What's Next For Markets

What's Next For Markets

When it comes to equity markets, there is a seller for every buyer. But how do you know which side of the trade to be on? Macro trends explain 70% of stock movements so understanding the macro backdrop is essential. Join Michael Kantrowitz, No. 1 ranked* Wall Street investment strategist, and the rest of the portfolio strategy & quantitative research team at Piper Sandler as they discuss current macro trends and what’s next for markets. Michael, Stephen, Emily, Joe and Dan have been working together for over 15 years. They pride themselves on their knowledge of financial market history while offering value added research and time-saving resources to their clients. The team utilizes the H.O.P.E. framework (Housing, Orders, Profits & Employment), a proven business cycle analysis to guide listeners through investment decisions and manage risk/reward in global equity markets. When they aren’t advising the best and brightest on Wall Street, they share bad taste in movies and good taste in cuisine. For more information on the podcast and the team visit whatsnextformarkets.com

Episodes

July 18, 2025 34 mins

In this episode, we discuss with Danny Kirsch the parallels between current market complacency and pre-Liberation Day conditions. Danny explores the implications of extreme call buying, SPACs resurgence, and market liquidity. The episode covers the market dynamics, examining the Fed's pressure to cut rates and its impact on long-term yields, the role of volatility control strategies, and the influence of upcoming events like t...

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In this episode, Emily Needell, Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, joins us to explore the concept of "quality" in stocks. We discuss how quality is defined, the key metrics used to identify high-quality companies, and common misconceptions surrounding the term. Indicators such as high profitability, strong interest coverage ratios, and robust free cash flow are highlighted as hallmarks of quality. We al...

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In this episode, we have in an in-depth discussion with economist Jake Oubina about the current economic landscape. We discuss the Federal Reserve's potential actions, inflation trends, and the housing market outlook. Jake shares his insights on how uncertainty over the past six months has affected consumer behavior, housing, and labor markets. He emphasizes the importance of lower interest rates, deregulation, and capital inv...

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In this episode, we speak with Alex Potter senior research analyst at Piper Sandler and take a deep dive into Tesla and its disruptive influence. The conversation touches on various broad topics including automakers, EVs, politics, infrastructure, energy usage, and technology. The discussion highlights Tesla's transformation of the auto industry and its broadened scope influencing tech, industrials, consumer and energy sectors...

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In this episode we discuss the market trends and events from the first half of 2025. Joined by Emily Needell, Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, the conversation covers the market's responses to policy changes, such as tariffs and deregulation, and the broad economic data trends this year. They highlight the v-shaped recovery and the bifurcation seen across different sectors and factors, indicating a mixed re...

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June 15, 2025 17 mins

In today’s episode, we discuss the ongoing uncertainty in global markets and reflect on the events from the past five years, including COVID-19, inflation, interest rates, geopolitical and their compounded effects on market volatility. In the episode, we provide insights into how investors can position amidst these uncertainties by focusing on companies with robust fundamentals and macro resilience. Despite the volatility and unpre...

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In this episode, Don Schneider Deputy Head of U.S. Policy at Piper Sandler helps us unravel the ongoing political volatility impacting the markets. We discuss the significant topic of the budget reconciliation bill, detailing its current status, timeline for passage, and the key components it entails including tax cuts, spending cuts, and the consequential impacts on the fiscal outlook and growth trajectory. In the episode we addre...

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In this episode, Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, joins hosts Michael and Steven to discuss the transformative journey and mission behind 42 Macro. Darius shares his background in Wall Street investment research and highlights the company's unique approach to providing equal access to high-quality investment insights for both institutional and retail investors. He delves into the challenges of navigating various investor prof...

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In this episode, we discuss the recent movements in the market amid ever-changing political narratives. We delve into the factors influencing valuations, including interest rates, inflation, and macroeconomic data. The conversation also covers the impact of recent policy changes—such as Trump’s fluctuating tariffs on the EU—and how they contribute to market volatility.

We examine the current state of the S&P 500, highlighting el...

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In this episode, we delve into recent market movements following tariff announcements and pauses. The discussion covers the sharp decline and subsequent recovery of the S&P 500, highlighting sector-specific performance and the varying recovery trajectories of different market segments. The episode also covers broader economic concerns, including credit card delinquency rates, inflation, and consumer demand, emphasizing the impo...

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In this episode, we talk with Craig Fuller, CEO of FreightWaves, about the significant shifts and challenges in global supply chains, with a particular focus on the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events. Craig outlines the evolution of supply chains, the effects of the U.S.-China trade war, and the broader ramifications of tariffs on global trade and logistics. He discusses potential shortages in certain goods and the adaptabil...

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In this episode, we discuss the eventful month of April in the markets, highlighting the resurgence of the S&P 500 and the significant influence of policy shifts on market dynamics. The episode delves into the impact of tariff-related rhetoric, the effect of proposed tax cuts, and the ongoing balance between sentiment and fundamental data. We cover the importance of maintaining a balanced investment approach and what data to wa...

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In this episode of What's Next for Markets, Michael Kantrowitz, Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, and Josh Rogin, Lead Global Security Analyst at Washington Post Intelligence, delve into the ongoing market volatility driven by shifting policies and geopolitical dynamics. They discuss the breakdown of traditional silos between Wall Street, Washington, and Silicon Valley, the impact of U.S.-China relations on global ...

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April 17, 2025 18 mins

In this episode, Stephen and Emily discuss the current state of small cap equity investing. Small cap equities have underperformed their larger cap equity counterparts for nearly five years. We explore the factors contributing to this trend, including higher interest rates, slowing economic growth, and recent tariff news. Despite current challenges, the conversation highlights potential positive catalysts that could improve the out...

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In this episode, we’re joined by Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments, for a wide-ranging conversation on market cycles, long-term investing, and the shifting dynamics in the macro landscape.

Jurrien shares how his background in technical analysis has evolved into a storytelling approach to macro strategy. We dive into:

  • The interplay between technicals and macro data
  • Why market signals matter more than ...
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In this episode of 'What's Next for Markets', we discuss the recent tumultuous week for markets in the wake tariff announcements. We will cover our initial reaction to the moves in the market along with the emerging macro and earnings risks. The episode touches on market sentiment, valuation metrics, and historical parallels. Importantly, in today’s episode we look beyond the obvious bearish narrative to what could g...

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How resilient is the U.S. consumer? In today’s episode of What’s Next For Markets we speak with a 20-year veteran on Wall Street, senior research analyst, Peter Keith who covers consumer stocks in the hardline and breadlines industries at Piper Sandler. In this insightful conversation we explore consumer behavior through the lens of Peter’s proprietary mattress sales index and its implications for the broader economic landscape. Th...

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In this episode, we discuss the significant bifurcation seen in economic and company earnings data over the past few years. Why have some companies excel in this environment, while others struggle? Join us, as we delve into the factors driving this divergence, from the zero interest rate policy post-GFC to the present-day tariff uncertainty. The episode covers the impact of housing on the economy, the role of interest rates, and th...

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In this episode of 'What's Next for Markets,' we are joined by Danny Kirsch, Head of Piper Sandler's Options Strategy & Trading for a discussion on the recent correction in the stock market and policy uncertainty. The team delves into specific market dynamics including high retail sentiment, momentum stocks, and the role of options trades in current market conditions. They also explore potential opportunitie...

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March 9, 2025 27 mins

Join us as we delve into the recent surge in market uncertainty. In today's episode, we share our insights on a crucial question: When will the market hit bottom? Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

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