Threatscape Briefing

Ukraine has escalated its campaign against Russia’s energy infrastructure, striking oil facilities that underpin Moscow’s war economy. 

These attacks are designed to degrade Russia’s revenue streams, disrupt logistics, and weaken the Kremlin’s ability to sustain prolonged military operations.

Listen on for more about the effects of Ukraine's targeting of Russia's war economy.

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According to an article by Professor Jennifer Lind at Dartmouth College, China’s governance model of “smart authoritarianism” blends tight political control with inclusive economic policies to accelerate innovation. 

Inspired partly by Singapore’s experience, the CCP adapted authoritarian tools for a globalized information age. 

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The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) reported that the world’s top 100 arms producers saw combined revenues surge in 2025 as states accelerated modernization and expanded arsenals. The surge reflects heightened geopolitical tensions, with NATO members boosting procurement in response to Russia’s war economy, while Asian states expand naval and missile capabilities to counter China’s assertiveness. 

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In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we unpack Vietnam’s bold strategic pivot. 

Ahead of its 14th National Congress, the Communist Party of Vietnam has elevated foreign affairs to a “core, frequent” mission—placing diplomacy on par with defense and internal security.

This is more than bureaucratic language. It signals Hanoi’s intent to move from reactive diplomacy to proactive statecraft—tasking its foreign service with shaping t...

In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we unpack the launch of the Armed Conflict Survey 2025. The International Institute for Strategic Studies reports 135 active conflicts worldwide — one of the highest totals in three decades — with the average conflict lasting 30 years.

Fatalities surged 20 percent year on year, claiming nearly 240,000 lives between July 2024 and June 2025. Ukraine, Palestine, Sudan, and Myanmar remain among t...

In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine Russia’s commissioning of the Ivan Papanin — the first of a new class of combat icebreakers. 

Unlike traditional scientific vessels, the Papanin is armed with naval guns, missile positions, advanced radar, and a helipad for anti‑submarine operations. 

Analysts warn that this marks a deliberate shift, enabling Moscow to project military power in ice‑covered waters where conventional ...

This Threatscape Weekly unpacks why six “disconnected” headlines all point to the same pattern: states turning critical systems into tools of power. Ports, sushi, icebreakers, and cables aren’t random headlines—they’re the operating system of global power. 

This Threatscape Weekly links China’s refusal to loosen its grip on Greece’s Piraeus Port, Taiwan’s sushi diplomacy with Japan, Russia’s hybrid campaign inside Europe, a divergin...

In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine the divergence between official optimism and market caution in the U.S. economy. Treasury signals confidence that recession risk is low, while independent analyses point to a possible 2026 reacceleration.

Yet the Federal Reserve remains uneasy, citing unusual trends in inflation, labor markets, and credit spreads. For executives and risk professionals, the stakes are clear: credit ...

In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine Italy’s warning on intensified Russian hybrid operations. Coordinated influence campaigns, probing of industrial control systems, and proxy actors amplifying narratives are all part of a strategy designed to destabilize without firing a shot.

This broadens the threat surface far beyond kinetic fronts, raising risks to political cohesion, defense confidence, and election‑cycle stabi...

In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we unpack how sushi became a geopolitical signal. Hours after Beijing banned Japanese seafood, Taiwan’s President Lai Ching‑te posted sushi photos — a subtle but deliberate act of alliance signaling.

This is soft power in motion. From seafood bans to cultural blackouts, China is flexing economic coercion, while Taiwan and Japan tighten ties one bite at a time. 

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In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine Beijing’s red line in the Mediterranean. China refuses to sell its controlling stake in Greece’s Piraeus Port despite U.S. diplomatic pressure — turning infrastructure into strategy.

COSCO’s 67% stake, acquired during Greece’s debt crisis, is now a geopolitical flashpoint. As Washington expands its military and energy footprint in Greece, Beijing is locking down its own. Piraeus is...

In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine why hyperwarfare is no longer hypothetical. Military strategists warn that autonomous weapons are bypassing human oversight, with Israel’s Lavender AI cited as a precedent for rapid, lethal targeting without pause.

Autonomous systems are now capable of initiating lethal force without human review, demonstrating how quickly, scalably, and ethically unregulated these platforms can be...

In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine the world’s first fully autonomous cyberattack. A China‑linked group deployed generative AI to strike European infrastructure — adapting in real time, bypassing defenses, and operating with minimal human input.

This marks the first known cyberattack executed without direct human control, rewriting the rules of cyber warfare. 

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In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine Washington’s endorsement of a new Pacific Triangle. Linking South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines, the trilateral bloc is designed to counter China’s assertiveness and North Korea’s provocations.

At a summit in Manila, defense officials emphasized deeper coordination on maritime security, joint exercises, and regional deterrence. 

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In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we examine Venezuela’s post‑Maduro mirage. Removing Nicolás Maduro alone will not deliver stability when entrenched military control, fractured opposition coalitions, and wavering regional support all stand in the way.

Analysts warn that even a successful transition could spiral into chaos without a robust, long‑term stabilization plan. 

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 In this episode of Threatscape Briefing, we unpack China’s leap into nuclear carrier capability. Satellite imagery confirms active construction of the Type 004 supercarrier at Jiangnan Shipyard, with reactor covers signaling nuclear propulsion.

Unlike conventionally powered carriers, the Type 004 can operate far beyond the first island chain without refueling — granting Beijing global reach. 

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