Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

The initial Q2 2025 GDP growth number was just released and it beat expectations handily, coming in at a "strong" 3.0%But...when looking just a little bit beneath the surface, the data doesn't look as impressive as on first glance. For example, the biggest contributor by far to the "beat" was shrinking inventories relative to the massive Q1 pre-orders that were made as corporations front-ran the Trump tariff...

A few hours ago, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee released the outcome of its meeting this week, keeping its policy rate unchanged (as expected) as well as the pace of its Quantitative Tightening program.

And just a little while ago, Fed Chair Jerome Powell just wrapped up his press conference related to this release. The market’s reaction (so far) has been fairly negative, with the S&P dropping in the red over the past...

The last time I interviewed today's guest was right after the stock market plunged 20% to its post-Liberation Day lows in April.Wall Street was stunned, as just a few months before, the market seemed unstoppable.Well, here we are three months later...and stocks have rocketed back to new highs.The fears that panicked investors so much back in April seem completely forgotten.What is going on and what's most likely to happen f...

Earlier this year the markets sold off rather violently on fears that President Trump's new tariffs would send global trade into a tailspin.Fast forward three months and stocks are back to all-time highs, even as it's becoming clearer that these tariffs, in some shape or form, are here to stay.Are tariffs not the grave mistake Wall Street originally thought they were?Or have investors simply decided to stop caring about the...

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Despite stretched valuation levels and further signs that the consumer is struggling, stocks are partying on.

Portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees stocks prices as having "detached from all the underlying economic data" at this point.

That doesn't mean they w...

With the US and nearly every other major G7 country engaging in historically high levels of deficit spending and increasingly struggling to service their massive sovereign debt balances -- how does this all resolve?Is there a path to a manageable ending here?Or does is debt crisis, or a currency crisis -- or both -- inevitable at this point?In attempt to answer these fiscally existential questions, we're fortunate to be joined ...

Analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns for her bi-weekly macro & market update.

We discuss the continued strength in stocks, which are back to all-time highs — only three months after Wall Street’s violent sell-off due to fears of tariff repercussions.How sustainable is this current rally?We discuss that, as well as the grinding weight of “higher for longer” bond yields, the potential of the President to appoint a “shadow Fed Chair” b...

The US is ramping up its issuance of Treasury debt.Today's expert is concerned that this form of "fiscal QE" will lead to a resurgence in inflation, higher bond yields, a risk asset sugar high, a weaker dollar...and quite possibly a development market bond crisis.To understand why, today we're fortunate to sit down with Simon White, Macro Strategist at Bloomberg and co-founder of the investment-advisory firm Varia...

Over the course of his long and successful career, David Stockman has been both a Washington DC AND Wall Street insider.He was the youngest serving cabinet member of the 20th century (heading the Office of Management & Budget under Reagan), served as a US State Representative, and was an early member of Blackstone.So he knows better than most people alive how our political, economic and financial systems work.Which is why we sh...

Stocks have risen so far so fast, and remain so overbought in the short term, that the risk of a correction in the near term is uncomfortably high.So warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts.He could easily see a pullback of 5-7% occur over the coming weeks.We discuss the odds of that, as well as bond yields, whether President Trump will actually fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the accelerating AI threat to jobs, and Lance's firm...

When today's guest was last on this channel back in March, he warned that the stock market was at risk of a double-digit drop.He was soon validated as stocks then fell 20% over the next month.Since then, markets have rocketed back to new all-time highs.So what does his model tell us is likely to happen from here?To find out, we have the great good fortune to welcome money manager Michael Pento back to the program.Michael warns ...

TO BUY GOLD & SILVER, contact Andy's firm at info@milesfranklin.comTo learn more about Glint, go to https://glintpay.comThe US Constitution clearly spells out that gold & silver -- and ONLY gold & silver -- are money. But trying using them to buy something. Or pay your taxes. Until very recently, you really couldn't.But now, an increasing number of US states have passed laws acknowledging gold & silver as le...

With stocks back near all-time highs, capital is gushing into the US financial markets and investors are feeling exuberant again.Is all this bullish optimism justified?Today's guest, Chance Finucane, Chief Investment Officer of high net worth advisory firm Oxbow Advisors, takes a more cautious approach.In their recent market letter to their high net worth clients, Chance, along with Oxbow founder Ted Oakley, delivered the warni...

Today's guest is best known for his HOPE framework, a highly effective way to measure the health of the economy, and tell whether it's getting stronger or weaker.As we enter the second half of 2025 -- with momentum stocks stumbling while the markets remain richly valued near all-time highs -- what does his framework tell us 2025 has in store?To find out, we have the good fortune to speak today with Michael Kantrowitz, chief...

Investors appear just blind to risk at this point.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts says he hasn't seen this high degree of speculation in the markets since 1999.At some point, the chickens will likely come back to roost. But in the near term, the essential question investors need to address is: How much higher will the rally continue?Lance and I discuss the odds, as well as what to expect from the start of Q2 earnings season, wh...

Well, now that President Trump has set into motion the main pillars of his economic policy -- trade reform, tax cuts and deregulation -- what should we expect from here?I can think of few better people to hear from on this topic than today's guest, who is one of the key economic advisors to President Trump and his cabinet membersToday, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program economist Dr Arthur Laffer. He was the first to ho...

Analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns for her bi-weekly macro & market update.We discuss the ongoing slowdown in consumer spending, the repercussions of stubbornly high bond yields, the impact of the latest tariff developments and the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill, as well as where she thinks the economy is ultimately headed.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financ...

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comIn today's discussion we look at the all-important energy market. Remember, without energy, there is no economy.As we look to the future, where are global energy trends headed?How are the policies of the new Trump administration likely to impact these trends?And where are the be...

When you're uncertain, they say to seek the counsel of those smarter than you.Well, amongst the many experts I interview on this channel, Michael Green is definitely in the top cohort intellectual horsepower-wise.Mike is portfolio manager & chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management. And today, we'll tap his latest thinking on the stock market, the credit markets, the economy, and where the new Administration's p...