the daily moo

the daily moo

Essential sharemarket insight delivered every morning by the market strategists of share-trading platform moomoo Australia and New Zealand. We cover the latest news, explore trends, and cover three investments in our daily watchlist.

Episodes

July 23, 2026 11 mins

Defence stocks are surging as the sector faces what analysts are calling the strongest macro environment in a generation. With ongoing conflict in the Middle East, NATO nations ramping up military spending, and governments around the world committing to long-term defence budgets, major contractors are reporting strong earnings beats and record order backlogs.

Watchlist: Lockheed Martin, NextEra Energy, Newmont

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Investors lose patience as cash warning flashes for big tech Markets are holding steady in the face of a rapidly rising oil price and dynamic results from major US companies. It's those results that are taking more investor attention than anything else with the key question of whether the massive spend on AI infrastructure is worth it. And at first blush, with fresh results from Alphabet and Tesla, and answer seems to be 'maybe not...

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The ASX 200 barely moved this week, but beneath that flat headline, a dramatic rotation is underway, with investors piling into into oil and gas names as Middle East tensions near the Strait of Hormuz keep crude prices elevated.

Watchlist: Woodside, CBA, Tesla

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The focus this week is the AI trade, where enormous capital expenditure commitments are now being tested against actual revenue growth and free cash flow generation. With several major results due in coming days, investors are looking for evidence that the spending cycle is producing returns, and the stakes for richly valued, heavily indebted names are particularly high.

Watchlist: Alphabet, GM, Yancoal

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Capital is rotating out of high-valuation growth stocks into attractively priced, earnings-rich value plays. Australian value stocks have outperformed growth for the first time in a year, driven by rising interest rates and shifting fiscal policy, signaling a potential inflection point.

Watchlist: Vanguard Australian Shares High Yield ETF (VHY), Marvell, Palo Alto Networks

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Capital is rotating out of high-valuation tech and semiconductors into AI-driven healthcare technology, as medical AI experiences explosive growth across clinical diagnostics, robotic surgery, and physician automation, positioning healthcare not just as a traditional defensive play but as the next frontier of exponential growth.

Watchlist: Abbott, Netflix, BHP

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Apple's lawsuit against OpenAI has spotlighted what many believe will define the next chapter of the AI race: physical, consumer-facing hardware and the end-to-end integration of chips, software, and devices. The market remains caught between optimism and uncertainty about who will ultimately dominate this once-in-a-generation opportunity.

Watchlist: Apple, BlackRock, Zip

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US markets rallied on a softer-than-expected CPI print, while Australia's ASX 200 finished exactly flat, continuing to underperform as domestic tax changes weigh on bank stocks and mortgage books. Major overnight moves in tech, a dramatic earnings season moment for IBM, and a local winemaker's strategic pivot back to premium are also covered.

Watchlist: Bank of America, IBM, Treasury Wines

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The US tech sector fell hard overnight as US-Iran conflict escalated and talk of blockade and tolls hit investor confidence. We unpack what can be expected as the oil price and bond yields spike in response.

Watchlist: Oracle, Goldman Sachs, Tamboran Resources

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It was the powerful artificial intelligence trade leading global markets higher last week. There were spectacular gains in some market-leading stocks. And that expectation and hope will now be realised (or not) as US companies report their earnings and forecasts. So let's find out if the billions of dollars sunk into building out AI infrastructure is actually worth it.

Watchlist: JP Morgan, SK Hynix, Electro Optic Systems

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Technology stocks are climbing globally, but so far into July, it's Hong Kong that is outperforming, as significant capital inflow lifts the technology index there and AI-aligned stocks. It's been a dramatic uptick for a key global technology market. And it looks like structural factors are in place to support continued growth as China doubles-down on a self-sufficient AI sector.

Watchlist: SMIC, Take Two, Fletcher Building

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Markets flipped from yesterday's tech sector downturn as investors rushed back to AI. Few sectors are running as hot as cyber security, in a bull run since Anthropic launched its Mythos model that freaked out corporations and governments alike, and set off a stampede into AI security. Some stocks have doubled in three months, as the whole sector is expected to do by 2030.

Watchlist: Fortinet, Alibaba, Minerals 260

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Healthcare is one sector benefiting as investors exit highly valued technology stocks. Daily swings in leading stocks such as Intel indicate the market's current intense volatility. And that applies to the most bullish sectors, such as robotics, where advancements (and need) are set to create a huge market in the years ahead.

Watchlist: Intuitive Surgical, Levi Strauss, CSL

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It's not just technology stocks rallying, we're also saw an uptick in commodities, including gold, with the price now above US$4150. But will it rally higher or fall further? Global investment banks maintain their ambitious target for the yellow metal by year end. But there's reason for caution as inflation and interest rate expectations change.

Watchlist: Global X Physical Gold Structured ETF, Rocket Lab, Tesla

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As a big tech selloff takes hold in global markets, it's not the chips or hyperscalers winning investor interest, it's the industries that make them function. Those machinery and infrastructure stocks are in demand as the AI build out continues to heighten. We outline four critical sectors to watch.

Watchlist: iShares Semiconductor ETF, Teradyne, Nextdc

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US semiconductor stocks led a downswing in the market, but analysts are steadfastly bullish on where the market's premier benchmark, the S&P 500, is headed in the months ahead, and that is up. Gains in the first half of 2026 are expected to match gains in the second half – so it could be double (or nothing) for the year.

Watchlist: Liontown, Caterpillar, Electro Optic Systems

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A rally in US artificial intelligence stocks and sectors ended the financial year on theme! It was the clear driver of the US market for the past 12 months, driving astounding gains across all indices. But also integral in Australia on the commodities front. We unpack the year that was, and give a quick take on the set up for 2026-27.

Watchlist: Liontown, Caterpillar, Electro Optic Systems

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With a US technology stock rally lifting markets overnight, it looks like we're about to end the 2025-26 financial year on a positive note. But when we look at what's likely to drive US markets in the new year, there's a few traps to watch out for, from severe market bottlenecks to November's mid-term elections.

Watchlist: Woodside Energy, ON Semiconductor, AbbVie 

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Last week we saw an obvious rotation from big US technology stocks tied to AI, into 'safer' sectors such as healthcare. We can expect volatility this week as end of financial year repositioning begins. And you should take time to rethink your strategy, especially as we've only got one year to go before the capital gains tax discount is gone.

Watchlist: Woodside Energy, ON Semiconductor, AbbVie 

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We saw some huge technology stock price rises and falls overnight in a split US market performance. And it seems there's clearer market distinction between winners and underperformers in the AI race, as massive AI hyperscaler spending starts to impact their businesses and concern investors.

Watchlist: Apple, Coinbase, Judo Capital

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