The Lion's Edge

The Lion's Edge

BetMGM handicapping expert Chase Kiddy dives into sports betting every week with knowledgeable guests. We're talking college football, NFL, hoops, baseball, tennis and more, with lines provided by the BetMGM online sportsbook. Listen for betting strategies, weekly picks and thoughtful analysis.

Episodes

November 16, 2023 30 mins

Chase is FIRED UP for College GameDay's return to his alma mater, James Madison. Here are the picks ahead of a fun weekend on the road.

Some relevant reading for this week...

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After a very successful week, Chase is back to handicap the board, gravitating toward contrarian favorites in the college football space. 

Some relevant reading for this week...

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The CFP committee got it... right? Huh. That's weird. So I guess there's not much to complain about. Let's get into bets for CFB Week 10 and NFL Week 9.

Some relevant reading for this week...

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Chase caught a cold after a bit too much partying after last week's JMU/Marshall game. Nonetheless, here's your market breakdown for CFB Week 9 and NFL Week 8, starting (as always) with Thursday Night Football.

 

Some relevant reading for this week...

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It's a better-late-than-never kind of week, with Chase checking in with both CFB Week 8 and NFL Week 7 bets on a Thursday. 

Some relevant reading for this week...

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On a week without many strong feelings, Chase is leaning hard into big favorites that are classically square. But can our old-school market tendencies correctly account for the differences between a team like the Dolphins and a team like the Panthers?

This week's Week 6 NFL picks & leans include the following games:

  • Thursday Night Football: Broncos at Chiefs (-10.5)
  • Vikings at Bears (+2.5)
  • 49ers at Browns (+7)
  • Panthers at Dolphins (...
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Before launching into his best bets for Week 7 of the college football season, Chase breaks down a few observations from key NCAAF futures markets, including the national championship odds, playoff odds, and Heisman odds.

This week's official picks include the following games:

  • Louisville at Pittsburgh (+8)
  • Illinois at Maryland (-14)
  • Miami (OH) at Western Michigan (+8.5)
  • UMass at Penn State (-42.5)
  • Auburn at LSU (-11.5)

Other lean...

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After a slow Week 4 with not much to offer, Chase is back for NFL Week 5 with a ton of picks he likes. Some even trend toward the square side of the market, but given how much the public has won so far this season, that might not be a bad thing...

This week's Week 5 NFL leans include the following games:

  • Thursday Night Football: Bears at Commanders (-5.5)
  • Texans at Falcons (-1.5)
  • Panthers at Lions (-9.5)
  • Saints at Patriots (-1)
  • Benga...
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The podcast is hot right now! Picks and leans are coming in green across both NFL and college football, and Chase has another deep group of picks he really likes on this week's podcast.

There's also the curious case of one G5 team, which is badly mispriced in its conference futures market...

This week's official picks include the following games:

  • Washington State at UCLA (-3.5)
  • Syracuse at North Carolina (-8.5)
  • Kentucky at Georgia (...
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Chase hates this week's NFL board, but at least he's in good company. BetMGM Senior NFL Writer Nick Hennion stops by the show to talk early season impressions, overrated & underrated teams, Week 4 bets, futures, and more.

This week's Week 4 NFL leans include the following games:

  • Thursday Night Football: Lions at Packers (+1.5)
  • Commanders at Eagles (-8.5)
  • Steelers at Texans (+3)
  • Seahawks at Giants (-1.5)

NFL Week 4 Survivor Pick:...

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After a really strong week of betting results, Chase is back with an excellent crop of Week 5 sides, totals, and leans. 

This week's official picks include the following games:

  • Clemson at Syracuse (+7)
  • Florida at Kentucky (-3)
  • Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech (+2.5)
  • Georgia at Auburn (+14.5)
  • Troy at Georgia State (-1.5)

Plus total plays from the following games:

  • Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan
  • Utah at Oregon State
  • Missouri at Va...
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BetMGM Tonight cohost Ryan Horvat stops by the show to break down early NFL  reactions, Week 3 picks, the imminent demise of Colorado Football, and a Saturday night showdown between his beloved Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Ohio State Buckeyes.

This week's official Week 3 NFL bets include the following games:

  • Thursday Night Football: Giants at 49ers (-10.5)
  • Cowboys at Cardinals (+12.5)
  • Chargers at Vikings (-1)
  • Bills at Commander...
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With conference play now kicking off across most of the college football landscape, it's time to lay down some markers on which teams are real playoff contenders and which teams are not. Get ready to kick out the old guard.

LATER: as always, Chase walks listeners through his official plays for the week, adding in some more thoughts about another handful of games. 

PLUS: Understanding the difference between a bad bet and an unlucky re...

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Week 2 NFL odds are here, and it's important not to overreact or bet too much. This week's lines are tough.

Chase breaks down the line movement for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Vikings and Eagles (-6.5) before highlighting his favorite bet from the game. He's also got only a couple of straight bets for this weekend's difficult board. It is a great weekend for teasers, though!

This week's official Week 2 NFL bets...

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With another week left before conference play really begins in earnest, many teams have FCS and G5 games scheduled for this week. And with only a couple of data points now in the books for most teams, that's created some really valuable spots in games that few CFB fans are paying attention to.

Chase covers five official plays, three road favorites, and a host of Week 3 leans before talking G5 & FCS football with Sam Herder and Colto...

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Week 1 of the NFL is here, which means it's time to lock in for a small handful of official plays.

Thursday Night Football odds for Week 1: Lions at Chiefs (-4.5). With Chris Jones and Travis Kelce both potentially missing the NFL opener, a torrent of action has pushed the line from Chiefs -6.5 to Chiefs -4.5. Should you chase the movement, counter with the Chiefs, or stay away completely? (There's a case for all three.)

This week's ...

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A lot of handicappers got absolutely blasted in Week 1, so Chase is feeling fortunate to have gotten out of the long weekend with a 3-3 record on last week's official plays. 

This week's official picks include the following games:

  • App State at North Carolina (-18)
  • Wisconsin at Washington State (+6.5)
  • Texas State at UTSA (+12.5)
  • UCF at Boise State (+3.5)
  • Nebraska at Colorado (-3)

Other leans and notes from this game include the fo...

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Last week was the appetizer; now, it's time for the main course. Chase returns to the classic Lion's Edge in-season schedule, offering mid-week NCAA analysis ahead of his official college football picks column dropping on the BetMGM blog.

This week's official picks include the following games:

  • Ohio State at Indiana (+30)
  • New Mexico at Texas A&M (-38.5)
  • Texas Tech at Wyoming (+14)
  • Louisville at Georgia Tech (+7.5)
  • South Alabama at Tul...
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With Week 0 now over, college football begins in earnest this week. We've got an appropriately huge show this week -- the full college football season preview & predictions episode! College football preview legend Phil Steele returns to the show to break down Ohio State vs. Michigan, Georgia vs. the SEC, Big 12 newcomers, championship sleepers, FBS new guys Sam Houston & Jacksonville State, CFP predictions, and so much more.  

LATER...

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College Football is here! We're just days away now from Week 0, and Chase has a quick breakdown on the early games to target. 

Some relevant reading for this week...

You can check out a written version of this Week 0 college football picks episode at the BetMGM blog: 

-CFP Odds & Analysis 

-Your complete guide to Heisman odds

-CFB odds & analysis for the national championship

Make sure to read our team's content on BetMGM's blog, The Roa...

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