think you're going to have a young learning line, you know,
not that they aren't talented or can't block people. I
(19:21):
just think you might have some miscommunication stuff or I
got you, I got him, you got him, I got him,
you got him. But the running backs in the in
the tight ends are very good pass blockers.
Speaker 2 (19:31):
I just don't know that you're that's like three again,
I don't know if you're gonna throw the ball enough, Yeah,
to get the fifty sacks.
Speaker 3 (19:37):
I mean that's two point nine a game. Yeah, I
mean that's on average, you can sack three a game.
It's a good number. I think that's right about.
Speaker 2 (19:47):
Okay, So his passing attempts for the Steelers is five
thirty six in the season.
Speaker 3 (19:52):
Yeah, ten sack, right, I don't see that. That seems high.
Speaker 2 (19:58):
Yeah, especially when you're back both catch the ball. Well,
you're gonna get you know, if you don't throw the ball.
Speaker 3 (20:03):
I mean, if if your pass attempts are twenty five
to thirty a game, you're probably not even get sacked three.
Speaker 2 (20:09):
I wouldn't think.
Speaker 3 (20:10):
Wilson also has a history of throwing short you're gonna
get sacked on those throws. Seems it's probably a little high.
It's probably a couple high. Yeah, it'll go under, but
it's not terrible.
Speaker 2 (20:23):
It seems high to me.
Speaker 3 (20:24):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (20:25):
Uh, the running backs he has them with uh one thousand,
six hundred and sixty nine rushing yards combined.
Speaker 3 (20:35):
I don't even have to add that one. That's low
that's really low.
Speaker 2 (20:37):
Yeah, really low.
Speaker 3 (20:38):
That's really low. I mean I think, noge, you could
get to twelve.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
They average one hundred and forty five rushing yards over
the final ten games of last season. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
with the quarterbacks giving you basically nothing.
Speaker 3 (20:50):
Right, right, So that's the only running backs though, only
running backs. Yeah, I think Warren's gonna get you more
than six hundred. Well, we'll get to that, and I
think Nausey's around twelve, so over we'll get to those
quarter Yeah.
Speaker 2 (21:08):
Ten rushing touchdowns from the running backs.
Speaker 3 (21:11):
Three for the quarterbacks. I'll take the over on the quarterbacks.
I bet Fields ends up in the end zone at
least once.
Speaker 2 (21:19):
I think ten rushing touchdowns is low for the running backs.
Speaker 3 (21:22):
Yeah, I mean I keep moving nause up my fantasy ranks,
not because the war and injury, but I just think
he's gonna score. And I'd put that number at like twelve.
Speaker 2 (21:34):
Okay, yeah, I think that's yeah, more realistic targets for
the running backs in the passing game. One hundred and
seventeen on.
Speaker 3 (21:43):
Seven divided by seventeen equals six point nine a game,
six point eight per game, and.
Speaker 2 (21:50):
That's including Patterson in that h.
Speaker 3 (21:54):
So, I wish I had it in front of me.
But one number, that is everyone talks about the tight
ends with Arthur Smith. I found something yesterday about when
he's not when when Derrick Henry's not the back because
he doesn't catch balls. The receptions by running backs with
(22:14):
Smith are very high, like at the top of the
league if non Derrick Henry stuff and I think Nausey,
Warren and Patterson are awfully good receivers. Yeah, there's a quick,
easy throws extension of the pass game. You're gonna get
seven games a lot. Though the Warren's probably gonna catch
three or four. Yeah, I mean, I bet he did
(22:34):
last year.
Speaker 2 (22:36):
I'll go over okay, ninety three receptions for the running
backs combined. Yeah, we think nause maybe gets they were
they were at that number last year.
Speaker 3 (22:48):
Yeah, I'm gonna go over.
Speaker 2 (22:51):
Uh six and twenty one receiving yards for the running.
Speaker 3 (22:54):
Twenty one divided by seventeen. That's I did something wrong there.
Six twenty one by seventeen equals thirty six and a half.
Speaker 2 (23:04):
I'm going over that.
Speaker 3 (23:07):
Probably. Yeah, Yeah, I think they're gonna be I don't
feel like a lot of people around here have talked
about the tight ends are always brought up. You know,
how are they gonna make up for lack of number two?
What's a we different with coordinators? But I think the
running backs catching the ball is gonna spike.
Speaker 2 (23:23):
Yeah, I think so too. Yeah, let's take a look
at the wide receiver totals. Targets for the wide receivers
two hundred and fifty.
Speaker 3 (23:32):
Four, two fifty fifteen to the game. I'm going over,
going over Pickens. Pickens is going to average.
Speaker 2 (23:42):
Pickens is gonna have games where he gets fifteen himself.
Speaker 3 (23:45):
Yeah, yeah, in the preseason shows, they're going to feed
him like crazy. Yeah, the non Pickens group is going
to be pretty low by NFL standards of other receivers.
Speaker 2 (23:56):
But even let's says Jefferson gets three and the other
guys I'll get one each. Well, you're still going over fifteen.
Speaker 3 (24:03):
And I bet Jefferson averages more than three games. Yeah,
even more, I think through I mean ten of games
a lot for pickings, though there'll be some there are fifteen, sixteen, seventeen,
but there'll be one third seven. You know, I think
I'm over.
Speaker 2 (24:16):
Okay, one hundred and fifty one overall receptions for their
wide receivers under under one hundred and fifty one.
Speaker 3 (24:26):
I'm not confident that Pickings gets to one hundred.
Speaker 2 (24:29):
I don't think he does either. But well, we'll get
to the individual yeas. Yeah, wait, one hundred and fifty
one is not I just don't think they'll have three
receivers on the field very often.
Speaker 3 (24:39):
They may not.
Speaker 2 (24:39):
You're right, you know what I mean?
Speaker 3 (24:40):
Right?
Speaker 2 (24:42):
Two thy one hundred and sixty five receiving yards for
the receivers.
Speaker 3 (24:46):
Well, is that number again? I'm sorry, Twenty one sixty
five by seventeen one hundred.
Speaker 2 (24:52):
And fifty one catches is less than ten per game.
I know, I know, by a lot. I mean, it's
not a massive projection. It's like nine a game.
Speaker 3 (25:00):
I'm gonna go over in the yardage though, I think
deep passing is going to be a big thing. Then.
Is Austin going to have one or two huge games
this year? Probably? Yeah, Mike Scottie Miller have a fifty
yard reception at some point during the course of the year. Possibly.
Speaker 2 (25:17):
Yeah. Ten receiving touchdowns for the receivers, not tight ends,
non tight ends, non running backs, just for the wide receivers.
Speaker 3 (25:28):
This is going to be more of an individual conversation
when we get there, because I really think Pickens is
going to get ninety percent of their receiver touchdowns.
Speaker 2 (25:36):
Jefferson was a pretty big everything when they went to
their their uh seven shots. It was a factor every week.
Speaker 3 (25:44):
Get singled a lot. Yeah, I guess over it's a
pretty low number.
Speaker 2 (25:48):
It's really it's a really number. The tight ends one
hundred and thirty seven targets. Hmmm, I'm going over that
because they had ninety three last year as a group.
Speaker 3 (26:01):
That's eighty game. That's over eighty game. They're going to
be on the field, on the field a lot. It's
always so, I mean, Vegas knows this. It's just always
so easy to take overs across the board. Everyone's optimistic.
They got four of them on the team, right, I mean,
the Brown's up two, so you have a better chances
of adding it up over the course of the year.
(26:24):
I have no clue how many Washington's gonna catch when
we get to that.
Speaker 2 (26:27):
Well, I mean he had ten ten targets last year. Yeah,
I guess over receptions ninety six real quickly.
Speaker 3 (26:38):
The thing is, thoughf like Friarmouth misses five games, then
they're not gonna they can't get, but.
Speaker 2 (26:43):
They're not going to stop throwing to the tight ends,
So just make Connor Hayward's gonna.
Speaker 3 (26:47):
Be the I just think their target numbers.
Speaker 2 (26:48):
Connor Hayward is going to be used, though.
Speaker 3 (26:50):
I bet I take the over on Connor Hayward. Whatever
that number is. Okay, Well, what was the last one?
The next one?
Speaker 2 (26:57):
That was ninety six reception for the tight ends under,
I don't have a problem with that one. Yeah, seems
pretty bulky. Uh nine hundred and seventy receiving yards for
the tight ends.
Speaker 3 (27:15):
I don't see a ton of field stretching. I'm gonna
go under, okay.
Speaker 2 (27:19):
And seven touchdowns for the tight ends over Okay.
Speaker 3 (27:26):
I could see Connor Hayward catching like a shuttle pass
or something that doesn't really count. I bet Washington finds
the end zone as the big body guy, and I
don't think friar Mouth has to do a ton to
get to that number.
Speaker 2 (27:39):
All right, let's look at some of the individual stuff
now for the offense. Russell Wilson twenty nine hundred and
five passing yards. I think he gets to three thoy
in thirteen games. Yeah, thirteen games is a really conservative number,
that's the thing. Yeah, he played fifteen and.
Speaker 3 (27:57):
Would have played seventeen likely, you know, so he doesn't
have the injury history to him. But I wouldn't want
to be Clay on this either. You can't put seventeen
for every quarterback, right, So Yeah, I like the over.
Speaker 2 (28:09):
There fifteen touchdown passes.
Speaker 3 (28:11):
I don't know if I like the over per game
if you divide it by thirteen, but that's what we're doing. Yeah,
how many touchdown passes fifteen under.
Speaker 1 (28:17):
Or over over?
Speaker 2 (28:19):
Nine interceptions?
Speaker 3 (28:24):
I forget what number was the team total.
Speaker 2 (28:27):
The team total was thirteen.
Speaker 3 (28:29):
Because I originally went over and I kind of talked
out of it, and I'm glad I did. But nine
seems low.
Speaker 2 (28:34):
I mean, yeah, eight last year on this is for
four hundred and twelve pass attempts. He had eight last
year in Denver on four hundred and forty seven pass attempts.
Speaker 3 (28:48):
It seems like a low number for a guy that
I'm guessing is going to play the whole year. I'm
gonna go over, okay, tip balls, you.
Speaker 2 (28:58):
Know, rushing yards for Russell Wilson to sixty nine.
Speaker 3 (29:04):
Slightly under over that freaking number, I get it. I
get it. I just think in some I think fields
will eat into that some and dumping into the backs
can't be over everywhere.
Speaker 2 (29:15):
For fields one hundred and twenty four pass attempts under
seventy seven completions under eight hundred and fifty passing yards under, and.
Speaker 3 (29:29):
He'd have to be a starter. Yeah, I mean which
I mean Wilson could get benched or injured. I mean
that certainly happens in the league.
Speaker 2 (29:38):
Five passing touchdowns for Justin fields under, three interceptions for
Justin fields push two hundred and seventeen rushing yards for
Justin fields over baby, Yeah.
Speaker 3 (29:55):
I mean I'm screaming that too. But I mean, you
gotta get a fair amount of carries. Well, they have
him with thirty nine. He doesn't need.
Speaker 2 (30:04):
He that's a lot of carries. How many rushing yards
was it to seventeen?
Speaker 3 (30:09):
Oh two? I thought its two seventy one. Okay, So
let me just do one thing, two seventeen divided by six.
He only needs. I mean, I'm saying, if he gets
if he averages six yards of carry, which I think
is probably safe, he only needs thirty six carries to
get there. A couple of game that don't know how many.
Speaker 2 (30:27):
Carries you get he'll break.
Speaker 3 (30:29):
He's gonna break on the wrong ones, right, Yeah, And
who knows, there could be a game or two that
the Steelers are losing bad or winning bit bad at
the end where he mops up. Yeah, and then he's
gonna go over on a lot of this stuff.
Speaker 1 (30:43):
Uh.
Speaker 2 (30:43):
Looking at the rushing yardage here, jaylem Warren, six hundred
and eighteen rushing yards, pretty good number. He had seven
hundred last year.
Speaker 3 (30:54):
I don't think he's gonna miss time, So not factor
in that, and I'm gonna I'll go. I think he's
really good.
Speaker 2 (31:03):
Fifty four receptions for three hundred and seventy yards over
Nause Harris. Rushing yards eight hundred and ninety four.
Speaker 3 (31:12):
I think he gets to one thousand, yeah.
Speaker 2 (31:15):
Six rushing touchdowns push, I think he goes over that.
Speaker 3 (31:19):
I think I took over on rushing touchdowns by running backs.
I just wonder if he's had eight last year. I
wonder how many times it gets vultured by fields or
something on the real short yard and stuff.
Speaker 2 (31:30):
Uh, twenty eight receptions for one hundred and sixty nine
yards for Najie Harris.
Speaker 3 (31:35):
Definitely over on the yards.
Speaker 2 (31:37):
He was over that number last year.
Speaker 3 (31:38):
Yeah, he had to break a couple tackles because I
think his average depth of target will be higher. Yeah,
I mean I don't think. I think he'll be used
more than just to dump off in the flat.
Speaker 2 (31:46):
Guy Corderryl Patterson one hundred and fifty six rushing yards over.
Speaker 3 (31:51):
He then really needs an injury. I mean, chances of
both backs being healthy for seventeen games. It's slim.
Speaker 2 (31:57):
Eleven receptions for Cordal Patterson.
Speaker 3 (32:00):
Over because I think he may be on the field
with Warren or Harris, there might be some of that
as a receiver, you know.
Speaker 2 (32:06):
And then eighty two receiving yards slightly over.
Speaker 3 (32:10):
I bet he gets one hundred.
Speaker 2 (32:11):
Yeah, looking at the wide receivers, George Pickens, one hundred
and eighteen targets probably over. I'm gonna go over that.
Seventy one receptions not bad. Probably Overna go over one
hundred and eighteen. You're probably gonna catch more than seventy one, I'm.
Speaker 3 (32:31):
Aware, assuming healthier a lot. Yeah, well, I mean you
kind of have to, right, Yeah.
Speaker 2 (32:36):
One thousand, ninety one receiving yards over, five touchdown catches over. Okay,
Van Jefferson fifty one targets pretty good. I'm going over that.
(32:57):
He's your starter. Yeah, fifty one target gets just like
three a game. Yeah, over the course of a season,
all right, I'll.
Speaker 3 (33:07):
Go a little over.
Speaker 2 (33:08):
Maybe sixty ish twenty eight receptions over four hundred and
two receiving yards.
Speaker 3 (33:18):
Under.
Speaker 2 (33:19):
I'm gonna go over that too. Like, I don't think
he's gonna have worse numbers than what Deontay Johnson did
last year because he's a different receiver than Deontay too.
Speaker 3 (33:27):
Yeah, I don't know how much big play stuff you'll
get out of him for the yardage part and then not.
He's slow, but he just doesn't play like a I
don't think he's had a lot of.
Speaker 2 (33:38):
Yact two touchdown catches over.
Speaker 3 (33:42):
I think he gets three or four.
Speaker 2 (33:44):
Roman Wilson forty targets under twenty five catches under three
hundred and eighteen receiving yards under two touchdowns under.
Speaker 3 (33:56):
That's when he gets on field.
Speaker 2 (33:57):
Yeah, I don't know he have. Yeah, Calvin Austin thirty
six targets under twenty one receptions under. It's sixteen last year, okay,
but there were more guys blocking him last year.
Speaker 3 (34:13):
I think somebody else might block him this year. I mean, like,
I don't know that he'll be the three for seventeen games.
Speaker 2 (34:19):
Well, they don't have another guy, now, I know, I know,
two hundred and seventy seven receiving yards because.
Speaker 3 (34:25):
Even if Wilson steps up at the second half of
the season or there's just a lot of obstacles for
him to maintain the true number three. What is the
yardage to seventy seven that I'm gonna go over though,
because I do expect two big plays. I mean, if
he has a fifty yarder and a sixty yarder, he
should get there.
Speaker 2 (34:44):
Yeah, one touchdown, I'm fine with that. I'll go push
Scotty Miller. Ten targets.
Speaker 3 (34:55):
Over that.
Speaker 2 (34:57):
Six catches over seventy five yards. I mean he really
only needs an injury, yeah, right to go over all
those things. So someone's gonna get hurt. Uh Friarmouth eighty
two targets it ninety eight two years ago. No, No,
over fifty seven receptions over five hundred and eighty nine yards.
(35:25):
It's not bad, But I think I'm gonna go over
four touchdowns. Push you said over on their seven touchdowns
for the tight ends as a whole.
Speaker 3 (35:36):
I think Darnell's gonna catch two or three. I don't
know what his numbers are.
Speaker 2 (35:40):
Connor Hayward twenty five targets over eighteen receptions over one
hundred and seventy one yards over one.
Speaker 3 (35:49):
The thing with him, too, is you know he's gonna
be active every game day because the special team stuff. Yeah,
so yeah, I'm going over.
Speaker 2 (35:55):
Across the board on him one touchdown, also over dar
Washington twenty targets over fourteen catches over one hundred and
forty three yards over one touchdown, over Michael Pruitt ten
targets under because something has to give. Seven receptions under
(36:25):
sixty seven yards.
Speaker 3 (36:26):
I mean these sounds so minuscules goofy you to say under,
but not the whole team's not going to go over
across the board. I just wonder, I mean, do we
know he'll be active all seventeen games that you're looks
like all four tight ends are going to be active
every game seems that way. Yeah, especially since they don't
have a full back. Yeah, I'm going under on him, though,
across the board in one touchdown, I'm gonna go under.
Speaker 2 (36:49):
Okay, that's the offense. We'll look take a look at
the defense. We come back. He is Matt Williamson. I
am Dale Lay. You're listening to the Drive here on
the Steelers Audio Network, taking a look at ESPN's projections
for the Steelers. We'll do more of that with the
defense when we come back right after this.
Speaker 1 (37:10):
This is the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson
on your twenty four to seven Home of the Black
and Gold Steelers Nation Radio.
Speaker 2 (37:21):
And we are back. I'm Dale LOLLI he is the
Matt Williamson, and we're taking a look here at ESPN's
projections for the Steelers here as put together here by
Mike Clay. We just did the offense. Let's take a
look at the defense. Now we'll take a look with
the overall. He has them with forty four sacks.
Speaker 3 (37:41):
Oh, I like the over there. Yeah, seventeen game schedule.
The pass rush they have, yeah, I think I think
that's a pretty easy over for me.
Speaker 2 (37:51):
Thirteen interceptions also go over.
Speaker 3 (37:54):
Yeah, they're great at tipping balls, Minka. Those linebackers cover
a lot more ground. The pass rush, you know, causes
bad decisions. Yeah, I like the over there.
Speaker 2 (38:06):
Okay, let's take a look at some of the individual
players here, Cam Hayward seven hundred and fifty one snaps,
sixty five tackles, three point one sacks.
Speaker 3 (38:17):
I like the snaps. I think they're deep enough now
that they don't have to ask him to play eight
or nine hundred sax scene.
Speaker 2 (38:24):
Low, sax scene low.
Speaker 3 (38:26):
I would put that number at like five if I was.
Speaker 2 (38:29):
Over under two last year playing on one leg.
Speaker 3 (38:31):
Yeah, yeah, I like the over on that. I still
think he's out there on third and eight.
Speaker 2 (38:38):
In fact, they have him with the same number of
sacks as Larry Ogunjobi Ogan Joby playing six seven hundred
and eight snaps, forty seven tackles, three point one sacks.
Speaker 3 (38:48):
I think I'm gonna go under probably across the board
on D line snaps. I just think they have a
deep group. I don't want Ogunjoe. I'd love to keep Ogunjoby.
It's six or seven hundred, not seven or eight hundred. Yeah,
seven to eight. I thought you said seven fifty eight. Now,
Still I'm gonna go under on that. How many sacks?
Was it three again?
Speaker 2 (39:06):
Three point one?
Speaker 3 (39:07):
I vega's the four.
Speaker 2 (39:09):
Keanu Benton four hundred and fifty snaps.
Speaker 3 (39:12):
There's one. I just yeah, opposite of what I was thinking.
Speaker 2 (39:15):
Thirty five tackles two sacks.
Speaker 3 (39:17):
Yeah, because the last sentence I almost said was I
think kyward Ogin, Joeby, et cetera go down because Benton
goes up. I think Benton might lead the d lin
in snaps, so I'm definitely going over across the board
on him.
Speaker 2 (39:32):
Montrevis Adam four hundred and eight snaps, twenty nine tackles,
one point nine sacks.
Speaker 3 (39:40):
Does he get the two Probably yeah, because I think
he plays four hundred snaps. I think that's been a
logical number for him.
Speaker 2 (39:50):
I just think Benton's gonna blow that number out of
the one.
Speaker 3 (39:52):
Yeah, that's the best bet of all of them. Just
go over on all the Benton stuff.
Speaker 2 (39:57):
Dean Lowry ten tackles point four sacks, so he needs
a half a sack.
Speaker 3 (40:03):
I bet he does stumbles into one of those.
Speaker 2 (40:07):
Isaiah louder Milk seventy five snaps, six tackles, point two tackles.
Speaker 3 (40:11):
I'm gonna go under on him. There's I mean, there's
a lot of d linemen in that room.
Speaker 2 (40:14):
Here's where they here's where they little disconnect. Here to
Marvin leeout playing forty three snaps way over. He's gonna way.
Speaker 3 (40:21):
Over because he probably doesn't factor in any of the
edge stuff.
Speaker 2 (40:23):
Yeah. Three tackles, point two sacks.
Speaker 3 (40:26):
I mean I'd go over on the snaps if he
didn't line up ever at outside linebackers.
Speaker 2 (40:29):
Yeah, yeah, uh moving on to the outside linebackers, he's
them combining the three of them for twenty six point
six sacks this season.
Speaker 3 (40:39):
Way over.
Speaker 2 (40:40):
I'm gonna go over that.
Speaker 3 (40:42):
Well, we'll get to them individually, so that wont yeah, okay?
Speaker 2 (40:45):
Uh. TJ Watt eight hundred and thirty seven snaps, sixty
four tackles, thirteen point three sacks, point three interceptions.
Speaker 3 (40:55):
Over on sacks interceptions. Yeah, he seems always a fine
sacks or he'd have to get hurt.
Speaker 2 (41:03):
Yeah. Alex Heighsmith eight hundred and fifty eight snaps, fifty
seven tackles, nine sacks, point two interceptions.
Speaker 3 (41:12):
I bet he doesn't pick a ball off. But I'm
just like last year, I know I know they're not
all going to get him. How many sacks again, nine,
I'm gonna go under. That's a good I mean, that's
a hearty year. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (41:25):
Nick Kerbig four hundred and twenty nine snaps, thirty two tackles,
four point three sacks.
Speaker 3 (41:31):
I'm going over on the sacks. I bet he gets
five or six and rotates in a little bit more
this year. But that snap count seems about right.
Speaker 2 (41:39):
From the inside linebackers looking at five sacks, two interceptions
over over, Yeah, I agree. Patrick Queen one thousand and
nineteen defensive snaps, one hundred and twenty seven tackles, three
point one sacks, one point one interceptions.
Speaker 3 (42:01):
Pretty good. I mean, it'll be a really good year.
It'll be a really good year through the the snap
stuff's probably spot on.
Speaker 2 (42:07):
He's not gonna leave every snap. That's every you know,
I mean every defensive snap.
Speaker 3 (42:11):
He needs to stay healthy of course. To hit that,
I'll take one interception in three sacks though, Yeah, Yeah,
I mean that's about right.
Speaker 2 (42:21):
Landon Roberts five hundred and thirty six snaps, eighty five tackles,
one point one sacks and a half an interception. He
has one interception in his career.
Speaker 3 (42:29):
Yeah, I'm gonna take under under on that and I'm
gonna go over on sacks. I bet he gets the two. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (42:35):
Peyton Wilson two hundred and fifteen defensive snaps over over
twenty nine tackles over point four sacks, over point two interceptions.
Speaker 3 (42:47):
Over you can't get half an interception. Point two is
not much differ the point nine.
Speaker 2 (42:54):
Actually, just say under an interception, right right? Mark Robinson
two hundred and four snaps, twenty nine tackles. They got
him playing much as Peyton.
Speaker 3 (43:00):
Willis under under.
Speaker 2 (43:01):
Yeah, I don't see that happening now.
Speaker 3 (43:04):
I'm not sure Robinson played seventeen games in the makes.
I think there's a chance he's not even there in
the opening day roster. There's a chance. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (43:11):
And then Tyler Matacave it's yeah, twenty one, Yeah, that's under.
Joey Porter Junior one thy nineteen defensive snaps, which ties
Patrick Queen. Yeah, that's all their defensive snaps, sixty four tackles.
Speaker 3 (43:24):
That's always tough with corners under two point two interceptions over,
because I think he'll still travel with ones and get
targeted a lot.
Speaker 2 (43:37):
Dante Jackson fifty eight tackles, zero point nine interceptions.
Speaker 3 (43:42):
I'm guessing he gets one.
Speaker 2 (43:44):
Yeah. Beanie Bishop forty five tackles one interception.
Speaker 3 (43:51):
Under across the board. I don't know if he's a
big guy, Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 2 (43:56):
Corey Trice twenty one tackles less than one interception.
Speaker 3 (44:00):
I would go under.
Speaker 2 (44:02):
Darius Rush one hundred and seven snaps, eight tackles less
than an interception.
Speaker 3 (44:05):
That'd go under. There's just some uncertainty, are there with
those guys.
Speaker 2 (44:10):
From the safeties. One sack, four point nine interceptions over
Minka Fitzpatrick one hundred and eleven tackles, point nine sacks.
So does he get a sack and one point nine
interceptions which does not lead to team.
Speaker 3 (44:29):
I'm definitely on over on picks.
Speaker 2 (44:31):
Yeah, you didn't have any last year. He's not going
to go two years in a row and just have one.
Speaker 3 (44:35):
Yeah, I don't care. I'm not sure about the staffield
get sacked or not, but I like him to take
the ball away three times at least.
Speaker 2 (44:41):
To Shaun Elliott eighty three tackles, two point two interceptions
and no sacks.
Speaker 3 (44:47):
I think he gets a sack. Yeah, I think he'll
be near the line of scrimmage a little bit more.
I'll go under on the interceptions, though.
Speaker 2 (44:53):
The monte Kyz thirty five tackles less than a sack,
less than an interception.
Speaker 3 (45:01):
Sounds fair.
Speaker 2 (45:02):
I'll go under Miles Killerbrew three tackles under yeah, and
Jalen Elliott.
Speaker 3 (45:08):
Two tackles under I mean two tackles so much he
needs one injury, I'll go over. I always do is
make the team note cut and have an injury, and
he'll probably get two tackles this year.
Speaker 2 (45:22):
Would you take these numbers for Boswell twenty nine of
thirty three on field goals eighty seven percent, which is
just below his career percentage.
Speaker 3 (45:33):
I think so. And my logic is I'd have to
look at the schedule, but all those late AFC North
games are going to be weather. Yeah, you know what
I mean. So, yeah, I'll take that.
Speaker 2 (45:43):
How about this for Cameron Johnston forty six point seven
yards per punt? Would you take that? I think I
might go Fishin's pretty darn good.
Speaker 3 (45:57):
He's impressive though, but weather doesn't help him there. Yeah,
that seems like a pretty good number.
Speaker 2 (46:03):
That's a good number. Yeah, yeah, that would be the
highest I think in Steelers history. Really without looking it up,
it's pretty good.
Speaker 3 (46:08):
Just off the top of your head. Yeah, it wouldn't
shock me if it is not bad. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (46:13):
Those are the numbers though. Class Steelers, according to ESPN,
by their projections that they do with their computer.
Speaker 3 (46:20):
Models, right right. I don't know how deep, oh what
all Mike does to formulate them, but he's really good
at it, and it's a tough job.
Speaker 2 (46:26):
I think some of this factors in what the team
did last year, which is really difficult for this team,
given a new offensive system and all new quarterbacks.
Speaker 3 (46:35):
And then you texted me yesterday, twenty three of the
current Steelers were not Steelers last year. Twenty two two, okay, yeah,
and so it's massive roster change.
Speaker 2 (46:45):
They weren't on the open they weren't on the roster
last year.
Speaker 3 (46:47):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (46:48):
Ory Trice counts in.
Speaker 3 (46:49):
That of course, of course, right, I mean they weren't
active Steeler. Yeah, I guess is the way I put it,
whole new quarterbacks over forty percent. Yeah, a whole new
quarterback room and an offense coordinator. So I mean it's
a lot of difference. O line's noticeably.
Speaker 2 (47:01):
Different, you know, So factoring him where they were at
last year and trying to extrapolate that into this year
makes this a hard team to judge.
Speaker 3 (47:08):
Right, I mean that's like doing the Falcons. Yeah, I
mean they're totally different.
Speaker 2 (47:12):
On the other side side though, the defense, But that's stable.
That's pretty stable, it's unchanged. You've added to it. And
you're telling me that TJ was gonna get thirteen sacks.
Speaker 3 (47:23):
I mean, yes, get hurt. I mean that's thing, right
to really nerd out would be like how many interceptions
per game? How many sacks per game? You know, and
maybe that's how they do it, And they say, well,
he's maybe maybe going to miss five. I don't know.
Speaker 2 (47:39):
I don't average over like a sack per game in
his career though, and that includes his rookie year when
he didn't average a sack per game.
Speaker 3 (47:47):
Yeah, I think twenty is more likely than twelve. I
think that's yeah, you know what I mean, if he's
at thirteen and a half. I mean it's not like
obviously twenty is more likely than seven.
Speaker 2 (47:58):
I mean he's led the league three to the last
four years. Yeah, and the one year he didn't was
the year that he was hurt.
Speaker 3 (48:03):
And fourteen doesn't even lead the league. That's a down
year for him. Ye'll still hit the.
Speaker 2 (48:07):
Over That's what NFL defensive player theyar Miles Garrett had
last year.
Speaker 3 (48:11):
He had fourteen fourteen, So I think you'd I'm not
picking on Clay, but I would think, like the Steelers defense,
Kansas City's offense would be a lot easier because they
don't have crazy change, right. I mean, there's some things
you can bank on several years. Yeah. I don't know.
Speaker 2 (48:33):
I just I look at the defense. I think it's
going to be really good. I think the offense can
be maybe not middle of the pack, but around twenty Yeah.
Speaker 3 (48:44):
Yeah, I think that's fair.
Speaker 2 (48:46):
And then I think you win a lot of ball
games that you know.
Speaker 3 (48:49):
Special teams should be vastly improved. They weren't bad. No,
kicking games should be real good. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (48:55):
Absolutely, let's get to a break. He is the Matt Williamson.
I'm Dale Lallire listening to the drive here on the
Steelers Audio Network. That's going to do it for our
number one. We'll be back with our number two right
after this.
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Las Culturistas with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang
Ding dong! Join your culture consultants, Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang, on an unforgettable journey into the beating heart of CULTURE. Alongside sizzling special guests, they GET INTO the hottest pop-culture moments of the day and the formative cultural experiences that turned them into Culturistas. Produced by the Big Money Players Network and iHeartRadio.